Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Twin Cities, MN

May 19, 2022Goodhue County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2022, 4:04 PM CDT for Goodhue County, Minnesota. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 19, 2022, 4:04 PM CDT (21:04 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2022, 4:30 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Goodhue County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 19, 3:11 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1537 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

823 
WUUS53 KMPX 192104
SVRMPX
MNC049-192130-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0135.220519T2104Z-220519T2130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
404 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

The National Weather Service in the Twin Cities has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  South central Goodhue County in southeastern Minnesota...

* Until 430 PM CDT.

* At 403 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pine Island,
  or 8 miles north of Mantorville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Pine Island and Zumbrota around 410 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4421 9283 4434 9255 4420 9255 4420 9282
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 242DEG 41KT 4419 9274 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CTG

2 follow-up statements

944 
WWUS53 KMPX 192112
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
412 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNC049-192130-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-220519T2130Z/
Goodhue MN-
412 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GOODHUE COUNTY...

At 412 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pine Island, or
14 miles northeast of Mantorville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of south
central Goodhue County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 9274 4434 9255 4420 9255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 242DEG 41KT 4424 9261 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CTG

804 
WWUS53 KMPX 192120 RRA
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
420 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNC049-192130-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-220519T2130Z/
Goodhue MN-
420 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GOODHUE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4420 9274 4434 9255 4420 9255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 242DEG 41KT 4427 9252 

$$

CTG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 3:45 PM CDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 3:45 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
345 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

KEY MESSAGES:

- Large hail/damaging winds are main the main threats across
southern/central Minnesota into western Wisconsin. In additional a few
tornadoes are also possible in southern Minnesota into parts of
western Wisconsin.

- Cooler temperatures Friday through mid-next week with frost
potential Saturday and Sunday morning.

This evening and tonight... Severe thunderstorm and tornado watches
are out through this evening. The biggest risk will be along a warm
front moving across southern Minnesota where the tornado watch is in
effect. The forcing from this front as well as the low level shear
in this area will allow for surface based storms with rotation. This
could lead to some supercells with all threats possible. Farther
north including the Twin Cities and Eau Claire will be more of a
severe thunderstorm threat with more of a elevated hailer type of
storm favored. One of the biggest areas of uncertainty right now is
low level moisture as this will be needed to for true surface based
storms and low enough LCLs to make the environment favorable for
tornadoes. Based on what this environment was able to do earlier
today with large hail this threat will continue across the area this
evening. As we approach sunset the severe threat will fade as
instability falls. Unless a linear system can come together and
develop a cold pool that is. Then a wind threat will persist,
although this is most likely to occur in western Wisconsin than in
any part of Minnesota. Rain chances will continue into tonight, with
a chance for some lightning.

Friday through Thursday... Behind the cold front below normal
temperatures will persist into the weekend. We will also dry out as
the low behind this moves into the Great Lakes. As we move deeper
into the weekend there will be a system moving to our south that
could transport enough moisture Saturday night into Sunday morning
for some rain showers. Behind this rain chance high pressure moves
in for the rest of the weekend into early next week. By the middle
of next week another chance for precipitation arrives. With a wide
spread in the models both deterministic and ensembles confidence is
not yet high enough for details yet. With the high moving out we
will also see a return to normal temperatures next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

Currently, most of the TSTMs are occurring south of KMKT-KMSP-KEAU,
with some isolated between KMKT-KMSP as of 1715z. Confidence remains
low on coverage of TSTM activity this afternoon. However, based on
trends and model guidance, the best area of TSTM will occur near
KMSP-KRNH-KEAU between 21-01z. But, the TSTM in southeast Mn may
affect KEAU before 21z. AMD will be likely due to uncertainties in
the forecast and coverage of TSTM. Otherwise, SHRA become more
apparent along and behind the main frontal passage this evening. MVFR
cigs may develop with the SHRA and cold frontal passage this evening.
LLWS is also possible due to the strong nature of the surface low and
wind shear above the surface.

KMSP...

Confidence is low enough to keep TSTM out of the 18z TAF. However,
best coverage if TSTM develops will occur between 21-01z. Otherwise,
SE winds will shift to the W/NW with the frontal passage this
evening. SHRA is possible overnight with only isolated TSTM at best.
Gusty W winds will develop Friday morning.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/

Sat...Mainly VFR. Chc P.M. -SHRA. Wind NW 10-15G20 kts.
Sun...VFR. Wind NW 10-15 kts.
Mon...Mainly VFR. Chc -SHRA late. Wind S 10-15 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...NDC
AVIATION...JLT

Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 2:52 AM CDT, 13 hours 12 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
252 AM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
200800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
252 AM CDT Thu May 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected this afternoon and evening
across the entire coverage area. Some of these storms will likely
be severe, particularly across eastern and southern Minnesota into
western Wisconsin. Large hail, including hail over 1 inch in
diameter, damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are all
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon
and evening.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 19, 12:45 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1245 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1141 AM     HAIL             EMMONS                  43.51N 93.48W
05/19/2022  E2.00 INCH       FREEBORN           MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FOUR HAIL STONES BETWEEN GOLF BALL AND TWO
            INCH SIZED BASED ON ESTIMATE WITH TIME
            ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

NDC

Local storm report, May 19, 1:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
116 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     HAIL             2 SE MYRTLE             43.54N 93.13W
05/19/2022  M1.50 INCH       FREEBORN           MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL OF VARIOUS SIZES FELL WITH LARGEST
            AROUND THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS WITH TIME
            ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

NDC

Special weather statement, May 19, 3:31 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
331 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNZ053-060>063-WIZ014-023-192115-
Anoka MN-Washington MN-Hennepin MN-Ramsey MN-Chisago MN-Polk WI-
St. Croix WI-
331 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Hennepin,
southeastern Chisago, Anoka, Washington, Ramsey, northwestern St.
Croix and southwestern Polk Counties through 415 PM CDT...

At 331 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Spring Lake Park, or 10 miles north of Minneapolis, moving northeast
at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Shoreview, Mounds View and Arden Hills around 335 PM CDT.
  Blaine, Lino Lakes and Vadnais Heights around 340 PM CDT.
  Hugo around 345 PM CDT.
  Forest Lake around 350 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Chisago City,
Scandia, Lindstrom, Osceola, Center City, St. Croix Falls, Taylors
Falls and Dresser.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 130 and 145.
 U.S. Highway 8 in Minnesota between mile markers 0 and 5, and
between mile markers 7 and 22.
 U.S. Highway 61 between mile markers 163 and 164.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central and east central Minnesota...and northwestern and west
central Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4503 9239 4490 9349 4523 9356 4522 9353
      4527 9351 4542 9316 4541 9302 4547 9302
      4560 9270
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 237DEG 57KT 4511 9329

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

CTG

Local storm report, May 19, 3:52 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
352 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     HAIL             1 NW FALCON HEIGHTS     45.00N 93.20W
05/19/2022  U1.25 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.).

0339 PM     HAIL             1 S GOLDEN VALLEY       44.98N 93.38W
05/19/2022  U1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0340 PM     HAIL             3 SW MINNEAPOLIS        44.95N 93.30W
05/19/2022  E1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   PUBLIC

0342 PM     HAIL             1 ESE MINNEAPOLIS       44.98N 93.25W
05/19/2022  M1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

0345 PM     HAIL             4 NE RICHFIELD          44.93N 93.26W
05/19/2022  U1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0345 PM     HAIL             1 NW FALCON HEIGHTS     45.00N 93.20W
05/19/2022  U1.00 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0347 PM     HAIL             4 SW FALCON HEIGHTS     44.94N 93.21W
05/19/2022  U1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0347 PM     HAIL             4 SE MINNEAPOLIS        44.93N 93.23W
05/19/2022  U1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

&&

Local storm report, May 19, 4:01 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
401 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             3 NNW MENDOTA HEIGHTS   44.93N 93.16W
05/19/2022  M1.75 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEO

Local storm report, May 19, 4:04 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
404 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             1 NNE ROSEVILLE         45.02N 93.15W
05/19/2022  M1.25 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

&&

CEO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 19, 10:42 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Faribault	33 min
May 19, 11:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Faribault	26 min
May 19, 11:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Freeborn	45 min
May 19, 11:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Freeborn	41 min
May 19, 12:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Freeborn	25 min
May 19, 12:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MPX	Freeborn	32 min
May 19, 12:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Steele	25 min
May 19, 3:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Anoka, Chisago, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	44 min
May 19, 3:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	34 min
May 19, 3:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	24 min
May 19, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MPX	Washington	44 min
May 19, 4:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Le Sueur	25 min
May 19, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Le Sueur, Rice, Scott	24 min
May 19, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Goodhue	24 min
May 19, 4:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Goodhue	20 min
May 19, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Rice, Scott	19 min
May 19, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota	19 min
May 19, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Faribault, Waseca	31 min
May 19, 5:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Rice	25 min
May 19, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Faribault, Freeborn	25 min
May 19, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Steele, Waseca	20 min
May 19, 5:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Rice	13 min
May 19, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Faribault, Freeborn, Steele, Waseca	36 min
May 19, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Faribault, Freeborn	16 min
May 19, 6:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Freeborn, Steele	24 min
May 19, 6:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Freeborn, Steele	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2022 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.