Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Springfield, MO

May 14, 2022Dent County, Phelps County, Texas County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2022, 6:08 PM CDT for Dent County, Phelps County, Texas County, Missouri. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 14, 2022, 6:08 PM CDT (23:08 UTC)
Expired: May 14, 2022, 6:49 PM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Dent County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Texas County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1418 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1229 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 2:53 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 2:53 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
253 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Key Messages:

1. Isolated severe storms today, mainly southeast of Springfield.

2. Severe thunderstorm potential continues to increase Sunday.

3. Additional thunderstorm chances Tuesday through Thursday of
   next week. Wetter pattern next weekend?

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening mainly along and east of Highway 65 and along and south
of Interstate 44. Looking at a high CAPE (4,000-5,000 J/kg
SBCAPE) and low shear (20-25 kts Effective Shear) setup, resulting
in potential for pulse isolated severe storms with 1 inch hail
and 60 mph winds. Could also see an isolated flooding risk if
storms train.

Conditions look quiet tonight, but pay attention to the long term
discussion for severe potential during the day Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

SPC has upgraded the Sunday severe weather outlook to an Enhanced
risk across most of the area. Certainly agree with this as models
show convection along a cold front and associated with a
shortwave growing upscale as it moves into the area from the
northwest in the mid morning. There is uncertainty on exact
timing, but models are in greater agreement than previous runs.
Highest confidence is in the damaging wind threat with bowing
segments developing along the front. The southwestern CWA could
see an increased hail threat if convection develops along outflow
during the early to mid afternoon with peak instability, which it
is currently expected to do. We could see 3,000-4,000 J/kg of
SBCAPE and moderate shear over the SW, but the main question for
hail potential is with storm mode at that time. For now will
advertise 70 mph winds and 1 inch hail, but may need to increase
the hail size to as high as maybe 2 inches if confidence in
discrete storm modes materialized over the southwest. The tornado
threat is very low, but not zero. Minor flooding will be possible
where storms train or persist. The severe threat should end by
early to mid evening.

Temperatures will be cooler Sunday where convection moves in
earlier, but much of the area should see cooler highs in the 70s
on Monday and Tuesday. Otherwise, expect highs in the 80s for the
rest of the long term.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will be possible Monday
night into Wednesday night.

There may be a more significant pattern change next weekend into
early next week as an upper trough moves into the region. If this
does occur, look for wetter and cooler weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected mainly east of
KSGF and KBBG from mid afternoon into the evening today. Could see
storms impact KBBG and KSGF, but potential is too low at KSGF and
include in the forecast and at KBBG warrants a vicinity mention.
Models are increasingly showing a complex of thunderstorms moving
through the area on Sunday. There will be potential for strong to
severe storms with these.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus

Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 3:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
351 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-152100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
351 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening, mainly along/south of I-44 and along/east of Highway 65.
A few of these storms will be strong to severe with 1-1.5 inch
hail and 60 mph winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A more significant round of showers and thunderstorms is expected
Sunday. Severe storms and minor flooding are possible with this
round. Currently the primary severe risks are damaging winds and
large hail.

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through Thursday of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 14, 5:30 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
530 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOZ091-095-096-142315-
Douglas MO-Webster MO-Christian MO-
530 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Webster, northwestern Douglas and northeastern Christian Counties
through 615 PM CDT...

At 530 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Diggins, or 13 miles northwest of Ava, moving southwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Seymour...                        Fordland...
Diggins...                        Elkhead...
Bruner...                         Dogwood...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3691 9282 3697 9292 3702 9305 3709 9299
      3719 9293 3716 9271
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 030DEG 12KT 3708 9286

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Rothstein

Local storm report, May 14, 5:35 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
535 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             1 NW KISSEE MILLS       36.69N 93.06W
05/14/2022  U1.00 INCH       TANEY              MO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

&&

Local storm report, May 14, 5:44 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
544 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 ENE DOGWOOD           37.06N 92.72W
05/14/2022                   DOUGLAS            MO   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON HWY K. BLOCKING BOTH LANES.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

DSA

Local storm report, May 14, 5:55 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
555 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             6 SW MANSFIELD          37.04N 92.64W
05/14/2022  E1.50 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            PICTURED RELAYED VIA EMAIL.

&&

DSA

Special weather statement, May 14, 5:59 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
559 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOZ104-142330-
Taney MO-
559 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Taney
County through 630 PM CDT...

At 559 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Forsyth, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Taneycomo...                 Bull Shoals Lake...
Forsyth...                        Kissee Mills...
Rockaway Beach...                 Ozark Beach...
Powersite...                      Edgewater Beach...
Protem...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3671 9315 3671 9292 3650 9285 3650 9317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 358DEG 13KT 3657 9306

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Rothstein

Local storm report, May 14, 6:02 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
602 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             6 SW MANSFIELD          37.04N 92.65W
05/14/2022  E1.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL. NORTH OF AVA.
            RELAYED BY EMAIL.

&&

DSA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Texas	46 min
May 13, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	44 min
May 13, 7:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Texas, Wright	38 min
May 13, 7:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Howell, Shannon, Texas	4 hr
May 13, 8:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	38 min
May 13, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	48 min
May 13, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell	44 min
May 13, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	46 min
May 13, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	41 min
May 13, 9:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	43 min
May 13, 9:25 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	4 hr
May 13, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	46 min
May 14, 2:24 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Dent, Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas	6 hr
May 14, 3:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Stone	32 min
May 14, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Ozark	28 min
May 14, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Ozark	39 min
May 14, 3:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	38 min
May 14, 3:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	48 min
May 14, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	53 min
May 14, 3:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	52 min
May 14, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Wright	44 min
May 14, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Stone, Taney	29 min
May 14, 4:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Ozark	47 min
May 14, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Douglas	32 min
May 14, 4:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Texas	48 min
May 14, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	44 min
May 14, 4:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	32 min
May 14, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas, Wright	28 min
May 14, 5:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	44 min
May 14, 5:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Pulaski	24 min
May 14, 5:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	45 min
May 14, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Pulaski	42 min
May 14, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Webster	29 min
May 14, 5:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	31 min
May 14, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede, Pulaski, Texas	40 min
May 14, 6:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	28 min
May 14, 6:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	32 min
May 14, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2022 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.