Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 140, NWS Jackson, MS

December 14, 2022Jasper County, Smith County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Dec 14, 2022, 8:21 AM CST for Jasper County, Smith County, Mississippi. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 14, 2022, 8:21 AM CST (14:21 UTC)
Expired: Dec 14, 2022, 9:15 AM CST
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Jasper County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Dec 14, 5:55 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 963 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 608 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 248 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 294 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.6
Supercell composite: 8.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

907 
WFUS54 KJAN 141421
TORJAN
MSC061-129-141515-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0140.221214T1421Z-221214T1515Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
821 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Western Jasper County in east central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Smith County in central Mississippi...

* Until 915 AM CST.
    
* At 821 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles northeast of Mount Olive, or 8 miles east of
  Magee, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Taylorsville and Center Ridge around 835 AM CST.
  Bay Springs around 855 AM CST.
  Turnerville around 905 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Sylvarena, Montrose and Louin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3194 8911 3179 8952 3202 8950 3223 8910
      3222 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1421Z 241DEG 31KT 3185 8959 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

CME

2 follow-up statements

867 
WWUS54 KJAN 141448
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
848 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC061-129-141515-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0140.000000T0000Z-221214T1515Z/
Jasper MS-Smith MS-
848 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 848 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Bay Springs, or 11 miles northwest of Stringer,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bay Springs around 855 AM CST.
  Turnerville around 905 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Sylvarena, Montrose and Louin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3199 8911 3190 8945 3206 8942 3223 8910
      3222 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1448Z 236DEG 29KT 3199 8938 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

CME

357 
WWUS54 KJAN 141500
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
900 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSC129-141509-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0140.000000T0000Z-221214T1515Z/
Smith MS-
900 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for east central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3204 8915 3199 8932 3211 8932 3221 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1459Z 232DEG 29KT 3205 8929 

$$

MSC061-141515-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0140.000000T0000Z-221214T1515Z/
Jasper MS-
900 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTY...
    
At 859 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Bay Springs, or 13 miles north of Stringer, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Turnerville around 905 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Montrose and Louin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3204 8915 3199 8932 3211 8932 3221 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 1459Z 232DEG 29KT 3205 8929 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 14, 8:09 AM CST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 8:09 AM CST, 12 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
809 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 751 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

Latest surface analysis had a 1006mb low centered over Madison
county with a cold front stretching back to the southwest across
Natchez. A very warm moist airmass along with favorable shear for
the development of severe storms continues along and east of the
cold front as far north as Leake, Neshoba, and Kemper counties.
Tornadoes, damaging wind and hail will be possible with any severe
storm. Satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed a potent shortwave
tracking east across the Plains. This shortwave will be the kicker
to maintain the severe storm threat through the afternoon until
the cold front moves southeast of our CWA. In addition to the
severe storm threat, heavy rainfall in excess of two inches per
hour will continue to produce areas of flash flooding generally
along and southeast of the Natchez Trace. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

Today and tonight...Will not be making any big changes to the
short term forecast at this point. Current forecast was on track.
Severe storms continue to develop along the boundary draped from
near Greenwood to Yazoo City down to Jonesville. Models show a
wave developing over the northern Gulf later today, helping to
push the boundary out of the area. At this time storm activity
seems to be slightly further east than expected with thunderstorms
moving into the metro area. Air was a little more stable to
the northeast, so there has been less thunderstorm development.
The best moisture and instability remain generally south of I-20.
Cells continue to develop over the southeast where dewpoints were
in the lower 70s. Still looks like a pretty active day.

Guidance continues to suggest that the system will slow down
supporting the flash flood risk. Rainfall has been really
efficient, where really good rates were likely causing localized
flooding. Drier air was moving into the Delta and rain was
thinning from the north and west. Stuck with guidance for pops and
temps. Clouds and rain should keep values relatively steady for
today.

Thursday through next Tuesday...

Forecast remains somewhat on track for the most part for the long
term period as we head into Thursday. Model guidance highlight a
large closed low spinning over Iowa. As low shifts east towards the
Great Lakes, broad upper troughing should continue to prevail across
our CWA heading into Friday. This in turn, should bring a
drier/colder airmass which should allow for drier weather to
dominate our forecast for the next several days.

With this aforementioned cold front, afternoon temperatures should
peak into the 50s with a few areas along and north of the Hwy 82
corridor to dip into the upper 40s. Heading into the weekend, model
guidance indicate another shortwave trough approaching our forecast
area by early Saturday morning. In response to this, another cold
front should drive across the region. Areas across the region could
see morning lows dip into the 30s. The coldest night looks to be
Saturday with overnight lows ranging in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Models are in disagreement with each other in regards to possible
rain showers on Saturday evening. By Sunday, a high pressure system
should being to move across the area. As the system begins to track
east by Sunday evening, return flow should begin to across our CWA.
Rain chances should return on Monday and Tuesday with afternoon
highs in the upper 50s. /CRJ/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MVFR cigs along with -RA wl continue at GLH and GWO through this
aftn before improving to VFR conditions by this evening.
Otherwise, Numerous TSRA will continue across the area along and
ahead of a cold front that wl take until this evening to move se
of HBG. IFR/LIFR conditions along with strong gusty winds wl
accompany the TSRA. Conditions wl be slow to improve from the west
this evening and east MS TAF sites wl see MVFR cigs until after
06Z Thu. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  41  57  34 / 100  20   0   0
Meridian      72  42  59  34 / 100  70   0   0
Vicksburg     68  39  57  34 / 100   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   76  45  62  36 / 100  60   0   0
Natchez       70  40  58  34 / 100   0   0   0
Greenville    63  39  54  34 /  90   0   0   0
Greenwood     67  39  54  34 / 100  20   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ025>033-035>039-
     042>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

07/CR/22

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 6:18 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
151230-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-
Issaquena-Sharkey-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

MSZ028>030-032-037-151230-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Attala-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash
flooding possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas.
Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ031-033-151230-
Lowndes-Oktibbeha-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will likely lead to areas of
flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some
structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor
river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ025-MSZ027-036-042-047-151230-
Tensas-Carroll-Holmes-Yazoo-Warren-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash
flooding possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas.
Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ038-039-044-045-049-151230-
Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Rankin-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at
least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will likely lead to areas of
flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some
structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor
river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ046-050>052-055>058-062>066-072>074-151230-
Kemper-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some tornadoes may be strong. Some thunderstorms may
produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball
size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will likely lead to areas of
flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some
structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor
river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ016-024-151230-
Madison LA-Catahoula-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ043-151230-
Madison MS-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at
least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash
flooding possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas.
Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ048-053-151230-
Concordia-Hinds-Claiborne-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at
least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash
flooding possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas.
Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ059-060-151230-
Jefferson-Adams-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at
least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will likely lead to areas of
flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some
structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor
river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ054-061-151230-
Copiah-Franklin MS-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some tornadoes may be strong. Some thunderstorms may
produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf
ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, additional heavy rainfall will likely lead to areas of
flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some
structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor
river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ026-151230-
Grenada-
618 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, additional heavy rainfall will make localized flash
flooding possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas.
Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 14, 2:47 AM CST, 5 hours 34 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
247 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSZ047-048-053-054-140945-
Copiah MS-Warren MS-Hinds MS-Claiborne MS-
247 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Warren,
Claiborne, southwestern Hinds and northwestern Copiah Counties
through 345 AM CST...

At 247 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Carpenter, or 20 miles south of Vicksburg, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Edwards, Utica, Peyton, Rocky Springs, Hermanville, Barlow, Reganton,
Pattison, Newman, Carpenter, Dentville, Dry Grove and Learned.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CST for central,
southwestern and west central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3178 9074 3178 9084 3179 9085 3180 9084
      3183 9084 3186 9099 3222 9090 3240 9050
      3197 9040 3177 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 0847Z 241DEG 23KT 3205 9074

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DL

Special weather statement, Dec 14, 3:10 AM CST, 5 hours 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
310 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

MSZ029-030-032-033-141000-
Oktibbeha MS-Clay MS-Choctaw MS-Webster MS-
310 AM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Choctaw,
northern Oktibbeha, southeastern Webster and western Clay Counties
through 400 AM CST...

At 309 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chester, or 24 miles northwest of Louisville, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Reform around 315 AM CST.
  Mathiston and Sherwood around 320 AM CST.
  Maben and Cumberland around 325 AM CST.
  Pheba around 330 AM CST.
  Montpelier around 335 AM CST.
  Griffith around 340 AM CST.
  Pala Alto around 345 AM CST.
  West Point around 350 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CST for central and
north central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3380 8881 3357 8864 3329 8929 3345 8940
      3346 8940 3346 8941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0909Z 240DEG 49KT 3343 8927

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

7

Local storm report, Dec 14, 4:42 AM CST, 3 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 AM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 AM     TORNADO          1 SSW CRANFIELD         31.53N 91.22W
12/14/2022                   ADAMS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED SMALL DEBRIS ON
            LIBERTY RD. 8 RESIDENTS WERE REPORTED
            TRAPPED INSIDE A HOME ON 24 NATIONS RD,
            CRANFIELD AREA IN ADAMS COUNTY. FIRST
            RESPONDERS ARE IN ROUTE TO ASSIST.

&&

CR

Local storm report, Dec 14, 5:44 AM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
544 AM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 AM     TORNADO          1 N TERRY               32.12N 90.30W
12/14/2022                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREE TOP DOWN AT
            TANK RD AND TERRY RD DUE TO POSSIBLE
            TORNADO. WAS RAINING SIDEWAYS AT 5:29 AM.

&&

CR

Local storm report, Dec 14, 6:01 AM CST, 2 hours 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
601 AM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 AM     TORNADO          4 N OVETT               31.54N 89.04W
12/14/2022                   JONES              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES AND POWER
            LINES DOWN ON HWY 15 SOUTH AT ED CROWDER RD
            DUE TO POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

CR

Local storm report, Dec 14, 6:10 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
610 AM CST WED DEC 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 AM     TORNADO          6 SW HOPEWELL           31.89N 90.29W
12/14/2022                   COPIAH             MS   STORM CHASER

            STORM CHASER REPORTED TREE BRANCHES DOWN OFF
            HWY 28 AND TREES DOWN ON THE ROADWAY DUE TO
            CONFIRMED TORNADO.

&&

CR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 13, 8:21 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Washington	54 min
Dec 13, 9:11 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	64 min
Dec 13, 9:16 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	28 min
Dec 13, 9:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower	48 min
Dec 13, 9:52 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Washington	3 hr
Dec 13, 10:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Washington	56 min
Dec 13, 10:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Leflore, Sunflower	51 min
Dec 13, 10:23 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington	36 min
Dec 13, 10:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Warren	63 min
Dec 13, 10:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	40 min
Dec 13, 11:07 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Sharkey	53 min
Dec 13, 11:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leflore, Sunflower	61 min
Dec 13, 11:18 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo	57 min
Dec 13, 11:51 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Sunflower, Washington	3 hr
Dec 13, 11:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Warren	54 min
Dec 13, 11:54 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren	66 min
Dec 14, 12:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Humphreys, Sharkey, Yazoo	40 min
Dec 14, 12:13 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore	62 min
Dec 14, 12:31 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo	44 min
Dec 14, 12:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo	57 min
Dec 14, 12:55 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren	3 hr
Dec 14, 1:03 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery	57 min
Dec 14, 1:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Holmes, Yazoo	55 min
Dec 14, 1:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	49 min
Dec 14, 1:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	44 min
Dec 14, 1:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster	55 min
Dec 14, 1:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Jefferson	55 min
Dec 14, 1:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson, Warren	49 min
Dec 14, 2:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Dec 14, 2:47 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Claiborne	58 min
Dec 14, 2:51 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	54 min
Dec 14, 3:05 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams	3 hr
Dec 14, 3:10 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Choctaw, Clay	50 min
Dec 14, 3:33 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Jefferson	57 min
Dec 14, 3:43 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin	62 min
Dec 14, 3:52 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 5:02 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Rankin	58 min
Dec 14, 5:08 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson	67 min
Dec 14, 5:24 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 5:36 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Madison, Rankin, Scott	54 min
Dec 14, 6:10 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Rankin, Simpson	47 min
Dec 14, 6:45 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Scott, Smith	60 min
Dec 14, 7:00 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lawrence, Lincoln	47 min
Dec 14, 7:04 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Scott, Simpson, Smith	41 min
Dec 14, 7:29 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton, Scott, Smith	61 min
Dec 14, 7:41 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	2 hr
Dec 14, 7:41 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith	64 min
Dec 14, 9:13 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	39 min
Dec 14, 10:37 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 10:45 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Leflore	48 hr
Dec 14, 10:48 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Yazoo	24 hr
Dec 14, 10:49 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Jones	24 hr
Dec 14, 10:51 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	5 days
Dec 14, 11:04 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:30 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Lincoln	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:31 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	23 hr
Dec 14, 11:34 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Scott	3 hr
Dec 14, 11:53 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion	67 min
Dec 14, 11:57 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson	31 min
Dec 14, 12:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton	60 min
Dec 14, 12:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Franklin	3 hr
Dec 14, 12:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Jones	62 min
Dec 14, 12:36 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	54 min
Dec 14, 12:39 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale	66 min
Dec 14, 12:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jasper, Jones, Smith	62 min
Dec 14, 12:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Smith	15 min
Dec 14, 12:54 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Marion	44 min
Dec 14, 12:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence	53 min
Dec 14, 1:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jones	66 min
Dec 14, 1:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Lauderdale	33 min
Dec 14, 1:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton	57 min
Dec 14, 1:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper	39 min
Dec 14, 1:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones, Lamar	44 min
Dec 14, 1:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lauderdale	56 min
Dec 14, 2:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke	58 min
Dec 14, 2:15 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	60 min
Dec 14, 2:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke	14 min
Dec 14, 3:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	47 min
Dec 14, 3:24 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones, Lamar	3 hr
Dec 14, 3:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest	22 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2022 Every tornado warning in 2022 Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.