Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Springfield, MO

May 14, 2022Taney County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2022, 3:38 PM CDT for Taney County, Missouri. It was in force for 52 min. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 14, 2022, 3:38 PM CDT (20:38 UTC)
Expired: May 14, 2022, 4:30 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Taney County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 14, 3:42 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	1 Nw Kirbyville, MO	REPORT FROM MPING: DIME (0.75 IN.).
May 14, 3:43 PM CDT	HAIL 1	1 E Branson, MO	CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 1 E BRANSON. REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).
May 14, 3:43 PM CDT	HAIL 1	1 E Branson, MO	REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).
May 14, 3:50 PM CDT	HAIL 1	1 Ssw Hollister, MO	REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).
May 14, 3:50 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	1 Sse Hollister, MO	VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
May 14, 3:52 PM CDT	HAIL 1.5	1 Ssw Hollister, MO	VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
May 14, 3:58 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Hollister, MO	PUBLIC REPORTED A LITTLE OVER QUARTER INCH HAIL.
May 14, 4:00 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Hollister, MO	TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER INCH HAIL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 7 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1418 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1229 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

332 
WUUS53 KSGF 142038
SVRSGF
MOC213-142130-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0083.220514T2038Z-220514T2130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
338 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Taney County in southwestern Missouri...

* Until 430 PM CDT.

* At 338 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hollister, or
  near Forsyth, moving south at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
  Hollister...                      Forsyth...
  Kirbyville...                     Ridgedale...
  Ozark Beach...                    Powersite...
  Edgewater Beach...                

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3668 9324 3668 9304 3650 9301 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 011DEG 8KT 3663 9317 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rothstein

4 follow-up statements

412 
WWUS53 KSGF 142043
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
343 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOC213-142130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-220514T2130Z/
Taney MO-
343 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY...

At 343 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hollister, or
near Branson, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Public reported half dollar size hail 1 mile east of 
         Branson.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Hollister...                      Forsyth...
Kirbyville...                     Ridgedale...
Ozark Beach...                    Powersite...
Edgewater Beach...                

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3668 9324 3668 9304 3650 9301 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 011DEG 8KT 3662 9317 

HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rothstein

707 
WWUS53 KSGF 142056
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
356 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOC213-142130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-220514T2130Z/
Taney MO-
356 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY...

At 356 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hollister, or
near Branson, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Hollister...                      Kirbyville...
Ridgedale...                      

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 9325 3665 9307 3650 9304 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 023DEG 8KT 3660 9322 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rothstein

628 
WWUS53 KSGF 142102 CCA
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
402 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOC213-142130-
/O.COR.KSGF.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-220514T2130Z/
Taney MO-
402 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY...

At 402 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hollister, or
near Branson, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Hollister...                      Kirbyville...
Ridgedale...                      

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 9325 3665 9307 3650 9304 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 023DEG 8KT 3660 9322 

HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rothstein

227 
WWUS53 KSGF 142119
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
419 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOC213-142130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-220514T2130Z/
Taney MO-
419 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY...

At 418 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hollister, or
near Branson, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Hollister...                      Ridgedale...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 9325 3659 9312 3650 9321 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 023DEG 8KT 3655 9324 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rothstein

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 2:53 PM CDT, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 2:53 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
253 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Key Messages:

1. Isolated severe storms today, mainly southeast of Springfield.

2. Severe thunderstorm potential continues to increase Sunday.

3. Additional thunderstorm chances Tuesday through Thursday of
   next week. Wetter pattern next weekend?

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening mainly along and east of Highway 65 and along and south
of Interstate 44. Looking at a high CAPE (4,000-5,000 J/kg
SBCAPE) and low shear (20-25 kts Effective Shear) setup, resulting
in potential for pulse isolated severe storms with 1 inch hail
and 60 mph winds. Could also see an isolated flooding risk if
storms train.

Conditions look quiet tonight, but pay attention to the long term
discussion for severe potential during the day Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

SPC has upgraded the Sunday severe weather outlook to an Enhanced
risk across most of the area. Certainly agree with this as models
show convection along a cold front and associated with a
shortwave growing upscale as it moves into the area from the
northwest in the mid morning. There is uncertainty on exact
timing, but models are in greater agreement than previous runs.
Highest confidence is in the damaging wind threat with bowing
segments developing along the front. The southwestern CWA could
see an increased hail threat if convection develops along outflow
during the early to mid afternoon with peak instability, which it
is currently expected to do. We could see 3,000-4,000 J/kg of
SBCAPE and moderate shear over the SW, but the main question for
hail potential is with storm mode at that time. For now will
advertise 70 mph winds and 1 inch hail, but may need to increase
the hail size to as high as maybe 2 inches if confidence in
discrete storm modes materialized over the southwest. The tornado
threat is very low, but not zero. Minor flooding will be possible
where storms train or persist. The severe threat should end by
early to mid evening.

Temperatures will be cooler Sunday where convection moves in
earlier, but much of the area should see cooler highs in the 70s
on Monday and Tuesday. Otherwise, expect highs in the 80s for the
rest of the long term.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will be possible Monday
night into Wednesday night.

There may be a more significant pattern change next weekend into
early next week as an upper trough moves into the region. If this
does occur, look for wetter and cooler weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected mainly east of
KSGF and KBBG from mid afternoon into the evening today. Could see
storms impact KBBG and KSGF, but potential is too low at KSGF and
include in the forecast and at KBBG warrants a vicinity mention.
Models are increasingly showing a complex of thunderstorms moving
through the area on Sunday. There will be potential for strong to
severe storms with these.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus

Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
200 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-151900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
200 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening, mainly along/south of I-44 and along/east of Highway 65.
A few of these storms could be strong to severe with 1 inch hail
and 60 mph winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A more significant round of showers and thunderstorms is expected
Sunday. Severe storms and minor flooding are possible with this
round. Currently the primary severe risks are damaging winds and
large hail.

Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through Thursday of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 14, 2:47 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
247 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOZ105-142015-
Ozark MO-
247 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Ozark
County through 315 PM CDT...

At 247 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles northeast of Gainesville, or 22 miles southeast of Ava, moving
southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Dora...                           Rockbridge...
Brixey...                         Sycamore...
Zanoni...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3673 9252 3680 9246 3680 9232 3677 9211
      3674 9212 3658 9227
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 306DEG 8KT 3675 9235

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Rothstein

Special weather statement, May 14, 3:07 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
307 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

MOZ104-142045-
Taney MO-
307 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Taney County
through 345 PM CDT...

At 307 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Forsyth, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Taneycomo...                 Forsyth...
Merriam Woods...                  Kissee Mills...
Rockaway Beach...                 Taneyville...
Ozark Beach...                    Powersite...
Edgewater Beach...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3669 9323 3679 9306 3668 9284 3655 9304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 307DEG 8KT 3667 9310

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Rothstein

Local storm report, May 14, 3:27 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
327 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S ROCKBRIDGE          36.77N 92.41W
05/14/2022                   OZARK              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TREE DOWN AT HWY
            95 AND HWY N DUE TO DAMAGING WINDS.

&&

SLM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Texas	46 min
May 13, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	44 min
May 13, 7:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Texas, Wright	38 min
May 13, 7:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Howell, Shannon, Texas	4 hr
May 13, 8:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	38 min
May 13, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	48 min
May 13, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell	44 min
May 13, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	46 min
May 13, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Howell	41 min
May 13, 9:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Oregon	43 min
May 13, 9:25 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	4 hr
May 13, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	46 min
May 14, 2:24 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Dent, Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas	6 hr
May 14, 3:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Stone	32 min
May 14, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Ozark	28 min
May 14, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Ozark	39 min
May 14, 3:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	38 min
May 14, 3:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	48 min
May 14, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	53 min
May 14, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Wright	44 min
May 14, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Stone, Taney	29 min
May 14, 4:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Ozark	47 min
May 14, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Douglas	32 min
May 14, 4:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Texas	48 min
May 14, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	44 min
May 14, 4:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	32 min
May 14, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas, Wright	28 min
May 14, 5:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	44 min
May 14, 5:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Pulaski	24 min
May 14, 5:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	45 min
May 14, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Pulaski	42 min
May 14, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Webster	29 min
May 14, 5:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	31 min
May 14, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede, Pulaski, Texas	40 min
May 14, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps, Texas	41 min
May 14, 6:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	28 min
May 14, 6:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	32 min
May 14, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2022 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.