Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 122, NWS Jackson, MS

December 13, 2022Issaquena County, Sharkey County, Warren County, Mississippi; East Carroll Parish, Madison Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Dec 13, 2022, 11:54 PM CST for Issaquena County, Sharkey County, Warren County, Mississippi; East Carroll Parish, Madison Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 66 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Dec 13, 2022, 11:54 PM CST (05:54 UTC)
Expired: Dec 14, 2022, 1:00 AM CST
In force: 66 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties East Carroll Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Issaquena County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Warren County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Dec 14, 12:09 AM CST	TORNADO	5 S Fitler, MS	TORNADO SIGHTED NEAR LAKE ALBEMARLE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 15 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Dec 13, 6:25 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
Dec 13, 11:42 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 50 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 307 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 433 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

860 
WFUS54 KJAN 140554
TORJAN
LAC035-065-MSC055-125-149-140700-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0122.221214T0554Z-221214T0700Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1154 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern East Carroll Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  North central Madison Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Northwestern Warren County in west central Mississippi...
  West central Issaquena County in west central Mississippi...
  Southwestern Sharkey County in west central Mississippi...

* Until 100 AM CST.
    
* At 1153 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located near Sondheimer, or 8 miles north of Tallulah,
  moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Omega around 1200 AM CST.
  Alsatia around 1205 AM CST.
  Fitler around 1225 AM CST.
  Onward around 1230 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3272 9112 3278 9096 3276 9073 3246 9111
      3246 9131 3255 9135
TIME...MOT...LOC 0553Z 235DEG 30KT 3253 9123 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC

4 follow-up statements

605 
WWUS54 KJAN 140601
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1201 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

LAC065-MSC149-140611-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
Madison LA-Warren MS-
1201 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MADISON PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and west central Mississippi. A Tornado Watch also
remains in effect until 600 AM CST for northeastern Louisiana...and
central and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3269 9116 3272 9112 3278 9096 3276 9073
      3258 9096 3258 9104 3256 9107 3256 9111
      3254 9113 3254 9119
TIME...MOT...LOC 0601Z 231DEG 37KT 3260 9112 

$$

LAC035-MSC055-125-140700-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
East Carroll LA-Issaquena MS-Sharkey MS-
1201 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL PARISH...WEST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND
SOUTHWESTERN SHARKEY COUNTIES...
    
At 1201 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Alsatia, or near Transylvania, moving northeast at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Fitler around 1215 AM CST.
  Onward around 1220 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9116 3272 9112 3278 9096 3276 9073
      3258 9096 3258 9104 3256 9107 3256 9111
      3254 9113 3254 9119
TIME...MOT...LOC 0601Z 231DEG 37KT 3260 9112 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC

641 
WWUS54 KJAN 140612
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1212 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

LAC035-MSC055-125-140700-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
East Carroll LA-Issaquena MS-Sharkey MS-
1212 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL PARISH...WEST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND
SOUTHWESTERN SHARKEY COUNTIES...
    
At 1212 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Fitler, or 8
miles west of Valley Park, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern East Carroll Parish, west central Issaquena and
southwestern Sharkey Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 9116 3272 9112 3278 9096 3276 9073
      3258 9096 3258 9104 3256 9107 3256 9111
      3254 9113 3254 9119
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 231DEG 38KT 3267 9101 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC

999 
WWUS54 KJAN 140619
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1219 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

LAC035-140628-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
East Carroll LA-
1219 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL PARISH IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and west central Mississippi. A Tornado Watch also
remains in effect until 600 AM CST for central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3278 9096 3276 9073 3258 9096 3258 9103
      3262 9100 3272 9106 3274 9107
TIME...MOT...LOC 0618Z 229DEG 34KT 3272 9096 

$$

MSC055-125-140700-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
Issaquena MS-Sharkey MS-
1219 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR CENTRAL
ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHWESTERN SHARKEY COUNTIES...
    
At 1218 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Onward, or 7
miles northwest of Valley Park, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Fitler and Onward. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 9096 3276 9073 3258 9096 3258 9103
      3262 9100 3272 9106 3274 9107
TIME...MOT...LOC 0618Z 229DEG 34KT 3272 9096 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC

558 
WWUS54 KJAN 140650
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1250 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC055-125-140700-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0122.000000T0000Z-221214T0700Z/
Issaquena MS-Sharkey MS-
1250 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHWESTERN SHARKEY
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 100 AM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and west central Mississippi. A Tornado Watch also
remains in effect until 600 AM CST for central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3278 9096 3276 9073 3258 9096 3258 9103
      3262 9100 3272 9106 3274 9107
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 235DEG 30KT 3287 9071 

$$

DC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 13, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 14 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
740 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 715 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

No major forecast updates were made. Models continue to be
consistent on previously forecasted timeline for showers and
storms. Storms will move into the nw of our forecast area and
move towards the se ahead of the approaching cold front. As storms
move through the area there are possibilities for some to become
severe and could be capable of producing tornadoes(some strong),
golfball sized hail and damaging wind gusts of up to 70mph.
Showers and storms are expected to be slow moving through the area
as they will not clear the forecast area until late Wednesday
afternoon/early evening. As storms will be slow moving, rainfall
accumulations of 2 inches to 4 inches will be possible with
locally higher amounts. For this reason, there will be threats for
flash flooding across the forecast area into Wednesday. A tornado
watch is currently in effect for western portions of the forecast
area and additional watches will be possible overnight into
Wednesday. /KP/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

Tonight and Wednesday: Mid afternoon satellite imagery/RAP analysis
showed a large closed low spinning over Nebraska. Beneath the low
was a <1000mb surface low that had a cold front across eastern
Oklahoma into east Texas. Regional radars already showed a band of
storms developing along and ahead of the cold front that will move
into our CWA this evening and not clear our CWA until late Wednesday
afternoon. Overall, not much has changed with the thinking
concerning the potential for severe weather and flash flooding
across our CWA through Wednesday as mentioned in our previous
forecast discussion:

Severe: An "Enhanced" Risk (3/5) for severe weather is currently
along and south of a line from Bastrop, Louisiana to De Kalb
Mississippi, while a "Slight" Risk (2/5) north of the same line. The
potential for tornadoes; a few of which could be strong, hail
quarter to golf ball size, and damaging winds to 70 mph will be
likely with the strongest storms. This severe weather threat is
expected to be a LONG event and continue until the cold front passes
through the area.

Flash flooding: Flash flooding will also be likely for many areas
tonight through Wednesday. Heavy rainfall of two to four inches with
locally high amounts in a short amount of time are likely,
especially along and east of the Natchez Trace. "Elevated (2/4)"
threat for flash flooding has been outlooked in the HWO for much of
our Mississippi CWA. A "Limited (1/4)" has been outlooked for the
area generally along and west of the Mississippi river where flash
flooding will be possible.

Gradient Winds: Ahead of the cold front and associated storms
tonight, a tightening pressure gradient and a strong upper jet will
increase southerly surface winds to 20-25 mph and gusts up to 40 mph
generally along the Highway 82 corridor. A "Limited (1/3)" for winds
has been outlooked for areas north of the I-20 corridor as this may
affect high profile vehicles and cause weak trees and tree limbs to
break and fall.

Although the gusty gradient winds will diminish by morning the
severe storm and flooding threat will continue until the cold front
clears the CWA by Wednesday evening. /22/

Wednesday night through Monday night...A few showers will continue
to be possible in the east Wednesday evening, but will move east out
of the area by mid/late evening. Drier/colder air will build in
across the area on Thursday, with highs ranging from the low 50s in
the north to around 60 in the south. Broad upper troughing will
continue to prevail across the region on Friday with morning lows
falling into the 30s and highs ranging from the upper 40s to upper
50s. A short wave will drive another cold front across the area on
Saturday and this will mainly be a reinforcing shot of cold air. The
GFS does indicate the potential for a little light rain with this
boundary, but the ECMWF is mainly dry. Will lean with the drier
solutions through the weekend. Saturday night looks to be the
coldest night through the extended, with overnight lows ranging from
the upper 20s to low 30s.

Surface high pressure will move across the area on Sunday and as the
high shifts east the surface flow will become more southeasterly
Sunday night. A short wave will approach the area late Sunday night
and move across the area on Monday. Currently temperatures look like
they will remain warm enough for all rain Monday and Monday night,
with highs in the 50s and lows in the mid/upper 30s./15/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

Increasing cloudiness ahead of showers and storms has resulted in
lowered ceilings to MVFR/IFR across much of the area. Overnight,
showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage from west to
east as ceilings continue to lower with MVFR/IFR common.
Southerly to southeasterly winds will increase overnight for
northern sites with gusts as high as 35kt possible. For HBG/PIB,
prior to rain after 09Z, fog could result in reduction in
visibility to MVFR/IFR. Flight categories will begin to improve at
GLH by the end of the TAF period. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  71  41  57 / 100  90  40   0
Meridian      61  71  43  59 /  80  90  90   0
Vicksburg     60  68  41  58 / 100  90  20   0
Hattiesburg   65  76  45  62 /  70 100  90   0
Natchez       61  69  41  58 / 100  90  20   0
Greenville    58  63  40  54 / 100  70  10   0
Greenwood     62  67  40  54 /  90 100  30   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for MSZ025>033-035>039-
     042>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

22/15/LP/KP

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 2:43 PM CST, 9 hours 11 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-142045-
Ashley-Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60
mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ026>033-036>039-142045-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60
mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, areas of flash flooding likely and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

LAZ007>009-MSZ040-041-142045-
Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Issaquena-Sharkey-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through wednesday, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ058-074-142045-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Clarke-
Forrest-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, east central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through wednesday, several inches of rain in a short
amount of time will make localized flash flooding possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ042>045-142045-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, two to four inches of rain with locally
higher amounts will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ046>057-059>066-072-073-142045-
Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, two to four inches of rain with locally
higher amounts will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 13, 10:18 PM CST, 1 hour 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1018 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 NE CHASE              32.15N 91.62W
12/13/2022                   FRANKLIN           LA   STORM CHASER

            FUNNEL CLOUD VIEWED EAST OF US 425.

&&

SS

Local storm report, Dec 13, 11:21 PM CST, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1121 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1114 PM     TORNADO          11 S FITLER             32.57N 91.06W
12/13/2022                   WARREN             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO OBSERVED AT CHOTARD LAKE.

&&

DL

Local storm report, Dec 13, 11:26 PM CST, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 PM     TORNADO          4 NW TALLULAH           32.45N 91.23W
12/13/2022                   MADISON            LA   STORM CHASER

            TORNADO REPORTED JUST NORTH OF I-20.

&&

SS

Local storm report, Dec 13, 11:47 PM CST, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1147 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     TORNADO          4 ESE CROWVILLE         32.22N 91.52W
12/13/2022                   MADISON            LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOMES ALONG LA 610,
            INCLUDING A HOME WITH A TREE THAT FELL ON
            IT.

&&

DL

Local storm report, Dec 13, 11:49 PM CST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1149 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1033 PM     TORNADO          5 E WARSAW              32.29N 91.44W
12/13/2022                   MADISON            LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOF DAMAGE TO CAMPS NEAR HUNTERS BEND.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 13, 8:21 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Washington	54 min
Dec 13, 9:11 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	64 min
Dec 13, 9:16 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	28 min
Dec 13, 9:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower	48 min
Dec 13, 9:52 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Washington	3 hr
Dec 13, 10:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Washington	56 min
Dec 13, 10:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Leflore, Sunflower	51 min
Dec 13, 10:23 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington	36 min
Dec 13, 10:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Warren	63 min
Dec 13, 10:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	40 min
Dec 13, 11:07 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Sharkey	53 min
Dec 13, 11:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leflore, Sunflower	61 min
Dec 13, 11:18 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo	57 min
Dec 13, 11:51 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Sunflower, Washington	3 hr
Dec 13, 11:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Warren	54 min
Dec 14, 12:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Humphreys, Sharkey, Yazoo	40 min
Dec 14, 12:13 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore	62 min
Dec 14, 12:31 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo	44 min
Dec 14, 12:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo	57 min
Dec 14, 12:55 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren	3 hr
Dec 14, 1:03 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery	57 min
Dec 14, 1:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Yazoo	55 min
Dec 14, 1:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	49 min
Dec 14, 1:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	44 min
Dec 14, 1:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster	55 min
Dec 14, 1:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Jefferson	55 min
Dec 14, 1:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson, Warren	49 min
Dec 14, 2:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Dec 14, 2:47 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Claiborne	58 min
Dec 14, 2:51 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Dec 14, 3:05 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	3 hr
Dec 14, 3:10 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Choctaw, Clay	50 min
Dec 14, 3:33 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Jefferson	57 min
Dec 14, 3:43 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin	62 min
Dec 14, 3:52 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 5:02 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Rankin	58 min
Dec 14, 5:08 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson	67 min
Dec 14, 5:24 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 5:36 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Madison, Rankin, Scott	54 min
Dec 14, 6:10 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Rankin, Simpson	47 min
Dec 14, 6:45 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Scott, Smith	60 min
Dec 14, 7:00 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lawrence, Lincoln	47 min
Dec 14, 7:04 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Scott, Simpson, Smith	41 min
Dec 14, 7:29 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith	61 min
Dec 14, 7:41 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	2 hr
Dec 14, 7:41 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith	64 min
Dec 14, 8:21 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Smith	54 min
Dec 14, 9:13 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	39 min
Dec 14, 10:37 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 10:45 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Leflore	48 hr
Dec 14, 10:48 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Yazoo	24 hr
Dec 14, 10:49 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Jones	24 hr
Dec 14, 10:51 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	5 days
Dec 14, 11:04 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:30 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Lincoln	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:31 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	23 hr
Dec 14, 11:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Scott	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:53 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion	67 min
Dec 14, 11:57 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson	31 min
Dec 14, 12:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	60 min
Dec 14, 12:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	3 hr
Dec 14, 12:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Jones	62 min
Dec 14, 12:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	54 min
Dec 14, 12:39 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale	66 min
Dec 14, 12:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jasper, Jones, Smith	62 min
Dec 14, 12:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Smith	15 min
Dec 14, 12:54 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Marion	44 min
Dec 14, 12:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence	53 min
Dec 14, 1:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jones	66 min
Dec 14, 1:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Lauderdale	33 min
Dec 14, 1:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton	57 min
Dec 14, 1:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper	39 min
Dec 14, 1:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones, Lamar	44 min
Dec 14, 1:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lauderdale	56 min
Dec 14, 2:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke	58 min
Dec 14, 2:15 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	60 min
Dec 14, 2:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke	14 min
Dec 14, 3:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	47 min
Dec 14, 3:24 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones, Lamar	3 hr
Dec 14, 3:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest	22 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2022 Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2022 Every tornado warning in 2022 Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.