Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
937 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy lake effect snow bands will move back southward tonight into
Sunday. Lake snows will focus east of the lakes Sunday afternoon and
evening, with very heavy accumulations focusing on Oswego County.
Otherwise, gusty winds will result in blustery conditions with areas
of blowing and drifting snow across the area Sunday and Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
...HEAVY LAKE SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTH TONIGHT...

...INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN OSWEGO COUNTY SUNDAY...

Off Lake Erie...

The lake effect snow band has consolidated and strengthened as
expected over Lake Erie and Niagara County, and is now drifting
southeast towards the Lake Erie shore of Chautauqua and Erie
counties. Travel conditions will become severe in a matter of
minutes with very heavy snow and 40 mph gusts producing blinding
whiteouts.

Tonight, the expectation is that once the shortwave crosses the
region the steering flow will veer fairly quickly. This will
re-establish the lake effect band across Grand Island and
Niagara county around mid evening, between 8 pm and 10 pm. Once
established the band will start to move south fairly rapidly
and will likely not be in once location for more than 2 hours.
However, the intensity of the band will allow snowfall rates to
reach 3"/hr. Therefore, even though the band will be moving quickly
it is possible that additional amounts around a half foot or so
could occur across the Buffalo metro area between roughly 10 pm and
1 am.

The band will then settle across southern Erie county and the
western Southern Tier overnight and through the day Sunday. The band
will eventually become less organized, but because it will last
longer expect amounts to be in the 6 to 18 inch range. Greatest
amounts will be across higher terrain, and will extend further away
from the lakes due to the stronger winds, impacting Allegany county.
Little additional snow accumulation is expected for the Buffalo
metro area.

Off Lake Ontario...

Lake effect snow continues over northern Jefferson County and the
Saint Lawrence Valley this evening on 200 degree flow. This band
will remain in place through shortly after midnight, with snowfall
rates occasionally reaching 1" per hour.

Winds becoming more west-northwest later tonight and into Sunday.
This will push an intense lake band south out of Jefferson county
into southern Lewis, Oswego and far northern Cayuga counties.
The expectation is that this lake band will be as intense or
even more intense than the one that forms off of Lake Erie.
Snowfall rates of 3-5"/hour will certainly be possible. It
appears that this band will not move as fast to the south as the
one off of Lake Erie, so additional snowfall totals of 2 to 3
feet will be possible where the lake snows persist
(particularly across Oswego county).

Otherwise, some general snow showers across much of the area due to
the shortwave. Snow will be more powdery on Sunday, and this
combined with winds gusting to 40-45 mph will result in areas of
blowing and drifting snow anywhere with a few inches or more of snow
on the ground.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Some lingering lake snows east of the lakes, especially off Lake
Ontario where the longer fetch will support more of a response.
This event may provide one last parting shot of snow to the
Buffalo metro area late Sunday night as winds shift back to the
southwest.

Mid-level height rises occur across the Great Lakes region Monday.
Warm air advection will likely occur across the eastern Great Lakes
while winds back to the south-southwest. This will finally end the
significant lake snows, with just some lingering snow/rain showers.
The bigger impact on Monday will be the winds which will gust to 45
mph northeast of the lakes, and 35 to 40 mph inland. This will
result in some blowing and drifting snow, however the snow will be a
bit wetter since temperatures will rise into the upper 30s to lower
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A more zonal pattern develops Tuesday through Wednesday allowing for
dry and warmer conditions. Temperatures will likely top out in the
low to mid 40s each day. A southwest breeze between high pressure
off the east coast and low pressure systems crossing the northern
Plains. This pattern will hold. allowing for a tranquil Thanksgiving
across the region.

Attention will then become focused on next chance for widespread
precipitation. Not surprisingly there are model differences here. At
this point though, since the main low is expected to track across
the Great Lakes and warm front lifts the region, temps aloft should
mainly favor liquid precip. Some uncertainty on that farther to the
east though. Ran with non-diurnal temps and this kept a rain/snow
mix or only snow limited to those eastern areas with mainly rain
across western NY (higher elevations will see at least a mix of rain
and snow though) Main time of widespread precip would be late
Thursday night through Friday. ECMWF has been consistent with
showing event total QPF over an inch of liquid. Canadian_NH has had
similar if not more QPF, but not consistently. GFS has been
persistently muted with this event. Should note as it stands now,
amounts from the ECMWF and Canadian_NH are on the higher range of
most available guidance (aka 90th plus percentile on NBM output).
We'll continue to refine details with the system as it could bring
impacts in terms of winter and hydro. Plenty of time to look into
this further as we move into this week.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Heavy bands of lake effect snow northeast of the lakes will move
quickly south overnight as boundary layer flow veers from SSW to
WNW. Wind will continue to produce some blowing and drifting snow on
airfields through Sunday.

For KBUF/IAG...A band of heavy lake effect snow just northwest of
KIAG at 00Z will move back across airfield roughly in the 02Z-04Z
time frame with visibility down 1/4 mile or less in heavier snows.
The band will shift south of KIAG and move through the KBUF airfield
roughly in the 03Z-05Z time frame with visibility down 1/4 mile or
less in heavier snows.

For KJHW...Lake effect snow will stay away from the airfield through
midnight. The band of heavy lake effect snow drop south across the
area off Lake Erie should reach the airfield in the 05z-07z time
frame, with frequent periods of visibility 1/4 mile or less in
heavier snows. Behind the initial push of heavy lake effect snow,
light to moderate lake effect snow will continue through much of
Sunday with meandering bands of lake effect snow across the western
Southern Tier.

For KART...the airfield will be on the edge of heavier lake snows
through this evening, although some periods of snow showers could
bring periods of IFR visibility. A band of heavy lake effect snow is
expected to cross the airfield roughly in the 07Z-11Z time frame
with heavy snow and 1/4 mile or less VSBY.

For KROC...the snowband will primarily reside away from this TAF
sites, although the eastern end of the Lake Erie band may produce a
brief period of IFR around 04Z-06Z.

Outlook...

Monday....MVFR/VFR with a chance of rain and snow showers. Very
Windy with gusts 40 knots or greater possible.
Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest guidance supports Gale Warnings for late tonight into Sunday
on both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, with sustained winds reaching 35-
40 knots on both lakes. Cold air advection may be able to increase
mixing depths over the lakes during this time. Winds will pick up
again on Monday, with another round of gales likely.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong winds late tonight and Sunday will cause levels on Lake
Erie to rise some. Water levels will likely approach 6 feet
above low water datum at the Buffalo NOS station. Levels higher
than this can cause minor splash over in a few spots along the
Lake Erie shoreline.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Buffalo airport received 16.1 inches of snowfall today,
breaking the daily record and bringing our monthly total 31.5
inches. This makes November 2022 the 2nd snowiest on record (the
snowiest is back in 2000 when there was 45.6 inches of snow).
It is possible that additional snowfall late this evening could
add to this record amount.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 AM EST Sunday for NYZ001.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for NYZ002.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 6 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday
     for NYZ005.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 4 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday
     for NYZ006-008.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 PM EST Sunday for NYZ007-010-
     011.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Sunday for NYZ012.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 10 PM EST Sunday for NYZ019-020.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST Sunday for NYZ021.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 PM EST Sunday for NYZ085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
         LEZ040-041.
         Gale Warning until 4 PM EST Sunday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Monday for LOZ030.
         Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for LOZ042>045.
         Gale Warning from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday for LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Apffel/TMA
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock/TMA
SHORT TERM...Apffel/TMA
LONG TERM...JLA/Thomas
AVIATION...Hitchcock/TMA
MARINE...Apffel/Hitchcock/Thomas/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Apffel/TMA
CLIMATE...Thomas

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

NYZ021-192145-
Allegany-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ002-192145-
Orleans-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-192145-
Niagara-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-020-192145-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-192145-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-192145-
Wyoming-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ085-192145-
Southern Erie-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-008-192145-
Oswego-Lewis-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-192145-
Jefferson-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-004-013-014-192145-
Monroe-Wayne-Livingston-Ontario-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ005-192145-
Northern Cayuga-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-192145-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-192145-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-192145-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
333 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1120 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

NYZ010>013-019>021-085-200515-
Chautauqua NY-Cattaraugus NY-Allegany NY-Livingston NY-
Southern Erie NY-Wyoming NY-Genesee NY-Northern Erie NY-
1120 PM EST Sat Nov 19 2022

...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BRING ABOUT A 2 HOURS BURST OF SNOW TO
WESTERN NEW YORK...

HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow accompanied by winds of up to 30 MPH
which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile.
This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate
of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 1118 PM EST, a band of heavy snow was
along a line extending from near Byron to 6 miles southwest of
Westfield, or moving south of the Buffalo and Rochester metro
areas. The bans is moving south at 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Jamestown, Batavia, Dunkirk, Fredonia, Hamburg, East Aurora, Darien
Lakes State Park, Letchworth State Park, Boston, Eden, Marilla,
Springville, Perry, Warsaw, Bennington, Colden, Orchard Park,
Westfield, Lakewood and Mount Morris.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 390 near exit 6.
 Interstate 90 between exits 57A and 61.
 Interstate 86 between exits 4 and 16.

SAFETY INFO...
Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this band of
heavy snow. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads
may lead to accidents.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4227 7976 4228 7973 4230 7975 4305 7811
      4263 7775 4200 7921 4200 7976
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 014DEG 16KT 4306 7801 4224 7964

Apffel

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1131 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HEAVY SNOW       1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE      42.97N 78.75W
11/19/2022  M4.7 INCH        ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FELL IN JUST 75 MINUTES.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1133 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     HEAVY SNOW       BUFFALO AIRPORT         42.94N 78.72W
11/19/2022  M5.0 INCH        ERIE               NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            IN JUST ONE HOUR.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1146 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HEAVY SNOW       1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE      42.97N 78.75W
11/19/2022  M21.1 INCH       ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1234 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ011>013-019>021-085-200630-
Chautauqua NY-Cattaraugus NY-Allegany NY-Livingston NY-
Southern Erie NY-Wyoming NY-Genesee NY-
1234 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A LINE OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND UPPER GENESEE VALLEY THROUGH 130 AM...

HAZARDS...A line of heavy lake effect snow accompanied by winds of
up to 35 MPH which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a
quarter of a mile. This line is producing extremely heavy snow at
the rate of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 1230 AM EST, a line of lake effect snow
was along a line extending from near Jamestown West to near Mount
Morris and moving southeast at 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Jamestown, Fredonia, Geneseo, Salamanca, Dansville, Allegany State
Park, Letchworth State Park, Boston, Springville, Perry, Warsaw,
Avon, Colden, Westfield, Lakewood, Mount Morris, Gowanda, Pavilion,
Conesus and Falconer.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 390 between exits 4 and 8.
 Interstate 86 between exits 6 and 23, and between exits 27 and 28.

SAFETY INFO...
Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this squall.
Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads may lead to
accidents.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 7943 4227 7975 4299 7784 4272 7760
      4267 7760 4267 7756 4259 7749 4258 7766
      4253 7766 4253 7772 4241 7773 4199 7887
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 314DEG 12KT 4214 7928 4266 7782

Apffel

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
105 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

NYZ007-008-200715-
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-
105 AM EST Sun Nov 20 2022

...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow accompanied by winds of up to 30 MPH
which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile.
This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate
of 2 to 3 inches per hour.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 103 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was
across northern Jefferson County, mainly north of Watertown. This
band will move south at 10 MPH through 215 AM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Carthage, West Carthage, Clayton, Adams,
Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Kring Point State Park, Adams Center,
Wellesley Island State Park, Cedar Point State Park, Southwick Beach
State Park, Redwood, Henderson Harbor, Sackets Harbor, Henderson,
Black River and Smithville.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 41 and 52.

SAFETY INFO...
Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be
prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra
time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 4410 7517 4407 7517 4371 7626 4415 7634
      4420 7631 4420 7624 4424 7617 4429 7615
      4435 7601 4435 7595 4440 7586
TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 247DEG 5KT 4412 7599

Apffel