Tornado Warning 159, NWS Jackson, MS

492 
WWUS54 KJAN 142024
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
224 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC073-142034-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0159.000000T0000Z-221214T2115Z/
Lamar MS-
224 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LAMAR COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3118 8935 3143 8935 3143 8914 3133 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 211DEG 37KT 3131 8932 

$$

MSC035-142115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0159.000000T0000Z-221214T2115Z/
Forrest MS-
224 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN FORREST COUNTY...
    
At 224 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Hattiesburg, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Petal around 230 PM CST.
  Macedonia around 235 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8935 3143 8935 3143 8914 3133 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 211DEG 37KT 3131 8932 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DB

861 
WWUS54 KJAN 142054
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
254 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC035-142115-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0159.000000T0000Z-221214T2115Z/
Forrest MS-
254 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN FORREST COUNTY...
    
At 254 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Hattiesburg, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Petal and Sunrise around 300 PM CST.
  Macedonia around 310 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3122 8930 3129 8935 3143 8922 3143 8914
      3133 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 228DEG 36KT 3128 8929 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

NF

205 
WWUS54 KJAN 142106
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
306 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC035-142115-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0159.000000T0000Z-221214T2115Z/
Forrest MS-
306 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FORREST COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
315 PM CST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Jackson.

LAT...LON 3122 8930 3129 8935 3143 8922 3143 8914
      3133 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 211DEG 37KT 3138 8922 

$$

NF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1144 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...New AVIATION...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 1031 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

The initial cold front has stalled near a Natchez to Vicksburg to
Greenwood line and current radar imagery still showed showers and
thunderstorms east of this stalled front. Mid morning water vapor
imagery/RAP analysis showed a potent shortwave trough moving over
east Texas that will swing across our region this afternoon and
evening. This will help develop a surface low to our southwest
that will ride northeast along the stalled boundary and help
develop additional severe thunderstorms across the southeast
portions of our CWA. Although severe storms will be possible
generally along and southeast of the Natchez Trace, the greatest
potential and most intense storms are expected across our
southeast. Environmental parameters across our southeast will
remain favorable for the development of tornadoes; some may be
strong, damaging wind gusts to 70 mph, and hail to the size of
golf balls. SPC has upgraded our southeast with a "Moderate (4/5)"
in the latest day one outlook. In addition, heavy rainfall will
remain a concern again generally along and southeast of the
Natchez Trace where several additional inches of rain in a short
amount will lead to flash flooding and minor river flooding. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

Today and tonight...Will not be making any big changes to the
short term forecast at this point. Current forecast was on track.
Severe storms continue to develop along the boundary draped from
near Greenwood to Yazoo City down to Jonesville. Models show a
wave developing over the northern Gulf later today, helping to
push the boundary out of the area. At this time storm activity
seems to be slightly further east than expected with thunderstorms
moving into the metro area. Air was a little more stable to
the northeast, so there has been less thunderstorm development.
The best moisture and instability remain generally south of I-20.
Cells continue to develop over the southeast where dewpoints were
in the lower 70s. Still looks like a pretty active day.

Guidance continues to suggest that the system will slow down
supporting the flash flood risk. Rainfall has been really
efficient, where really good rates were likely causing localized
flooding. Drier air was moving into the Delta and rain was
thinning from the north and west. Stuck with guidance for pops and
temps. Clouds and rain should keep values relatively steady for
today.

Thursday through next Tuesday...

Forecast remains somewhat on track for the most part for the long
term period as we head into Thursday. Model guidance highlight a
large closed low spinning over Iowa. As low shifts east towards the
Great Lakes, broad upper troughing should continue to prevail across
our CWA heading into Friday. This in turn, should bring a
drier/colder airmass which should allow for drier weather to
dominate our forecast for the next several days.

With this aforementioned cold front, afternoon temperatures should
peak into the 50s with a few areas along and north of the Hwy 82
corridor to dip into the upper 40s. Heading into the weekend, model
guidance indicate another shortwave trough approaching our forecast
area by early Saturday morning. In response to this, another cold
front should drive across the region. Areas across the region could
see morning lows dip into the 30s. The coldest night looks to be
Saturday with overnight lows ranging in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Models are in disagreement with each other in regards to possible
rain showers on Saturday evening. By Sunday, a high pressure system
should being to move across the area. As the system begins to track
east by Sunday evening, return flow should begin to across our CWA.
Rain chances should return on Monday and Tuesday with afternoon
highs in the upper 50s. /CRJ/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1141 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MVFR cigs along with -RA wl continue at GLH and GWO through this
aftn before improving to VFR conditions by this evening.
Otherwise, Numerous TSRA will continue across the area along and
ahead of a cold front that wl take until this evening to move se
of HBG. IFR/LIFR conditions along with strong gusty winds wl
accompany the TSRA. Conditions wl be slow to improve from the west
this evening and east MS TAF sites wl see MVFR cigs until after
06Z Thu. VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the end of
the TAF period once conditions improve areawide after 06Z Thu. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       41  57  34  54 /  20   0   0   0
Meridian      42  59  34  55 /  70   0   0   0
Vicksburg     39  57  34  54 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   45  62  36  60 /  60   0   0   0
Natchez       40  58  34  55 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    39  54  34  50 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     39  54  34  50 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ025>033-035>039-
     042>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

07/CR/22

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-024-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-152000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

LAZ025-026-MSZ026>030-032-036-037-042-043-047-048-053-152000-
Tensas-Concordia-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw-
Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash flooding
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

MSZ031-038-060-152000-
Lowndes-Winston-Adams-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Isolated severe storms capable of damaging winds and hail are
possible. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall over saturated grounds will likely lead
to areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon.

MSZ033-039-044-054-059-061-152000-
Oktibbeha-Noxubee-Leake-Copiah-Jefferson-Franklin MS-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Additional heavy rainfall over saturated grounds will likely lead
to areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

MSZ045-046-050-055-062-152000-
Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-Simpson-Lincoln-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some
tornadoes may be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall over saturated grounds will likely lead
to areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon.

MSZ049-152000-
Rankin-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at
least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall over saturated grounds will likely lead
to areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon.

MSZ051-052-056>058-063>066-072>074-152000-
Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
148 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Some
tornadoes may be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall over saturated grounds will likely lead
to areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1224 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1204 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 E BELLEVUE            31.31N 89.44W
12/14/2022                   LAMAR              MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            POSSIBLE FUNNEL OVER HIGHWAY 98 WEST OF
            HATTIESBURG.

&&

SS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1230 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1224 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BROOKHAVEN              31.58N 90.45W
12/14/2022                   LINCOLN            MS   PUBLIC

            FLOODING NEAR I-55 AND HIGHWAY 550.

&&

SS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1234 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E LAUREL              31.70N 89.10W
12/14/2022                   JONES              MS   PUBLIC

            POSSIBLE WALL CLOUD NEAR NEW HEBRON.

&&

SS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1257 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1244 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE TOUGALOO          32.37N 90.14W
12/14/2022                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            ABOUT 10 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER ON
            RIDGEWOOD RD.

&&

SS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
207 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 AM     TORNADO          ANGUILLA                32.97N 90.83W
12/14/2022                   SHARKEY            MS   PUBLIC

            MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED IN SHARKEY COUNTY.

&&

SS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
209 PM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1259 PM     TORNADO          1 N MACEDONIA           31.40N 89.17W
12/14/2022                   FORREST            MS   PUBLIC

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOUSES AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF POP RUNNELS ROAD AND
            MACEDONIA ROAD IN PETAL.

&&

SS