Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 3, NWS Louisville, KY

January 1, 2022Logan County, Simpson County, Warren County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this tornado warning at Jan 1, 2022, 11:39 AM CST for Logan County, Simpson County, Warren County, Kentucky. It was in force for 36 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2022, 11:39 AM CST (17:39 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2022, 12:15 PM CST
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Louisville, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Logan County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Warren County, KY

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 1, 11:52 AM CSTTSTM WND DMG2 Sse Bowling Green, KYSOCIAL MEDIA SHOWS VIDEO OF MULTIPLE SNAPPED MATURE PINE TREES AND DAMAGE TO ONE OF THE BUILDINGS AT ASTON PARC APARTMENTS.
Jan 1, 11:52 AM CSTTSTM WND DMG2 Sse Bowling Green, KYVIDEO ON SOCIAL MEDIA SHOWED A KROGER WITH ROOF DAMAGE AND A DAMAGED FENCE AT THE BACK OF THE PARKING LOT.
Jan 1, 11:52 AM CSTTORNADO2 S Bowling Green, KYNWS STORM SURVEY TEAM DETERMINED AN EF-0 TORNADO WITH 85 MPH WINDS IMPACTED PORTIONS OF WARREN COUNTY ON JANUARY 1, 2022. THE TORNADO WAS 0.4 MILES IN LENGTH, WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE, AND WAS 75 YARDS IN MAXIMUM WIDTH. PLEASE SEE THE ASSOCIATED PNS FOR

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 1, 10:50 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2022-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 379 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2022-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
379 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
791 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

820 
WFUS53 KLMK 011739
TORLMK
KYC141-213-227-011815-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0003.220101T1739Z-220101T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1139 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  East central Logan County in south central Kentucky...
  Northwestern Simpson County in south central Kentucky...
  Central Warren County in south central Kentucky...

* Until 1215 PM CST.
    
* At 1138 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located 10 miles east of Russellville, moving northeast
  at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Memphis Junction and Crestmoor around 1150 AM CST.
  Plum Springs and Mount Victor around 1155 AM CST.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bowling Green.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3689 8680 3709 8620 3708 8619 3706 8611
      3694 8617 3692 8619 3693 8620 3693 8621
      3691 8620 3690 8621 3691 8622 3690 8624
      3689 8627 3687 8626 3687 8627 3678 8677
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 244DEG 59KT 3685 8669 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DM
2 follow-up statements
189 
WWUS53 KLMK 011752
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1152 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYC141-213-011802-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220101T1815Z/
Logan KY-Simpson KY-
1152 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LOGAN AND NORTHWESTERN
SIMPSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3686 8652 3694 8655 3702 8641 3709 8620
      3708 8619 3706 8611 3694 8617 3693 8618
      3693 8621 3692 8621
TIME...MOT...LOC 1752Z 244DEG 59KT 3695 8642 

$$

KYC227-011815-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220101T1815Z/
Warren KY-
1152 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
WARREN COUNTY...
    
At 1152 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Mount Victor, moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Plum Springs around 1155 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bristow, Hardcastle, Rich Pond, Pondsville, Greenhill, Loving,
Oakland, Hays, Sunnyside and Gotts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3686 8652 3694 8655 3702 8641 3709 8620
      3708 8619 3706 8611 3694 8617 3693 8618
      3693 8621 3692 8621
TIME...MOT...LOC 1752Z 244DEG 59KT 3695 8642 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

DM
067 
WWUS53 KLMK 011802
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1202 PM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYC227-011815-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220101T1815Z/
Warren KY-
1202 PM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY...
    
At 1201 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles east of Plum Springs, moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Warren County, including the following locations...
Hays, Sunnyside, Gotts, Polkville, Pondsville, Smiths Grove, Kepler,
Loving and Oakland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 8631 3703 8634 3706 8629 3709 8620
      3708 8619 3706 8611 3698 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 244DEG 59KT 3702 8624 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

DM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 1, 10:19 AM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 10:19 AM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1119 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

.Mesoscale Update...
Issued at 1119 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

Surface mesoanalysis from 15Z showed an area of surface low pressure
centered near Murray, KY.  A cold front extended southwest through
northwestern TN into eastern AR.  To the east, a surface warm front
extended across southern KY mainly located just south of the western
KY Parkway.

In the last hour, storms have redeveloped along the edge of this
warm front.  Lightning data has been scant, but we're seeing some
supercellular characteristics with these cells with some rotation
aloft.  The storms still appear to be root above the surface, but
they are on the very edge of the warm front and it would not take
much for one to drop southward a bit and become surface rooted.  The
storms do weaken as they cross the I-65 corridor and head up the
Bluegrass parkway, mainly due to a more stable environment up that
way from roughly Bardstown and points east.  Strongest storms are
just to our west across portions of Christian and Todd counties
which is just SE of the surface low and most likely closer to the
surface layer.  Surface winds are attempting to back just out ahead
of these storms and the most likely area of strong/severe potential
would be across portions of Logan/Simpson/Warren/Edmonson/Hart over
the next few hours.  Damaging wind gusts with any surges in the line
will be possible and isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out.
Additionally, heavy rainfall will accompany these storms and the
forward speed of this line is a bit slower than earlier progged,
leading to a larger residence time of heavy rainfall.  This activity
will move across areas hit earlier this morning from Warren county
east through Barren/Metcalfe/Hart/Green/Taylor/Adair which may
contribute more problems to ongoing flooding.

Issued at 923 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

Surface warm front remains located across far southern Kentucky this
morning, generally in the vicinity of the Cumberland Parkway.
Convection continues to develop along and just south of the boundary
from Glasgow east-northeastward to Liberty.  Overall, the strength
of the storms has weakened in the last couple of hours.  Convection
remains elevated above the surface layer, but given the high shear
across the region, we've still seen some evidence of rotation from
time to time in the strongest storms.  Further north and west, we've
had a brief break in the rainfall.  However, additional moderate to
heavy rain across western Kentucky will move back into southern
Indiana and the rest of central Kentucky over the next few hours.

In terms of rainfall, the heaviest rainfall has fallen a bit further
south that we previously forecast.  The heaviest QPF has been along
the aforementioned warm front where elevated supercells have trained
over the same areas. Reports from the Kentucky Mesonet show a swath
of 2-4 inch rainfall amounts thus far.  The highest so far since
midnight was Glasgow 11W with 4.02 inches and Liberty 3SW with 3.99
inches of rainfall.  Flash flooding is occurring across portions of
across Barren/Metcalfe, southern Green, Adair, Russel, Casey, and
Lincoln counties.  A new Flash Flood Warning has been issued through
1 PM as additional rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are likely across
this area.  Further north, heavier rainfall will move through
portions of Ohio/Grayson/Butler/Hardin/LaRue/Nelson counties.  About
1-1.5 inches of rainfall has been reported in those locations, so
we'll continue to monitor that area as the heavy rainfall moves
through.

As far as the severe potential is concern, the SPC outlooks for the
slight and enhanced areas have been shift further south.  It appears
that the northward progression of the warm front will be fairly
limited today and we do not expect it to move much further north of
the Cumberland Parkway.  The severe threat for areas north of the
WK/BG Parkway is much lower now given that these areas are likely to
remain north of the warm front.  However, these areas will be under
the gun for heavier rainfall.  The area of most concern will be
across our far southern and southeastern counties in the Lake
Cumberland region.  Temperatures are in the 70s across portions of
Monroe/Cumberland/Russell and Clinton counties.  Additional, these
areas have not been worked over by earlier convection.  Additional
convection over middle TN may drift northward into these areas this
afternoon ahead of an approaching frontal boundary.  Damaging winds
and isolated tornadoes will be the main threats this afternoon/eve.

&&

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 806 AM EST Sun Jan 1 2022

Will be doing a quick update to expire the Tornado Watch across
southern Kentucky which expired at the top of the hour (01/13Z).
Updated products will be available shortly.

&&

.Short Term...(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 241 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...Heavy rainfall Event Unfolding...

...Severe Weather Still Possible...

Training storms set up overnight from Arkansas to Kentucky ahead of
a long surface boundary. Precipitable water values over 1.5" have
encouraged efficient rainfall producing convection and will likely
lead to flooding concerns today. One to three inches of additional
rainfall appears likely throughout much of central Kentucky and
southern Indiana, with the heaviest amounts between the Ohio River
and the Cumberland Parkway.

Low pressure will ride up the boundary and approach from the
southwest this morning, then move across central Kentucky from
southwest to northeast this afternoon. As it approaches, the showers
and embedded storms over southern Kentucky will lift slightly
northward, bringing locally heavy rain farther north, along the
surface boundary, than what we have been seeing overnight. This may
leave the southeast corner of central Kentucky, including the Dale
Hollow and Lake Cumberland regions, relatively dry and susceptible
to supercell development this afternoon. However, instability is
progged to remain relatively weak along with weak mid-level lapse
rates. Soundings show some degree of mid-level warmth, though the
least capping will be found over the aforementioned areas of
southeast central Kentucky. Shear will be sufficient for organized
storms and the risk of rotation.

Outside of thunderstorms, synoptic winds will become gusty this
afternoon from the Tennessee border to the southern Blue Grass under
a potent low level jet from the lower Mississippi Valley to the
central Appalachians. Gusts of 30-40 mph will be possible. After
conferring with neighboring offices, will hold off on any wind
headline for now, given uncertainties of just how strong surface
gusts will be.

The low will swing its cold front through the region this evening.
Any isolated storms that might develop this afternoon will be
overtaken by a broad band of showers and embedded storms ahead of
the front as it sweeps eastward. Behind the front overnight low
clouds will persist and very light rain is expected.

.Long Term...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 250 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

Synopsis...Axis of positively-tilted, highly amplified shortwave
trough tracks through the Ohio Valley towards the Northeast while it
gets absorbed by an upper-low over the Hudson Bay. Behind that
system, a combination of zonal flow aloft and a Canadian surface
high pressure bring a drier and noticeable colder air mass. However,
such features won't last a prolonged time since another mid-level
wave and associated cyclonic flow should establish themselves over
the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS by the middle of next week.

Sunday...Forecast soundings of the post-frontal air mass show a
saturated low-level layer and a significant temperature drop as the
day progresses. The temperature swing between Saturday evening (mid
50s) and Sunday mid morning (upper 30s) is approximately 20 degrees.
On top of that, strong NW winds due to isallobaric effects will
ensue wind chill readings in the 20s during most of the day.
Additionally, there is a non-zero chance of wintry precipitation in
the afternoon/evening period due to the possible overlap of 1) below-
freezing thermal profile, 2) a saturated layer, and 3)
frontogenetical zone at 700 mb due to surface cyclogenesis moving
along the Southeast. It seems that the best chance of measurable
snow exists in the area south of I-64 and east of I-65 where there
might be ice in the DGZ for necessary crystal production. However,
farther north this feature is lacking, so expect lighter
accumulations.

Monday - Wednesday... As the surface high pressure settles in,
strong subsidence and dry air are responsible for maintaining quiet
and sunny days. Winds will decrease while still from the north which
maintains the steady cold intrusion in our forecast area. We wake up
to temperatures well below freezing Monday and Tuesday morning (in
the 20s). By Wednesday, the center of high pressure will be moving
over the Atlantic Ocean which allows a wind shift to a southerly
component and a subtle rise of the mercury/moisture with increasing
cloud coverage

Thursday - Saturday... The upper-level synoptic pattern favors
surface cyclogenesis over the South. The low will track north-
northeast bisecting the Ohio Valley. Cold air will be rushed just
behind the surface low and attendant cold front to enhance winter
precipitation processes. The combination of an anafront and/or
deformation zone at the back of the low will support winter precip.
It is important to mention that GEFS members are not as aggressive
with this event as EPS members are, but the signal for measurable
snow amounts is already there for Thursday. Friday and Saturday will
be sunny and extremely cold as minimum temps will fall to the teens
and highs will struggle to stay above freezing.

&&

.Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 650 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

Strong-to-severe storms are forecasted for today as a line of
convergence slowly moves northward. BWG is experiencing periods of
IFR as thunderstorms intermittently move over it. That trend will
hold for the first half of this forecast package and eventually will
reach LEX (around noon). Further north, HNB and SDF will begin MVFR
and fall IFR as storms proliferate in that area due to a southward
sagging cold front currently positioned in southern IL. The final
push of unsettled weather will be tied to gusty winds and a
conditional risk of isolated tornadoes. Additionally, heavy rain
will reduce VIS to IFR restriction. There is a slight improvement of
CIGS and VIS behind the cold front; however, a low-level cloud deck
will impose IFR CIGS for all sites before dawn on Sunday.

&&

.Hydrology...
Issued at 430 AM EDT Sat Jan 1 2022

As a warm front lifts northward through south central Kentucky,
thunderstorm coverage will increase. The combination of an axis of
enhanced PW, deep moist convergence, and training convection is
supporting rainfall accumulations on the order of 2 inches in 3
hours as noted in the Barren County KY Mesonet station. WPC's QPF
for the coming 24 hours highlights a SW-NE band of heavy
precipitation on the order of 2-4 inches along central KY. Part of
the coming rain might fall over already saturated soils or
hydrophobic areas, which can surpass current flash flood guidance.

Excessive runoff will cause crests in several Lower Ohio Basin
rivers. Latest AHPS forecast package shows moderate stage flooding
for Peaks Mill by Sunday morning. Moreover, minor flooding is
expected for the following rivers between Sunday and Monday:
Rochester, Woodbury Upper, Boston, Dundee, and Blue Licks Spring.
There are other sites that should be closely monitored as we head
into next week for rapid flow rises. Always remember to turn around
when flooding is occurring and find an alternative way.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flood Watch until 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ this evening for
     INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.

KY...Flood Watch until 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ this evening for
     KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.

&&

Mesoscale....MJ
Update.......MJ
Short Term...13
Long Term....ALL
Aviation.....ALL
Hydrology....ALL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 10:58 AM CST, 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1158 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-056-057-061-021700-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Garrard-Madison-
Butler-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Lancaster, Richmond, and Morgantown
1158 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022 /1058 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022/

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and North Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are expected through this
evening, especially in Kentucky. Locally heavy rainfall may cause
flooding impacts, especially in areas where heavy rain persists for
more than a few hours.

There will also be a threat of severe weather with some of the
strongest storms, mainly in southern Kentucky south of the Bluegrass
and Western Kentucky Parkways. The main threats will be locally
damaging winds and hail but isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The latest forecasts suggest that a period of wintry weather will be
possible late Wednesday night and on Thursday. The track of the
system is still uncertain, so be sure to keep abreast of the
forecasts over the coming days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will be needed to report instances of heavy rainfall and
severe weather today.

KYZ053>055-062>067-070>078-081-082-021700-
Larue-Marion-Boyle-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-
Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-
Clinton-
Including the cities of Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Brownsville,
Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford,
Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville,
Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville,
and Albany
1158 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022 /1058 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022/

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south Central
Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are expected through this
evening, especially in Kentucky. Locally heavy rainfall may cause
flooding impacts, especially in areas where heavy rain persists for
more than a few hours.

There will also be a threat of severe weather with some of the
strongest storms, mainly in southern Kentucky. The main threats will
be locally damaging winds and hail but isolated tornadoes cannot be
ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The latest forecasts suggest that a period of wintry weather will be
possible late Wednesday night and on Thursday. The track of the
system is still uncertain, so be sure to keep abreast of the
forecasts over the coming days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will be needed to report instances of heavy rainfall and
severe weather today.

MJ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 1, 10:02 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1102 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ028-045-053-063>065-011645-
Hart KY-Taylor KY-Nelson KY-Hardin KY-Larue KY-Green KY-
1102 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong shower with gusty winds will impact portions of south
central Nelson, northwestern Green, Larue, north central Hart,
northwestern Taylor and south central Hardin Counties through 1145
AM EST/1045 AM CST/...

At 1102 AM EST/1002 AM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
shower with gusty winds 12 miles north of Munfordville, moving east
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
  Hodgenville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 8597 3748 8603 3768 8562 3745 8550
TIME...MOT...LOC 1602Z 247DEG 31KT 3745 8594

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MJ
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 10:09 AM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1109 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ027-028-062-063-011645-
Hart KY-Grayson KY-Edmonson KY-Hardin KY-
1109 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong shower with gusty winds will impact portions of
northwestern Hart, southeastern Grayson, southwestern Hardin and
north central Edmonson Counties through 1145 AM EST/1045 AM CST/...

At 1108 AM EST/1008 AM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
shower with gusty winds 7 miles south of Leitchfield, moving east at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This shower with gusty winds will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Hart, southeastern Grayson, north central Edmonson and
southern Hardin Counties, including the following locations... Rock
Creek, Lines Mill, Broadway, Broad Ford, Peonia, Sadler, Pearman,
Snap, Wax and Royal.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3730 8636 3738 8640 3755 8606 3735 8594
TIME...MOT...LOC 1608Z 247DEG 31KT 3737 8631

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MJ
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 10:23 AM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1023 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ061-062-070>073-011700-
Warren KY-Logan KY-Simpson KY-Allen KY-Edmonson KY-Butler KY-
1023 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Logan, Simpson,
northwestern Allen, Butler, Warren and Edmonson Counties through 1100
AM CST...

At 1023 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles east of Morgantown to near Elkton.
Movement was east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Brownsville around 1035 AM CST.
  Russellville around 1040 AM CST.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Memphis Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 8659 3664 8706 3674 8706 3676 8705
      3695 8706 3708 8692 3709 8690 3710 8690
      3728 8671 3732 8614 3731 8614 3709 8607
      3706 8610 3706 8611 3702 8613 3665 8644
      3665 8651 3664 8654 3664 8657
TIME...MOT...LOC 1623Z 252DEG 50KT 3720 8650 3679 8722

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MJ
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 10:50 AM CST, 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1150 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ045-053-054-011715-
Marion KY-Nelson KY-Larue KY-
1150 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Nelson, Larue and southwestern Marion Counties through 1215 PM EST...

At 1149 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hodgenville, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Marion, south central Nelson and Larue Counties, including the
following locations... Gethsemane, Raywick, Athertonville, Boundary
Oak, Attilla, Howardstown, Dant, Stiles, Blue Gap and Gleanings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EST for central
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 8549 3748 8550 3747 8552 3748 8582
      3759 8582 3773 8546 3747 8539 3747 8540
      3748 8540 3748 8544 3747 8544
TIME...MOT...LOC 1649Z 252DEG 32KT 3753 8575

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CJP
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 11:05 AM CST, 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1205 PM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ027-028-053-063-011730-
Hart KY-Grayson KY-Hardin KY-Larue KY-
1205 PM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Larue,
northern Hart, southeastern Grayson and south central Hardin Counties
through 1230 PM EST/1130 AM CST/...

At 1205 PM EST/1105 AM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 11 miles northwest of Munfordville, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northern Hart,
southeastern Grayson, south central Hardin and southwestern Larue
Counties, including the following locations... Spike, Talley, Wabash,
Macon, Bonnieville, Lines Mill, Maxine, Broad Ford, Magnolia and Pike
View.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EST/600 PM CST/ for
central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 8609 3743 8610 3754 8570 3739 8565
      3736 8569 3734 8569
TIME...MOT...LOC 1705Z 255DEG 38KT 3741 8600

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CJP
Local storm report, Jan 1, 11:36 AM CST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1236 PM EST SAT JAN 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNE OLMSTEAD          36.79N 86.99W
01/01/2022                   LOGAN              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO THAT DID
            DAMAGE TO A GRAIN SILO NEAR HIGHWAY 79 AND
            1151.

&&

KDW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 9:18 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKScott27 min
Dec 31, 9:46 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKBourbon44 min
Jan 1, 12:28 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLogan17 min
Jan 1, 12:49 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKSimpson26 min
Jan 1, 1:06 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKWarren24 min
Jan 1, 1:08 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Cumberland, Green, Logan and 3 more3 hr
Jan 1, 1:24 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKWarren36 min
Jan 1, 1:46 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKCasey29 min
Jan 1, 2:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Green, Metcalfe24 min
Jan 1, 2:39 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKAdair36 min
Jan 1, 3:13 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Metcalfe, Warren5 hr
Jan 1, 3:28 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLogan32 min
Jan 1, 3:39 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Green, Metcalfe, Taylor5 hr
Jan 1, 3:56 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLogan, Warren34 min
Jan 1, 4:02 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Casey, Edmonson and 9 more3 hr
Jan 1, 4:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Edmonson, Warren25 min
Jan 1, 4:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Green, Metcalfe36 min
Jan 1, 4:47 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKLincoln3 hr
Jan 1, 5:13 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Metcalfe, Russell32 min
Jan 1, 5:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Russell21 min
Jan 1, 7:41 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKMetcalfe34 min
Jan 1, 8:08 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Green, Lincoln and 4 more4 hr
Jan 1, 9:38 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLarue22 min
Jan 1, 9:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKButler, Warren5 days
Jan 1, 9:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKHart59 hr
Jan 1, 9:49 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKButler, Muhlenberg, Ohio6 days
Jan 1, 10:02 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLarue43 min
Jan 1, 10:09 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKGrayson36 min
Jan 1, 10:23 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKButler, Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren37 min
Jan 1, 10:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan38 min
Jan 1, 10:50 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLarue25 min
Jan 1, 11:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKEdmonson15 min
Jan 1, 11:05 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKHart25 min
Jan 1, 11:08 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKEdmonson, Hart22 min
Jan 1, 11:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan27 min
Jan 1, 11:24 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKLogan, Simpson21 min
Jan 1, 11:43 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKLogan, Simpson, Warren32 min
Jan 1, 11:46 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKMarion, Washington14 min
Jan 1, 12:00 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Green, Lincoln and 4 more6 hr
Jan 1, 12:08 PM CSTTornado WarningLMKMarion, Taylor22 min
Jan 1, 12:08 PM CSTTornado WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Metcalfe37 min
Jan 1, 12:14 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKBullitt, Grayson, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Marion and 4 more4 hr
Jan 1, 12:14 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKBarren16 min
Jan 1, 12:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKGreen, Taylor16 min
Jan 1, 12:15 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKButler, Edmonson, Grayson, Hart, Logan, Ohio and 1 more4 hr
Jan 1, 12:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKBarren, Metcalfe30 min
Jan 1, 12:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKAdair, Casey, Green, Marion, Taylor29 min
Jan 1, 12:49 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKClinton26 min
Jan 1, 12:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKAdair, Green, Metcalfe23 min
Jan 1, 12:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLMKMadison8 min
Jan 1, 12:56 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKCumberland34 min
Jan 1, 1:01 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKAnderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Garrard and 9 more4 hr
Jan 1, 1:03 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKBarren, Casey, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Larue and 4 more4 hr
Jan 1, 1:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Monroe37 min
Jan 1, 1:30 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLMKRussell30 min
Jan 1, 1:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKClinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe26 min
Jan 1, 1:40 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe and 2 more4 hr
Jan 1, 1:49 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKBourbon38 hr
Jan 1, 1:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMKClinton, Cumberland, Russell37 min
Jan 1, 2:03 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKHardin, Nelson3 days
Jan 1, 4:11 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLMKFranklin27 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.