Tornado Warning 25, NWS Goodland, KS

525 
WWUS53 KGLD 112302
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
502 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC109-199-112330-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-230511T2330Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-
502 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM MDT/630 PM CDT/
FOR EAST CENTRAL WALLACE AND WEST CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTIES...
    
At 502 PM MDT/602 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
a tornado was located 7 miles east of Wallace, or 16 miles east of
Sharon Springs, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Wallace and west central Logan Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3885 10129 3886 10163 3900 10169 3899 10124
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 185DEG 29KT 3894 10145 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

TT

933 
WWUS53 KGLD 112307
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
507 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC109-199-112330-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-230511T2330Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-
507 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM MDT/630 PM CDT/
FOR EAST CENTRAL WALLACE AND WEST CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTIES...
    
At 507 PM MDT/607 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
a tornado was located 9 miles northeast of Wallace, or 17 miles east
of Sharon Springs, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Wallace.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3890 10127 3891 10165 3900 10169 3899 10124
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 185DEG 29KT 3899 10144 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Trigg

823 
WWUS53 KGLD 112316
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
516 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC109-199-112330-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-230511T2330Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-
516 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM MDT/630 PM CDT/
FOR NORTHEASTERN WALLACE AND WEST CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTIES...
    
At 516 PM MDT/616 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
a tornado was located 10 miles west of Winona, or 20 miles northeast
of Sharon Springs, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Wallace and west central Logan Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3896 10129 3897 10160 3900 10158 3899 10124
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 185DEG 29KT 3906 10143 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Trigg

479 
WWUS53 KGLD 112319
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
519 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC109-199-112329-
/O.CAN.KGLD.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-230511T2330Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-
519 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL WALLACE AND WEST CENTRAL
LOGAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM MDT/700 PM CDT/ for
west central Kansas.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Goodland.

LAT...LON 3896 10129 3897 10160 3900 10158 3899 10124
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 185DEG 29KT 3909 10143 

$$

KMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
211 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 210 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

Latest upper air analysis shows a closed low over Southeast CO.
Ahead of the closed low was a corridor of rainfall.  The corridor
was moving northeast while the storms themselves were moving
northwest.  The environment is becoming very favorable for tornadoes
to form.  However the environment is too stable for large hail or
damaging winds to form.  The tornado threat will increase through
the afternoon as storms form over the eastern part of the forecast
area.

Early this evening another round of rainfall will move in from the
southwest ahead of the closed low.  Depending on where these storms
are located with respect to the storm relative helicity will depend
on whether they will continue to have a threat for tornadoes.  The
current HREF data shows the better SRH is ahead of the rain
activity.  If this holds, the threat for tornadoes should be lower
with this round in the evening.

More rainfall may move through overnight as the closed low moves
through.  Since this round will be so close to the center of the
closed low, tornado development cannot be ruled out.  This round
should be out of the forecast area by sunrise Friday.

Friday the closed low will move north of the forecast area.  As it
departs there may be some rain activity wrapping around the back of
the closed low over the north part of the forecast area.  Since
models are usually too fast with the speed of closed lows, wouldn't
be surprised if rainfall chances linger around longer tomorrow than
currently forecast.

Friday night there may be a chance for rain over the far northern
part of the forecast area as the closed low departs.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

This part of the forecast continues to be rather blan.  The upper
level pattern has no discernible features aside from the two
ridges over the Pacific Northwest and the Southeast. Because of
this weak upper level pattern, have low confidence in the chances
for rainfall that are forecast. The GEFS and ECMWF both have
rather low chances for rainfall too, which makes sense given the
weak upper level flow. Both of these ensembles actually have the
better chances for rainfall south of the forecast area.

Temperatures will gradually warm through the period as the ridge to
the west slowly builds onto the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1158 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023

IFR to VFR conditions forecast for the TAFs. The lowest conditions
this afternoon through the evening are expected to be under the
corridor of rainfall occurring. This corridor will move northeast
through the forecast area today and this evening. Visibility could
fall to a couple miles in the moderate rainfall for short periods
of time.

Another round of rainfall will move through both sites this
evening. These storms could become more intense than the storms
currently ongoing.

Behind the storm activity clouds will fall to IFR levels
overnight.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029.

CO...Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ090>092.

NE...Flood Watch through late tonight for NEZ079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JTL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1130 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-121730-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
1130 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023 /1230 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

The entire area is in a slight to enhanced risk for severe
thunderstorms today and into this evening. All modes of hazards will
be possible, including large hail, damaging winds and a few
tornadoes. A tornado watch is in effect for the entire Tri-State Area
through the afternoon. Flash flooding from heavy rainfall will also
be possible, particularly in areas that received heavy rainfall
yesterday. A flood watch is in effect for all counties except for
Greeley and Wichita counties through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
419 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SELDEN                  39.54N 100.57W
05/11/2023  M3.30 INCH       SHERIDAN           KS   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE PREVIOUS
            24 HOURS.

&&

KMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
422 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TORNADO          4 SW MCCOOK             40.16N 100.67W
05/11/2023                   RED WILLOW         NE   PUBLIC

            RELAYED REPORT FROM DISPATCH OF A PUBLIC
            REPORT OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND. COULD NOT
            CONFIRM IF IT WAS STILL ON THE GROUND.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
438 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW BLAKEMAN          39.84N 101.13W
05/11/2023  M2.41 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED 2.41 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY.
            (12 HOUR TOTAL).

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
446 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0441 PM     TORNADO          3 SW WESKAN             38.83N 102.00W
05/11/2023                   WALLACE            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED A MULTI-VORTEX TORNADO JUST
            SOUTHWEST OF WESKAN.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
448 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TORNADO          3 SE ARAPAHOE           38.82N 102.13W
05/11/2023                   CHEYENNE           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED ABOUT 3 MILES
            SOUTHEAST OF ARAPAHOE, CO. TORNADOES ARE
            SHORT LIVED ONLY LASTING A MINUTE OR SO,
            LIFTING, AND DROPPING AGAIN. MULTI-VORTEX
            TORNADO REPORTED.

&&

CA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
449 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TORNADO          3 ESE ARAPAHOE          38.83N 102.13W
05/11/2023                   CHEYENNE           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED TWO TORNADOES 2 EAST AND
            1.5 MILES SOUTH OF ARAPAHOE.

&&

KAK