Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
757 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...Updated for 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 346 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022/

SHORT TERM /Rest of today through Wednesday Night/...

Majority of convection has been across parts of north GA, so that
may bet a bit worked over, then focus farther southward. Outflow
interactions could keep active as well going into this evening and
still advertising some strong to few severe possible with strong
to damaging winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rain
especially with slow movers or training.

Not sure about low level stratus formation Wednesday morning but
it could again occur and potentially lead to differential heating
trends that either help focus early convective triggering near the
edge or delay where cloud deck is more cohesive.

Bermuda ridge shows little change east of the area for Wednesday
and we stay in this similar high moisture airmass along with
another decently diurnally unstable day near 2500 J/kg SBCAPE
progged. Have very similar pops as well with mainly likely mention
NW to chance SE. Given all this, we should also have similar storm
intensity potential and threats as today.

Max temps similar too with near to slightly below normal highs
Wednesday and most areas reaching mid 80s to low 90s.

Baker

LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Looks like we'll see a bit of a pattern change later this week and
through the weekend. A deepening upper trough across the Eastern
CONUS will help to push a frontal boundary through a good portion of
the CWA Thursday through Friday resulting in another round of
showers and storms. At this time the front looks to stall across
southern GA closer to the GA/FL border. Thus PoPs will be higher
in these areas. And thanks to some drier air behind the front
dewpoints in the mid-60s, high temperatures in the mid-80s and
lower PoPs can be expected through much of the weekend.

In looking at next week, expect rain and thunderstorm chances to
return primarily during the afternoon hours. Temperatures will be
near-normal for this time of year.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Lingering TSRA will slowly diminish over the next several hours
through 04Z, especially with sea breeze convection from the south
which will continue northward over the next several hours. Morning
low-level CIGs and VSBY restrictions again possible between
09-14Z, which will be highly dependent on upper-level cloud cover
from ongoing storms. Widespread afternoon SHRA/TSRA likely again
Wednesday, primarily between 18-02Z. Otherwise, generally VFR
conditions with weak SW winds around 7 kts or less.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low on Wednesday morning lower cig potential.
Medium to High on lingering TSRA timing/potential.
High on all other elements.

Thiem

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  89  71  85 /  20  50  40  60
Atlanta         72  89  71  86 /  30  60  50  70
Blairsville     66  82  65  80 /  30  70  70  70
Cartersville    71  87  70  85 /  30  60  60  70
Columbus        72  92  72  91 /  30  60  40  60
Gainesville     70  87  70  84 /  30  60  50  70
Macon           71  93  72  91 /  30  30  30  60
Rome            72  90  71  88 /  30  70  60  70
Peachtree City  71  90  70  88 /  30  60  50  70
Vidalia         72  94  74  93 /  30  40  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Thiem

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
302 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
302 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the
afternoon and evening across north and central Georgia. Some
storms could become strong and a few isolated severe storms
cannot be ruled out with the main threats of strong to damaging
winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms in the afternoons and
evenings are expected each day through Thursday. As usual during
the summer, any storm will have the potential to become strong to
severe and be capable of producing gusty winds, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

Thunderstorm chances look to be confined mainly to central Georgia
and portions of north Georgia for Friday and then mainly far
south central Georgia for the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1001 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ074-076-100230-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-
1001 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Washington and central Jefferson Counties through 1030 PM EDT...

At 1001 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Bartow, or 10 miles
southwest of Louisville, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Louisville, Wadley, Davisboro, Bartow, Avera, Moxley, Grange and
Stapletons Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3306 8229 3278 8247 3282 8253 3282 8257
      3285 8267 3312 8259 3312 8258 3318 8257
      3320 8254 3312 8228
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 201DEG 24KT 3289 8254

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1002 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ056-068-100230-
Spalding GA-Pike GA-
1002 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Spalding
and Pike Counties through 1030 PM EDT...

At 1002 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Zebulon, moving north
at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Griffin, Zebulon, Williamson, Orchard Hill, Meansville, East Griffin,
Rover, Hilltop, Zetella, Lifsey Springs, Vaughn and Hollonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 8448 3326 8443 3329 8442 3329 8441
      3323 8416 3318 8419 3319 8425 3307 8425
      3299 8429 3300 8430 3299 8430 3299 8437
      3303 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 195DEG 12KT 3308 8438

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH