Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2022

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Jackson, KY

January 1, 20224 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this flash flood warning at Jan 1, 2022, 7:45 AM EST for 4 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2022, 7:45 AM EST (12:45 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2022, 12:45 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Jackson County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 75 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2022-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 379 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2022-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
379 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
791 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

067 
WGUS53 KJKL 011245
FFWJKL
KYC109-125-199-203-011545-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FF.W.0005.220101T1245Z-220101T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson KY
745 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Laurel County in south central Kentucky...
  Northern Pulaski County in south central Kentucky...
  Rockcastle County in south central Kentucky...
  Southwestern Jackson County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 1045 AM EST.

* At 745 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of 
  rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Somerset, Mount Vernon, Science Hill, Level Green, Valley Oak, 
  Woodstock, Willailla, Bandy, Bromo, Quail, Bobtown, Shopville, 
  Hansford, Bee Lick, Wabp, Bloss, Dabney, Sand Springs, Spiro and 
  Ottowa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 8450 3739 8448 3741 8411 3724 8405
      3704 8490 3705 8491 3712 8490 3736 8456

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

GREIF
2 follow-up statements
196 
WGUS53 KJKL 011533
FFWJKL
KYC109-125-199-203-011745-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220101T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1033 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northwestern Laurel County in south central Kentucky...
  Northern Pulaski County in south central Kentucky...
  Rockcastle County in south central Kentucky...
  Southwestern Jackson County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 1245 PM EST.

* At 1033 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Somerset, Mount Vernon, Science Hill, Level Green, Valley Oak, 
  Woodstock, Willailla, Bandy, Bromo, Quail, Bobtown, Shopville, 
  Hansford, Bee Lick, Wabp, Bloss, Dabney, Sand Springs, Spiro and 
  Ottowa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 8450 3739 8448 3741 8411 3724 8405
      3704 8490 3705 8491 3712 8490 3736 8456

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

RAY
677 
WGUS73 KJKL 011741
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1241 PM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYC109-125-199-203-011751-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-220101T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jackson KY-Laurel KY-Pulaski KY-Rockcastle KY-
1241 PM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1245 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
NORTHWESTERN LAUREL, NORTHERN PULASKI, ROCKCASTLE AND SOUTHWESTERN 
JACKSON COUNTIES...

Flash flooding has come to an end, but general flooding continues 
across the area. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 1200 AM EST Sunday for 
portions of east central Kentucky, northeast Kentucky, south central 
Kentucky and southeast Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3733 8450 3739 8448 3741 8411 3724 8405
      3704 8490 3705 8491 3712 8490 3736 8456

$$

RAY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 1, 5:45 AM EST, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 5:45 AM EST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
545 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 545 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2022

10Z sfc analysis shows a nearly stationary front nearby with a
wave of low pressure passing by to the north. This has lead to a
steady flow of warm and moist air into eastern Kentucky with the
boundary acting as a local focusing mechanism amid large scale
ascent. As a result, a train of cells, some with lightning, are
rolling over much of eastern Kentucky with heavy rain and the
potential for rotation given the high shear environment. A
tornado watch is in effect for western portions of the Cumberland
Valley for likelihood of better organized cells there. A flash
flood watch is in effect for the entire CWA with a long flood
advisory and smaller flash flood warnings currently active.
Temperatures in this situation are ridiculously warm for the start
of January in Kentucky - ranging from the upper 60s in the south
to the upper 50s in the north while dewpoints vary similarly from
the mid 50s north to the mid 60s south. Winds have been variable
with times of light readings but also a propensity for southwest
breezes of 10 to 15 mph and gusts up to 25 mph.

The models are pretty good agreement aloft through the short term
portion of the forecast. They all depict a broad full latitude
trough quickly moving into the High Plains today. This large
scale feature then tightens considerably over the Southern Plains
tonight - prolonging the deep layer southwest flow through
Kentucky to its downstream. The core of this feature then digs
through Dixie Alley and brings its axis of mid level energy into
Kentucky by 00Z Monday as more significant height falls arrive.
The GFS and NAM are most similar with this evolution and the
strength of the pattern compared to the ECMWF but those
differences are minimal over Kentucky. Accordingly, have favored
the blended NBM as the starting point for the grids, though with
considerable contribution from the CAMs consensus guidance for
PoPs and QPF in the near term.

Sensible weather will feature a very active period to start the new
year with flooding rains, gusty winds, and potential severe weather
today giving way to falling temperatures and colder conditions on
Sunday and snow that night. The flooding rains threat will linger
into tonight as the train of showers and storms continue with
only a small shift north then back south through the next 24
hours. It does appear that a wave will develop on the larger
system's front lingering the heavy rain and flooding potential
well into tonight. Very mild conditions linger south of the main
front today with record highs likely - despite the heavy rain and
storms around. The HRRR shows some higher wind gusts making it to
the surface from late morning into this afternoon across a good
portion of the Cumberland Valley with the higher terrain nearer to
Virginia also under the gun. Accordingly, have issued an SPS
addressing this concern, though the flooding rains remain the
chief worry through the short term forecast.

the main adjustments to the forecast from the NBM were to beef up
the PoPs and QPF through today and also to blend with the 90
percentile winds for higher sustained speeds and gusts this
afternoon more similar to the HRRR predictions. Temperatures
where only edited for spot specific values.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 545 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2022

A pivot toward a more true winter has arrived, as the long term
begins with a departing wave and associated cold front. An upper
level positively tilted shortwave will pivot across the Tennessee
Valley to start the period, bringing much cooler air to the region.
Guidance is in fairly good agreement with this transition, but the
GFS remains the most bullish with QPF. As such, have gone with a
solution closer to the blend. Soundings support a gradual transition
to snow Sunday night, as low levels are saturated and thermal
profiles fall below 0C. The best window of opportunity will come
late Sunday evening and to 12z Monday, but chances will decreasing
from west to east during this time. The biggest uncertainties remain
on how much lingering moisture there will be as temperatures
decrease Sunday evening. With anomalously warm temperatures felt
through the end of December and into the new year, it may be a
challenge for ground temperatures to support much accumulation,
particularly in the lower elevations. With that said, did bump up
accumulations atop the highest terrain (~2500ft+), as colder air
advects in much quicker in these locations. For this package, the
thinking is for minimal accumulations across the greater part of the
CWA, mainly on grassy surfaces. Elevations above 2500 feet could see
between 1-2 inches with locally higher amounts possible atop Black
Mtn.

Upper level zonal flow across much of the CONUS will then follow for
Tuesday and Wednesday, as a quickly passing surface high meanders
across the Ohio Valley. Into Wednesday, an upper level trough will
shift southeast out of Central Canada, supporting a low and stout
cold front at the surface. Timing with this transition vary quite
largely within operational models. The operational GFS suggests a
quicker progression, but lower QPF. The ECMWF and Canadian are a bit
slower, but suggest a better opportunity for PoPs. This is
replicated within ensemble cluster analysis as well, with 22% of
Euro members depicting a deeper trough aligned across the Mid
Mississippi Valley. However, 33% of GEFS members suggests this to be
aligned further north, across the Great Lakes and into the Ohio
Valley during the same time period. A similar case of post-frontal
precipitation transition will again be possible Thursday night, but
details remain too fine for any confidence. High pressure will then
arrive to carry us through the end of the period, with dry and very
cool weather expected.

Temperatures through the period will vary as a couple of
disturbances take aim at Eastern Kentucky. To start, Monday
afternoon highs will be chilly, in the mid and upper 30s and warming
into the upper 40s and low 50s by Wednesday. An approaching frontal
boundary will bring highs into the low and mid 40s Thursday, before
CAA limits highs Friday to the upper 20s and low 30s. As with highs,
lows will vary, but generally, be below average. Sunday night into
Monday will see values in the low to mid 20s, before further cooling
with the help of most clear skies, into the upper teens to lower 20s
Monday night. Return flow along with increasing cloud cover will
allow for a rebound Wednesday and Thursday, with lows these nights
ranging from the low to upper 30s. A passing cold front will then
bring lows ranging from the mid to upper teens Thursday night and
into Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2022

Mostly MVFR ceilings start the 06Z TAF period with poor flying
conditions expected through Saturday as periods of moderate to
heavy rain from showers and storms moving across the forecast
area. Ceilings will eventually drop to IFR by the early morning
hours of Saturday before probably slowly improving to MVFR
throughout the day. Visibilities will also be reduced at times,
especially during periods of moderate to heavy rainfall.
Southwesterly winds will be 5-10 kts through early Saturday
morning, increasing to 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-30 kts during
the afternoon and early evening. Wind shear will be possible at
times, but was left out of the TAFs as much of it will be
translated to the sfc with the heavier showers and storms.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-
069-079-080-083-104-106>109-111-112-114.

Flood Watch through late tonight for KYZ084>088-110-113-115>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...BB
AVIATION...CMF/GREIF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 1:05 AM EST, 6 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
105 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-112-020915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Jackson
105 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are expected overnight
tonight, along with a possibility of thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of moderate to heavy rain are expected through Saturday
night, with widespread 2 to 3 inch rainfall amounts likely.
Isolated higher amounts are possible. Flooding may occur in
locations which receive the heaviest rainfall.

There is also a potential for thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday
night, some of which could contain damaging wind gusts. Isolated
tornadoes can not be ruled out. Outside of thunderstorms, breezy
southwest wind gusts up to 35 mph will occur Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter assistance may be requested tonight through Saturday
night.

KYZ087-088-110-113-115-117>120-020915-
Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard,
Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
105 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are possible overnight
tonight, along with a possibility of thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are possible Saturday, but
are more likely Saturday night, with widespread total rainfall
amounts of 1.5 to 2 inches forecast. Isolated higher amounts
cannot be ruled out. Flooding may occur in locations which receive
the heaviest rainfall.

There is also a potential for thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday
night, some of which could contain damaging wind gusts. Isolated
tornadoes can not be ruled out. Outside of thunderstorms, breezy
southwest wind gusts up to 35 mph will occur Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter assistance may be requested tonight through Saturday
night.

KYZ084>086-116-020915-
McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Clay-
Including the cities of Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, and Manchester
105 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Rounds of thunderstorms will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to
the area overnight. Some of these storms could become severe with
damaging wind gusts the main threat, though a tornado or two will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are possible Saturday, but
are more likely Saturday night, with widespread total rainfall
amounts of 1.5 to 2 inches forecast. Isolated higher amounts
cannot be ruled out. Flooding may occur in locations which receive
the heaviest rainfall.

There is also a potential for thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday
night, some of which could contain damaging wind gusts. Isolated
tornadoes can not be ruled out. Outside of thunderstorms, breezy
southwest wind gusts up to 35 mph will occur Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged pass on any severe or flood reports to the
National Weather Service through Saturday night.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083-114-020915-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-Owsley-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, and Booneville
105 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Rounds of thunderstorms will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to
the area overnight. Some of these storms could become severe with
damaging wind gusts the main threat, though a tornado or two will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Periods of moderate to heavy rain are expected through Saturday
night, with widespread 2 to 3 inch rainfall amounts likely.
Isolated higher amounts are possible. Flooding may occur in
locations which receive the heaviest rainfall.

There is also a potential for thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday
night, some of which could contain damaging wind gusts. Isolated
tornadoes can not be ruled out. Outside of thunderstorms, breezy
southwest wind gusts up to 35 mph will occur Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged pass on any severe or flood reports to
the National Weather Service through Saturday night.

HAL/GREIF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 1, 5:10 AM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
510 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ058-068-069-011100-
Jackson KY-Estill KY-Rockcastle KY-
510 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Estill,
Jackson and Rockcastle Counties through 600 AM EST...

At 508 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a group of strong
thunderstorms near Indian Lakes Park, or 11 miles west of Mount
Vernon, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Maretburg and Spiro around 515 AM EST.
  Mount Vernon, Conway, Roundstone, Hiatt, Lake Linville, Renfro
  Valley and Muellersville around 520 AM EST.
  Boone, Disputanta, Snider, Bummer, Wildie, Hummel, Orlando, Dudley
  Station and Flat Rock around 525 AM EST.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Morrill,
Threelinks, Goochland, Johnetta, Loam, Cooksburg, Kerby Knob,
Sandgap, Clover Bottom, Shirley, Hisel, Collingsworth, Eglon,
Hurley, McKee, Brazil, Alcorn, Foxtown, Blanton Flats, Waneta,
Locust Branch, Jinks, Macedonia, Wind Cave, Lakes, Drip Rock,
Alumbaugh, Wagersville, Turkey Foot, New Zion, Station Camp,
Leighton, Shade, Texola and Pryse.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EST for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 8445 3747 8438 3754 8435 3751 8427
      3752 8420 3756 8416 3757 8409 3764 8412
      3772 8374 3766 8382 3764 8381 3762 8387
      3754 8391 3748 8389 3744 8384 3737 8381
      3730 8448 3733 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 1008Z 254DEG 49KT 3742 8454

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 5:49 AM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
549 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ058-068-069-079-011130-
Jackson KY-Estill KY-Rockcastle KY-Pulaski KY-
549 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Estill,
north central Pulaski, Jackson and Rockcastle Counties through 630 AM
EST...

At 548 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bee Lick, or 12 miles west of Mount Vernon, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Ottowa, Quail, Indian Lakes Park, Bromo, Gum Sulphur and Level
  Green around 555 AM EST.
  Maretburg, Spiro, Hiatt, Wabp and Sand Springs around 600 AM EST.
  Mount Vernon, Muellersville, Renfro Valley, Lake Linville, Hummel,
  Wildie, Burr, Roundstone, Wellhope and Pine Hill around 605 AM
  EST.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Bummer, Dudley
Station, Orlando, Flat Rock, Donaro, Withers, Sinks, Disputanta,
Goochland, Johnetta, Loam, Cooksburg, Robinet, Threelinks, Jep Hill,
Dango, Horse Lick, Ardery, Collingsworth, Eglon, Sandgap, Clover
Bottom, Kerby Knob, Middlefork, Waneta, Hurley, Shop Branch, Brazil,
Atkinstown, Dabolt, Alcorn, Hisel, McKee, Macedonia, Turkey Foot,
Lakes, New Zion, Bradshaw, Wind Cave, Foxtown, Gray Hawk and Privett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EST for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 8456 3733 8451 3734 8450 3748 8444
      3747 8438 3754 8434 3751 8426 3752 8420
      3756 8416 3756 8409 3763 8412 3768 8401
      3738 8382 3723 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1048Z 255DEG 44KT 3734 8456

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 5:52 AM EST, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
552 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ109-110-112-113-115-011130-
Breathitt KY-Perry KY-Floyd KY-Knott KY-Magoffin KY-
552 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Perry,
northwestern Knott, Floyd, central Breathitt and southeastern
Magoffin Counties through 630 AM EST...

At 551 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Little, or 8 miles south of Jackson, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Flintville, Ned, Wilstacy and Dice around 555 AM EST.
  Noble, Hardshell, Rowdy, Press and Sikes around 600 AM EST.
  Buck, Daisydell, Lunah and Ary around 605 AM EST.
  Decoy, Elmrock, Lambric and Vest around 610 AM EST.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Vail, Evanston,
Waldo, Duco, Yellow Mountain, Mid, Gunlock, Orchard, Handshoe,
Ordway, Fredville, Bolyn, Gapville, Estill, Wayland, Hueysville,
Hippo, Pyramid, Bosco, Eastern, Garret, Porter Junction, Blue River,
Martin, Allen, Alphoretta, Langley, Printer, Arkansas, Hunter, Beaver
Junction, Allen City and Dana.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 8341 3750 8347 3772 8264 3770 8260
      3768 8259 3767 8261 3763 8260 3751 8262
      3750 8260 3749 8260 3749 8259 3746 8259
TIME...MOT...LOC 1051Z 255DEG 44KT 3744 8335

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 6:26 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
626 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ068-069-080-111-112-114-116-011215-
Jackson KY-Lee KY-Clay KY-Breathitt KY-Owsley KY-Rockcastle KY-
Laurel KY-
626 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Laurel, Owsley, southern Jackson, southeastern Rockcastle, western
Breathitt, southeastern Lee and north central Clay Counties through
715 AM EST...

At 626 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Privett, or near McKee, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Green Hall, Elian, Nathanton, Sourwood and Sextons Creek around
  630 AM EST.
  Sturgeon, Endee, Travellers Rest, Vincent, Blake, Island City,
  Wild Dog, Delvinta and Earnestville around 635 AM EST.
  Booneville, Scoville, Turin, Major, Southfork, Levi, Conkling,
  Pebworth, Taff and Ida May around 640 AM EST.
  Eversole, Cowcreek, Chestnut Gap, Lerose, Stay, Ricetown, Grass,
  Gobbard, Lower Buffalo and Sebastian around 645 AM EST.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Jetts Creek,
Houston, Arnett, Lone, Athol, Tallega, Morris Fork, Canyon Falls,
Dalesburg, Turkey, Guerrant, Canoe, Sebastian's Branch, Copebranch,
Chenowee, Talbert, Oakdale, Crockettsville, War Creek, Curt, Howard
Creek, Copland, Saldee, Elkatawa, Yeadon, Gentry, Little, Whick,
Frozen Creek, Jackson, Dumont, Haddix and Inverness.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM EST for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 8339 3738 8330 3736 8343 3738 8345
      3737 8347 3738 8348 3735 8350 3723 8433
      3733 8438
TIME...MOT...LOC 1126Z 254DEG 44KT 3739 8390

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 6:28 AM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
628 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ110-113-119-120-011215-
Martin KY-Floyd KY-Knott KY-Pike KY-
628 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Martin, northeastern Knott, central Floyd and northern Pike Counties
through 715 AM EST...

At 627 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Langley, or 11 miles south of Prestonsburg, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Aluba, Justell, Harold, Ivel, Grethel, Osborn and Galveston around
  635 AM EST.
  Pikeville, Betsy Layne, Boldman and Coal Run around 640 AM EST.
  Coal Run Village, Gulnare, Zebulon and McCombs around 645 AM EST.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Meta, Piso, Jarad,
Heenan, Raccoon, Sidney, Varney, Heisey, Conder, Kimper, Forest
Hills, Canada, Belfry, Huddy, Turkey Creek, Mcandrews, Rural,
Whitepost, Hardy, Aflex, Phelps and Board Tree.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3738 8294 3749 8292 3754 8288 3758 8290
      3774 8232 3767 8230 3766 8224 3762 8221
      3763 8219 3765 8218 3762 8218 3758 8213
      3757 8214 3755 8213 3756 8210 3754 8206
      3754 8202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1127Z 254DEG 44KT 3752 8278

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Jan 1, 7:42 AM EST, 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
742 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

KYZ110-120-011330-
Floyd KY-Pike KY-
742 AM EST Sat Jan 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Floyd
and central Pike Counties through 830 AM EST...

At 742 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Coal Run, or near Pikeville, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pikeville and Shelbiana around 745 AM EST.
  Zebulon, Raccoon, Meta, Chloe and Garden Village around 750 AM
  EST.
  Kimper and Varney around 755 AM EST.
  Canada, Sidney and Phyllis around 800 AM EST.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Forest Hills,
Mcandrews, Huddy, Hardy, Belfry, Aflex, Phelps, Board Tree, Jamboree,
Coleman, Majestic, Argo and Woodman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 8211 3740 8266 3759 8269 3767 8227
      3765 8223 3762 8221 3763 8219 3765 8218
      3762 8218 3758 8213 3757 8214 3755 8213
      3756 8208 3753 8205 3755 8204 3754 8202
      3751 8201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1242Z 260DEG 42KT 3752 8258

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 11:15 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLFleming45 min
Dec 31, 11:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLRowan34 min
Jan 1, 3:47 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Clay, Floyd, Knott, Laurel, Leslie and 2 more5 hr
Jan 1, 4:17 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Perry8 hr
Jan 1, 4:31 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Rockcastle44 min
Jan 1, 5:01 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLClay, Laurel, Leslie, Owsley, Perry7 hr
Jan 1, 5:10 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Rockcastle50 min
Jan 1, 5:12 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Rockcastle6 hr
Jan 1, 5:49 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Rockcastle41 min
Jan 1, 5:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBreathitt, Floyd38 min
Jan 1, 5:54 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Pulaski, Rockcastle36 min
Jan 1, 5:58 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLBreathitt, Clay, Jackson, Knott, Laurel, Lee and 3 more4 hr
Jan 1, 6:06 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLFloyd, Pike4 hr
Jan 1, 6:08 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Perry5 hr
Jan 1, 6:18 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLJackson, Rockcastle5 hr
Jan 1, 6:26 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Owsley49 min
Jan 1, 6:28 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLFloyd, Pike47 min
Jan 1, 6:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Pike32 min
Jan 1, 6:47 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Rockcastle43 min
Jan 1, 6:52 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLJackson, Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle4 hr
Jan 1, 6:57 AM ESTTornado WarningJKLPulaski33 min
Jan 1, 7:22 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle39 min
Jan 1, 7:25 AM ESTTornado WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle20 min
Jan 1, 7:42 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike48 min
Jan 1, 7:51 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Martin, Pike4 hr
Jan 1, 7:51 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Rockcastle39 min
Jan 1, 8:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike31 min
Jan 1, 8:57 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike18 min
Jan 1, 9:18 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLFloyd, Knott, Letcher, Perry, Pike117 min
Jan 1, 10:31 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLOwsley28 hr
Jan 1, 10:31 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLLee45 hr
Jan 1, 10:31 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLEstill3 days
Jan 1, 11:07 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Magoffin, Perry and 1 more23 hr
Jan 1, 11:17 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningJKLClay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley and 4 more23 hr
Jan 1, 11:17 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKLEstill, Powell61 hr
Jan 1, 1:18 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Fleming, Montgomery, Rowan42 min
Jan 1, 2:10 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMenifee35 min
Jan 1, 2:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMenifee, Powell, Wolfe41 min
Jan 1, 2:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan37 min
Jan 1, 2:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPulaski47 min
Jan 1, 2:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMenifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe35 min
Jan 1, 2:49 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLElliott26 min
Jan 1, 3:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Johnson, Martin, Morgan28 min
Jan 1, 3:05 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLaurel25 min
Jan 1, 3:09 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson36 min
Jan 1, 3:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Wayne32 min
Jan 1, 3:29 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLOwsley31 min
Jan 1, 3:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, Whitley35 min
Jan 1, 3:44 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMcCreary31 min
Jan 1, 3:59 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLKnott31 min
Jan 1, 4:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Knox, Laurel, Owsley, Whitley36 min
Jan 1, 4:18 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMcCreary, Whitley27 min
Jan 1, 4:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Knox, McCreary, Whitley32 min
Jan 1, 4:33 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLFloyd27 min
Jan 1, 4:37 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLKnott, Leslie, Perry23 min
Jan 1, 4:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie34 min
Jan 1, 5:05 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLKnott, Letcher, Perry25 min
Jan 1, 5:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Knott, Leslie, Letcher, Perry36 min
Jan 1, 5:30 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike30 min
Jan 1, 5:42 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Estill, Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe15 hr
Jan 1, 5:46 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Harlan29 min
Jan 1, 5:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLetcher34 min
Jan 1, 6:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike14 min
Jan 1, 6:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKLHarlan32 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2022Every flash flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.