Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2022

Wind Advisory 10, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 20, 20228 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this wind advisory at Nov 20, 2022, 6:41 PM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Nov 21, 2022, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2022, 6:41 PM EST (23:41 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 21, 2022, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 21, 2022, 9:00 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-11-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-11-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

415 
WWUS71 KBUF 202341
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
641 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-210745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1400Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
641 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-210745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1600Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
641 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 9 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
6 follow-up statements
748 
WWUS71 KBUF 210219
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
919 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-211030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1400Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
919 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 7 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-211030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1600Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
919 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 9 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
814 
WWUS71 KBUF 210834
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
334 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-211645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1400Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
334 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-211645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1600Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
334 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 9 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
190 
WWUS71 KBUF 211518
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1018 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
1018 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Where fresh snow is on the ground from the recent lake effect
  snow event, patchy blowing and drifting snow may occur in open 
  areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.221121T1600Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
1018 AM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Where fresh snow is on the ground from the recent lake effect
  snow event, patchy blowing and drifting snow may occur in open 
  areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JLA
220 
WWUS71 KBUF 211858
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
158 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
158 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Where fresh snow is on the ground from the recent lake 
  effect snow event, patchy blowing and drifting snow may occur 
  in open areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ007-220200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
158 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Where fresh snow is on the ground from the recent lake 
  effect snow event, patchy blowing and drifting snow may occur 
  in open areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JLA
090 
WWUS71 KBUF 212336
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
636 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-220045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0000Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, 
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, 
and Springville
636 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds will continue to diminish this evening.

$$

NYZ007-220200-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
636 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
148 
WWUS71 KBUF 220222
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
922 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

NYZ007-220330-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-221122T0200Z/
Jefferson-
Including the city of Watertown
922 PM EST Mon Nov 21 2022

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds will continue to diminish overnight.

$$

Hitchcock

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 20, 3:18 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 3:18 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
318 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy lake effect snow will impact southeast of Lake Ontario,
centered on Oswego county through this evening. Moderate to locally
heavy lake effect snow bands will impact the Southern Tier into this
evening. Additionally gusty winds this afternoon and again on Monday
will create blowing and drifting of the recently fallen snow.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Two plumes of lake effect snow continue to the east of the Lakes.
Outside these plumes of snow, breezy conditions with west gusts up
to 45 mph have created blowing snow with reduced visibilities, as
well as drifting of snow. Interesting that wind gusts briefly
reached 45-48 mph over portions of the Niagara Frontier/Genesee
valley where it is sunny and mixing has been maximized. These
stronger winds are beginning to diminish recently though. Cold
persists with single digit wind chills into tonight all areas.

Off Lake Erie...

A westerly flow has focused the snow showers across the Southern
Tier. Mainly moderate intensity, though have seen a few heavier snow
showers as well. Shallower lake equilibrium level and drier air and
connection lessening off upstream lakes will continue to diminish
the snow into tonight. Remnants of this snow will come back north
overnight across Buffalo in a much weakened state. Total snow
accumulations through tonight will be a few inches of fluffy snow in
the Southern Tier to an inch or two otherwise across far WNY,
including the Buffalo Metro.

Off Lake Ontario...

Much more well developed, but still wavering band of lake effect
continues to impact the corridor from Oswego into southern Lewis
county early this afternoon helped by wnw flow bringing in upstream
connections to central Great Lakes. Radar trends and consensus of
high-res guidance, including HRRR and Canadian High res do point to
a more notable shift southward of this band into at least early
evening, so this will put the band into far northeast Wayne,
far northern Cayuga and much of Oswego county. Snowfall rates of
2-3" per hour likely along with some lightning. No changes to
the going headlines. This shift will have to happen for snow to
come into Wayne county, but again, it looks to be occurring at
present. Oswego county should see storm totals since late last
night of 2-3 feet in some areas.

Later tonight, similar to the Lake Erie band, expect the band to
weaken and shift back to the north across northern Oswego, much of
Jefferson and adjacent Lewis county. A lot of the weakening will
occur due to loss in upstream connections, but there is a hint that
the plume of moisture from Lake Erie band will try to briefly
connect with the eastern Lake Ontario band. If that were to happen r
rates could push toward 1" per hour into Watertown late tonight with
up to a few inches of accumulation tonight.

By Monday morning the weakening bands of snow...with their last
gasps of light snow showers at Buffalo/Niagara Falls and Watertown
will lift into Canada by late morning, losing any upstream lake
connection, and finally ending. This lake effect snow event starting
Wednesday evening for some locations has been a very long duration
event lasting over 100 hours.

Later Monday a cold front will advance across southern Canada and
our region. Residual lake moisture collecting ahead of the front may
bring a few rain or snow showers back into our region. Of bigger
concern a tightening pressure gradient ahead of the upstream trough
and departing surface high will bring wind gusts about 5 to 10 mph
stronger than Sunday. While this could continue the blowing snow,
the extra day of compaction along with surface temperatures rising
above freezing in many locations will reduce the blowing snow
threat. Regardless, winds possibly gusting towards advisory levels
will occur northeast of the Lakes and possibly even toward ROC on
the Niagara Frontier.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
There may be some lingering lake effect snow showers Monday night as
a shortwave passes by to our north. It does look marginally cold
enough for snow, with -6C at 850mb ahead of the shortwave. Any
accumulations will be minor especially considering recent snowfall.
Expect less than an inch east of Lake Erie, and 1-3 inches on the
Tug Hill. On Tuesday night despite a more zonal flow developing,
weak southwest low-level flow sets up and it again is just
marginally cold for a lake response (-6c at H85) though inversions
are only 3-5kft. Just a small chance we could see some snow showers
northeast of Lake Ontario. This would then shift toward southeast
Lake Ontario on into Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A shortwave trough overhead Wednesday morning will track east of
the area by Wednesday afternoon. Westerly flow and marginally
cold enough temperatures for lake effect may result in some rain
and snow showers east of Lake Ontario through the afternoon.
Elsewhere, dry conditions expected. Highs will reach the low
40s.

The synoptic pattern will become amplified the latter half of the
week as trough deepens across the Mid-West region and an upper level
ridge builds across the Northeast. Surface low pressure will be
deepening east of the trough however timing and location is yet to
be determined. Warm air and moisture advection is likely across the
eastern Great Lakes region beginning Thursday night and rain and
snow showers are likely during this time period. It is fairly
certain that moisture and cold air will wrap around this system
through the weekend with lake effect snow showers possible.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Bands of lake effect snow with visibilities dropping to VLIFR to
LIFR continue to the east of the Lakes. Off Lake Erie the band has
settled south of the Buffalo and Rochester airports and will impact
KJHW this afternoon with IFR/LIFR visibility. Otherwise, even
outside of this band, gusty winds to 35 knots will result in blowing
snow at times at BUF and IAG.

Off Lake Ontario into this evening the primary snow band will
persist southeast of Lake Ontario between ROC and ART. Mainly VFR at
ART, though there will be occasional BLSN and reduced visibility.

Tonight the lake effect snow will begin to drift northward again, in
a much weaker state. A few snow showers, with brief reduction to IFR
is possible for KBUF and KART by the end of tonight.

Outlook...

Monday....MVFR/VFR with a chance of rain and snow showers. Very
Windy with gusts 40 knots or greater possible.
Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.
Friday...Chance of rain and snow showers. MVFR/IFR possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Gale force winds this afternoon will diminish some tonight, then
back to southwest on Monday while increasing to 35-40 knots on both
Lakes. In coordination with NWS Cleveland and Canada we have ran
with one gale warning through Monday, even though there will likely
be a 12+ hr window of sub-gale force winds tonight on the Lakes.

Small craft advisories will be in place for the Niagara River as
well as the Saint Lawrence River. Winds are expected to be stronger
Monday on the Saint Lawrence River where a southwesterly flow down
the river valley could reach 25 knots sustained.

High pressure will push towards the region Monday night and
Tuesday, relaxing the pressure gradient and allowing for winds and
waves to decrease.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong winds late today will cause levels on Lake Erie to rise
some. Water levels will likely approach 6 feet above low water
datum at the Buffalo NOS station. Levels higher than this can
cause minor splash over in a few spots along the Lake Erie
shoreline.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Buffalo airport received 21.5 inches of snowfall Saturday,
breaking the daily record and bringing our monthly total 36.9
inches. Saturday, November 19th was the 2nd snowiest calendar
day for the month of November in Buffalo's history...trailing
only the November 20, 2000 date which had 24.9 inches of snow.
This snow also makes November 2022 the 2nd snowiest on record
(the snowiest is back in 2000 when there was 45.6 inches of
snow).

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ001-
     002-007-010>012-085.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for NYZ004.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for NYZ005.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 4 AM EST Monday for NYZ006-008.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ019-020.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LEZ020.
         Gale Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LOZ030.
         Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Tuesday for LOZ042>045-062>065.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Monday for
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JLA/Thomas
NEAR TERM...JLA/Thomas
SHORT TERM...JLA
LONG TERM...HSK
AVIATION...JLA
MARINE...JLA/Thomas
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Apffel/TMA
CLIMATE...Thomas
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 20, 2:07 PM EST, 4 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ021-211915-
Allegany-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-211915-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Southern Erie-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Southwest wind gusts on Monday may exceed 45 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-020-211915-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Southwest wind gusts on Monday may exceed 45 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-008-211915-
Oswego-Lewis-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-211915-
Jefferson-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Southwest wind gusts on Monday may exceed 45 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-211915-
Wayne-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-013-014-211915-
Monroe-Livingston-Ontario-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

West winds may gust to 45 mph this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ005-211915-
Northern Cayuga-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-211915-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-211915-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-211915-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
207 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

JLA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 20, 12:49 PM EST, 5 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1249 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 AM     SNOW             1 NW BUFFALO            42.90N 78.87W
11/20/2022  M20.5 INCH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL SINCE THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&
Local storm report, Nov 20, 12:51 PM EST, 5 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1251 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 AM     SNOW             1 NW ALDEN              42.91N 78.51W
11/20/2022  M40.5 INCH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL FROM THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&
Local storm report, Nov 20, 1:23 PM EST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
123 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     SNOW             LANCASTER               42.90N 78.67W
11/20/2022  M4.3 INCH        ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

&&
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 1:42 PM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
142 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ004>008-202030-
Jefferson NY-Oswego NY-Lewis NY-Wayne NY-Northern Cayuga NY-
142 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...AN INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
JEFFERSON...OSWEGO... LEWIS...WAYNE...AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...Lake effect snow with wind gusts up to 40 mph will rapidly
reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile. This lake effect
snow band is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate of 1 to 3
inches per hour within the most intense part of the band.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 130 PM EST, a lake effect snow band was
located between Mannsville NY to Fulton, NY. This band will remain
fairly stationary over the next hour then again drift south across
Oswego co.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Oswego, Fulton, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Fair Haven Beach State
Park, Lowville, Pulaski, Central Square, Adams, Redfield, Selkirk
Shores State Park, Highmarket, Mexico Point State Park, Nine Mile
Point, Southwick Beach State Park, Battle Island State Park,
Whetstone Gulf State Park, Brewerton, Hastings, Scriba and Volney.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 32 and 40.

***Travel will be extremely difficult, if not nearly impossible in
the most intense portion of this band.***

SAFETY INFO...
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4317 7588
      4320 7608 4327 7620 4322 7619 4333 7718
      4332 7695 4335 7681 4356 7645 4356 7628
      4378 7629 4381 7633 4381 7618 4377 7513
      4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 274DEG 96KT 4362 7639

Reynolds
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 3:32 PM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
332 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ005-006-008-202200-
Oswego NY-Lewis NY-Northern Cayuga NY-
332 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF OSWEGO...SOUTHERN
LEWIS...AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...An intense band of lake effect snow will continue across
much of Oswego County, as well as far southern Lewis, and far
northern Cayuga counties through late afternoon. Snowfall rates will
reach 3 inches per hour in the most intense portion of this band.

If you must travel in this area, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on
roads.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Oswego, Fulton, Pulaski, Central Square, Redfield, Nine Mile Point,
Hastings, Scriba, Volney, Richland, Constantia, West Monroe,
Palermo, Sterling, New Haven and Minetto.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 32 and 36.

SAFETY INFO...
The snow will accumulate so rapidly that it will be
extremely difficult for the road crews to keep the roads clear.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4332 7586
      4323 7588 4332 7672 4334 7672 4333 7675
      4334 7688 4339 7673 4345 7665 4356 7645
      4356 7631 4359 7626 4353 7530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 276DEG 39KT 4343 7601

Hitchcock
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 5:01 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
501 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ005-006-008-210000-
Oswego NY-Lewis NY-Northern Cayuga NY-
501 PM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
OSWEGO...FAR SOUTHERN LEWIS...AND FAR NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...An intense band of lake effect snow will continue across
much of Oswego County, as well as far southern Lewis, and far
northern Cayuga counties through late afternoon. Snowfall rates will
reach 3 inches per hour in the most intense portion of this band.

If you must travel in this area, be prepared for severe winter
driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on
roads.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Oswego, Fulton, Pulaski, Central Square, Redfield, Nine Mile Point,
Hastings, Scriba, Volney, Richland, Constantia, West Monroe,
Palermo, Sterling, New Haven and Minetto.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 32 and 36.

SAFETY INFO...
The snow will accumulate so rapidly that it will be extremely
difficult for the road crews to keep the roads clear.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7582 4333 7589 4332 7586
      4316 7588 4320 7608 4327 7620 4322 7620
      4332 7672 4334 7672 4332 7676 4334 7687
      4339 7673 4345 7665 4356 7645 4356 7631
      4359 7626 4355 7527
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 276DEG 39KT 4336 7602

Hitchcock

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 19, 9:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Niagara, Orleans58 min
Nov 19, 11:20 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Wyoming55 min
Nov 20, 12:34 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Livingston, Wyoming56 min
Nov 20, 1:05 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson70 min
Nov 20, 2:13 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson77 min
Nov 20, 3:26 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis79 min
Nov 20, 4:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego2 hr
Nov 20, 6:37 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis, Oswego113 min
Nov 20, 8:22 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus83 min
Nov 20, 8:46 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis, Oswego119 min
Nov 20, 10:59 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego2 hr
Nov 20, 1:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego108 min
Nov 20, 3:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego88 min
Nov 20, 5:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego119 min

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2022Every wind advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.