Tornado Warning 17, NWS Goodland, KS

267 
WWUS53 KGLD 112023
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
323 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC153-193-112045-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230511T2045Z/
Thomas KS-Rawlins KS-
323 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN THOMAS AND SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTIES...
    
At 323 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 11 miles north of Levant, moving northwest at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Thomas and southwestern Rawlins Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 10106 3945 10127 3963 10140 3973 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 148DEG 26KT 3954 10122 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

JRM

697 
WWUS53 KGLD 112032
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
332 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC193-112041-
/O.CAN.KGLD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230511T2045Z/
Thomas KS-
332 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for northwestern
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3957 10111 3957 10135 3963 10140 3973 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 155DEG 28KT 3961 10125 

$$

KSC153-112045-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230511T2045Z/
Rawlins KS-
332 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTY...
    
At 331 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 13 miles southeast of McDonald, or 15 miles north of
Levant, moving northwest at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southwestern Rawlins County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10111 3957 10135 3963 10140 3973 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 155DEG 28KT 3961 10125 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

JRM

883 
WWUS53 KGLD 112038
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
338 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

KSC153-112048-
/O.EXP.KGLD.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-230511T2045Z/
Rawlins KS-
338 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
345 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for northwestern
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3957 10111 3957 10135 3963 10140 3973 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 149DEG 31KT 3966 10129 

$$

JRM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
211 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 210 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

Latest upper air analysis shows a closed low over Southeast CO.
Ahead of the closed low was a corridor of rainfall.  The corridor
was moving northeast while the storms themselves were moving
northwest.  The environment is becoming very favorable for tornadoes
to form.  However the environment is too stable for large hail or
damaging winds to form.  The tornado threat will increase through
the afternoon as storms form over the eastern part of the forecast
area.

Early this evening another round of rainfall will move in from the
southwest ahead of the closed low.  Depending on where these storms
are located with respect to the storm relative helicity will depend
on whether they will continue to have a threat for tornadoes.  The
current HREF data shows the better SRH is ahead of the rain
activity.  If this holds, the threat for tornadoes should be lower
with this round in the evening.

More rainfall may move through overnight as the closed low moves
through.  Since this round will be so close to the center of the
closed low, tornado development cannot be ruled out.  This round
should be out of the forecast area by sunrise Friday.

Friday the closed low will move north of the forecast area.  As it
departs there may be some rain activity wrapping around the back of
the closed low over the north part of the forecast area.  Since
models are usually too fast with the speed of closed lows, wouldn't
be surprised if rainfall chances linger around longer tomorrow than
currently forecast.

Friday night there may be a chance for rain over the far northern
part of the forecast area as the closed low departs.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

This part of the forecast continues to be rather blan.  The upper
level pattern has no discernible features aside from the two
ridges over the Pacific Northwest and the Southeast. Because of
this weak upper level pattern, have low confidence in the chances
for rainfall that are forecast. The GEFS and ECMWF both have
rather low chances for rainfall too, which makes sense given the
weak upper level flow. Both of these ensembles actually have the
better chances for rainfall south of the forecast area.

Temperatures will gradually warm through the period as the ridge to
the west slowly builds onto the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1158 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023

IFR to VFR conditions forecast for the TAFs. The lowest conditions
this afternoon through the evening are expected to be under the
corridor of rainfall occurring. This corridor will move northeast
through the forecast area today and this evening. Visibility could
fall to a couple miles in the moderate rainfall for short periods
of time.

Another round of rainfall will move through both sites this
evening. These storms could become more intense than the storms
currently ongoing.

Behind the storm activity clouds will fall to IFR levels
overnight.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029.

CO...Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ090>092.

NE...Flood Watch through late tonight for NEZ079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...JTL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1130 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-121730-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
1130 AM MDT Thu May 11 2023 /1230 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

The entire area is in a slight to enhanced risk for severe
thunderstorms today and into this evening. All modes of hazards will
be possible, including large hail, damaging winds and a few
tornadoes. A tornado watch is in effect for the entire Tri-State Area
through the afternoon. Flash flooding from heavy rainfall will also
be possible, particularly in areas that received heavy rainfall
yesterday. A flood watch is in effect for all counties except for
Greeley and Wichita counties through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
105 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

NEZ079-111930-
Dundy NE-
105 PM MDT Thu May 11 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Dundy
County through 130 PM MDT...

At 105 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles south of Champion, or 18 miles northwest of Benkelman, moving
northwest at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Dundy
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Goodland.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM MDT for southwestern
Nebraska.

&&

LAT...LON 4025 10162 4011 10178 4025 10205 4031 10205
      4035 10200 4035 10173
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 132DEG 21KT 4024 10178

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Trigg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
117 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0114 PM     HAIL             3 NW LUDELL             39.88N 101.00W
05/11/2023  E0.70 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL OBSERVED WITH HEAVY
            RAINFALL.

&&

KMK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
232 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

KSZ014-111945-
Thomas KS-
232 PM CDT Thu May 11 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Thomas
County through 245 PM CDT...

At 232 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Colby, moving northwest at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Levant around 240 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 43 and 58.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for northwestern
Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3935 10095 3925 10114 3944 10134 3956 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 147DEG 26KT 3937 10110

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
136 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     FLOOD            7 N WESKAN              38.96N 101.96W
05/11/2023                   WALLACE            KS   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORT OF A SMALL BARN DAMAGED DUE TO
            FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNT UNKNOWN AT THIS
            TIME.

&&

KMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
152 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             8 S WALLACE             38.80N 101.59W
05/10/2023  M1.00 INCH       WALLACE            KS   PUBLIC

            DELAYED SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT WITH PICTURE OF
            HAIL RANGING FROM PEA TO QUARTERS. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
209 PM MDT THU MAY 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1159 AM     TORNADO          4 ESE HALE              39.61N 102.06W
05/11/2023                   YUMA               CO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            POTENTIAL TDS NOTED ON RADAR BEGINNING AT
            1759Z AND ENDING AT 1803Z.

&&

KAK