Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2022

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 20, 2022Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Nov 20, 2022, 2:13 AM EST for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 77 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2022, 2:13 AM EST (07:13 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2022, 3:30 AM EST
In force
77 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2022-11-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2022-11-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 328 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1260 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

482 
WWUS81 KBUF 200713
SPSBUF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
213 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022
 
NYZ007-008-200830-
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-
213 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND 
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow accompanied by winds of up to 30 MPH
which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile.
This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate
of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 212 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was over
Watertown moving southeast at 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Stony Point, Carthage, West Carthage, Clayton,
Adams, Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Cedar Point State
Park, Southwick Beach State Park, Redwood, Henderson Harbor, Barnes
Corners, Denmark, New Bremen, Sackets Harbor and Henderson.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 39 and 49.
 
SAFETY INFO...
The snow will accumulate so rapidly that it will be extremely
difficult for the road crews to keep the roads clear.

&&

LAT...LON 4368 7626 4379 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635
      4386 7641 4395 7645 4395 7634 4402 7636
      4405 7641 4410 7643 4414 7635 4420 7631
      4421 7621 4425 7616 4433 7570 4410 7517
      4388 7515
TIME...MOT...LOC 0712Z 324DEG 7KT 4394 7595 
$$

Apffel

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Nov 20, 1:08 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 1:08 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
108 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy lake effect snow is now meandering southward again, resting
upon the Southern Tier today, and east and then southeast of Lake
Ontario today. Snow will produce very poor visibilities southeast of
Lake Ontario, especially Oswego County where several additional feet
of snow is likely by Monday morning. Additionally gusty winds today
and even moreso Monday will create blowing and drifting of the
recently fallen snow.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
For this update will cancel the hazards for Niagara, Orleans,
northern Erie and Genesee counties as the band of lake effect snow
is now dropping quickly southward...towards the Boston Hills and
eventually Southern Tier. Likewise downstream over Lake Ontario the
band will begin to shift southward later tonight, eventually
settling southeast of Lake Ontario later this morning.

Previous disco below...

...HEAVY LAKE SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTH TONIGHT...

...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN OSWEGO COUNTY SUNDAY...

Off Lake Erie...

The lake effect snow band has consolidated and strengthened as
expected over Lake Erie and Niagara County, and is now drifting
southeast towards the Lake Erie shore of Chautauqua and Erie
counties. Travel conditions will become severe in a matter of
minutes with very heavy snow and 40 mph gusts producing blinding
whiteouts.

Tonight, the expectation is that once the shortwave crosses the
region the steering flow will veer fairly quickly. This will
re-establish the lake effect band across Grand Island and
Niagara county around mid evening, between 8 pm and 10 pm. Once
established the band will start to move south fairly rapidly
and will likely not be in once location for more than 2 hours.
However, the intensity of the band will allow snowfall rates to
reach 3"/hr. Therefore, even though the band will be moving quickly
it is possible that additional amounts around a half foot or so
could occur across the Buffalo metro area between roughly 10 pm and
1 am.

The band will then settle across southern Erie county and the
western Southern Tier overnight and through the day Sunday. The band
will eventually become less organized, but because it will last
longer expect amounts to be in the 6 to 18 inch range. Greatest
amounts will be across higher terrain, and will extend further away
from the lakes due to the stronger winds, impacting Allegany county.
Little additional snow accumulation is expected for the Buffalo
metro area.

Off Lake Ontario...

Lake effect snow continues over northern Jefferson County and the
Saint Lawrence Valley this evening on 200 degree flow. This band
will remain in place through shortly after midnight, with snowfall
rates occasionally reaching 1" per hour.

Winds becoming more west-northwest later tonight and into Sunday.
This will push an intense lake band south out of Jefferson county
into southern Lewis, Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties.
The expectation is that this lake band will be as intense or
even more intense than the one that forms off of Lake Erie.
Snowfall rates of 3-5"/hour will certainly be possible. It
appears that this band will not move as fast to the south as the
one off of Lake Erie, so additional snowfall totals of 2 to 3
feet will be possible where the lake snows persist
(particularly across Oswego county).

Otherwise, some general snow showers across much of the area due to
the shortwave. Snow will be more powdery on Sunday, and this
combined with winds gusting to 40-45 mph will result in areas of
blowing and drifting snow anywhere with a few inches or more of snow
on the ground.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Some lingering lake snows east of the lakes, especially off Lake
Ontario where the longer fetch will support more of a response.
This event may provide one last parting shot of snow to the
Buffalo metro area late Sunday night as winds shift back to the
southwest.

Mid-level height rises occur across the Great Lakes region Monday.
Warm air advection will likely occur across the eastern Great Lakes
while winds back to the south-southwest. This will finally end the
significant lake snows, with just some lingering snow/rain showers.
The bigger impact on Monday will be the winds which will gust to 45
mph northeast of the lakes, and 35 to 40 mph inland. This will
result in some blowing and drifting snow, however the snow will be a
bit wetter since temperatures will rise into the upper 30s to lower
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A more zonal pattern develops Tuesday through Wednesday allowing for
dry and warmer conditions. Temperatures will likely top out in the
low to mid 40s each day. A southwest breeze between high pressure
off the east coast and low pressure systems crossing the northern
Plains. This pattern will hold. allowing for a tranquil Thanksgiving
across the region.

Attention will then become focused on next chance for widespread
precipitation. Not surprisingly there are model differences here. At
this point though, since the main low is expected to track across
the Great Lakes and warm front lifts the region, temps aloft should
mainly favor liquid precip. Some uncertainty on that farther to the
east though. Ran with non-diurnal temps and this kept a rain/snow
mix or only snow limited to those eastern areas with mainly rain
across western NY (higher elevations will see at least a mix of rain
and snow though) Main time of widespread precip would be late
Thursday night through Friday. ECMWF has been consistent with
showing event total QPF over an inch of liquid. Canadian_NH has had
similar if not more QPF, but not consistently. GFS has been
persistently muted with this event. Should note as it stands now,
amounts from the ECMWF and Canadian_NH are on the higher range of
most available guidance (aka 90th plus percentile on NBM output).
We'll continue to refine details with the system as it could bring
impacts in terms of winter and hydro. Plenty of time to look into
this further as we move into this week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
For the 06Z TAFS bands of Lake effect snow with visibilities
dropping to VLIFR continue to the east of the Lakes. Off Lake Erie
the band has settled south of the Buffalo and Rochester airports and
will impact KJHW through the day.

Off Lake Ontario the snow band will drop across KART early this
morning, settling south of the airfield just past sunrise. This
band, still very strong will settle southeast of the Lake, between
the KROC and KART airfields.

Gusty winds 30 to 35 knots will produce some blowing snow with
reduced visibilities for the airfields today.

Tonight the lake effect snow will begin to drift northward again, in
a much weaker state. A few snow showers, with brief reduction to IFR
is possible for KBUF and KART by the end of tonight.

Outlook...

Monday....MVFR/VFR with a chance of rain and snow showers. Very
Windy with gusts 40 knots or greater possible.
Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest guidance supports Gale Warnings for late tonight into Sunday
on both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, with sustained winds reaching 35-
40 knots on both lakes. Cold air advection may be able to increase
mixing depths over the lakes during this time. Winds will pick up
again on Monday, with another round of gales likely.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong winds late tonight and Sunday will cause levels on Lake
Erie to rise some. Water levels will likely approach 6 feet
above low water datum at the Buffalo NOS station. Levels higher
than this can cause minor splash over in a few spots along the
Lake Erie shoreline.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Buffalo airport received 21.5 inches of snowfall Saturday,
breaking the daily record and bringing our monthly total 36.9
inches. Saturday, November 19th was the 2nd snowiest calendar
day for the month of November in Buffalo's history...trailing
only the November 20, 2000 date which had 24.9 inches of snow.
This snow also makes November 2022 the 2nd snowiest on record
(the snowiest is back in 2000 when there was 45.6 inches of
snow).

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning from 6 AM this morning to 1 AM EST
     Monday for NYZ005.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 4 AM EST Monday for NYZ006-008.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ007-085.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ012.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ019-020.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LEZ020.
         Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LOZ030.
         Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Thomas
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock/SW/TMA
SHORT TERM...Apffel/TMA
LONG TERM...JLA/Thomas
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...Apffel/Hitchcock/Thomas/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Apffel/TMA
CLIMATE...Thomas
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 19, 3:33 PM EST, 10 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

NYZ021-192145-
Allegany-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ002-192145-
Orleans-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-192145-
Niagara-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-020-192145-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-192145-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-192145-
Wyoming-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ085-192145-
Southern Erie-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-008-192145-
Oswego-Lewis-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-192145-
Jefferson-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-004-013-014-192145-
Monroe-Wayne-Livingston-Ontario-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ005-192145-
Northern Cayuga-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-192145-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-192145-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-192145-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 19, 11:46 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1146 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HEAVY SNOW       1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE      42.97N 78.75W
11/19/2022  M21.1 INCH       ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL.

&&
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 12:34 AM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1234 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ011>013-019>021-085-200630-
Chautauqua NY-Cattaraugus NY-Allegany NY-Livingston NY-
Southern Erie NY-Wyoming NY-Genesee NY-
1234 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A LINE OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND UPPER GENESEE VALLEY THROUGH 130 AM...

HAZARDS...A line of heavy lake effect snow accompanied by winds of
up to 35 MPH which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a
quarter of a mile. This line is producing extremely heavy snow at
the rate of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 1230 AM EST, a line of lake effect snow
was along a line extending from near Jamestown West to near Mount
Morris and moving southeast at 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Jamestown, Fredonia, Geneseo, Salamanca, Dansville, Allegany State
Park, Letchworth State Park, Boston, Springville, Perry, Warsaw,
Avon, Colden, Westfield, Lakewood, Mount Morris, Gowanda, Pavilion,
Conesus and Falconer.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 390 between exits 4 and 8.
 Interstate 86 between exits 6 and 23, and between exits 27 and 28.

SAFETY INFO...
Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this squall.
Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads may lead to
accidents.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 7943 4227 7975 4299 7784 4272 7760
      4267 7760 4267 7756 4259 7749 4258 7766
      4253 7766 4253 7772 4241 7773 4199 7887
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 314DEG 12KT 4214 7928 4266 7782

Apffel
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 1:05 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
105 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ007-008-200715-
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-
105 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow accompanied by winds of up to 30 MPH
which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile.
This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate
of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 103 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was
across northern Jefferson County, mainly north of Watertown. This
band will move south at 10 MPH through 215 AM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Carthage, West Carthage, Clayton, Adams,
Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Kring Point State Park, Adams Center,
Wellesley Island State Park, Cedar Point State Park, Southwick Beach
State Park, Redwood, Henderson Harbor, Sackets Harbor, Henderson,
Black River and Smithville.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 41 and 52.

SAFETY INFO...
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4410 7517 4407 7517 4371 7626 4415 7634
      4420 7631 4420 7624 4424 7617 4429 7615
      4435 7601 4435 7595 4440 7586
TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 247DEG 5KT 4412 7599

Apffel
Local storm report, Nov 20, 2:01 AM EST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
201 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HEAVY SNOW       BUFFALO AIRPORT         42.94N 78.72W
11/20/2022  M36.7 INCH       ERIE               NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            3-DAY STORM TOTAL.

&&
Local storm report, Nov 20, 2:04 AM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
204 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HEAVY SNOW       LANCASTER               42.90N 78.67W
11/20/2022  M42.0 INCH       ERIE               NY   PUBLIC

&&
Special weather statement, Nov 20, 2:13 AM EST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
213 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ007-008-200830-
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-
213 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow accompanied by winds of up to 30 MPH
which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile.
This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate
of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 212 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was over
Watertown moving southeast at 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Stony Point, Carthage, West Carthage, Clayton,
Adams, Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Cedar Point State
Park, Southwick Beach State Park, Redwood, Henderson Harbor, Barnes
Corners, Denmark, New Bremen, Sackets Harbor and Henderson.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 39 and 49.

SAFETY INFO...
The snow will accumulate so rapidly that it will be extremely
difficult for the road crews to keep the roads clear.

&&

LAT...LON 4368 7626 4379 7629 4383 7636 4387 7635
      4386 7641 4395 7645 4395 7634 4402 7636
      4405 7641 4410 7643 4414 7635 4420 7631
      4421 7621 4425 7616 4433 7570 4410 7517
      4388 7515
TIME...MOT...LOC 0712Z 324DEG 7KT 4394 7595

Apffel

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 19, 9:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Niagara, Orleans58 min
Nov 19, 11:20 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Wyoming55 min
Nov 20, 12:34 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Livingston, Wyoming56 min
Nov 20, 1:05 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson70 min
Nov 20, 3:26 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis79 min
Nov 20, 4:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego2 hr
Nov 20, 6:37 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis, Oswego113 min
Nov 20, 8:22 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus83 min
Nov 20, 8:46 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis, Oswego119 min
Nov 20, 10:59 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego2 hr
Nov 20, 1:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego108 min
Nov 20, 3:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego88 min
Nov 20, 5:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego119 min
Nov 20, 6:41 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Monroe, Niagara and 2 more26 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2022Every special weather statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.