Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2022
Storm Warning 122, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 17, 2022, 3:50 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2022, 3:50 PM AKDT (23:50 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 19, 2022, 3:56 AM AKDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
936 FZAK52 PAFC 172350 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-181230- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 993 mb low 20 nm northwest of Toksook Bay dissipates through Tue morning. A front pushes into the Western Bering early Tue morning, reaching the Eastern Bering by Wed morning. $$ PKZ150-181230- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ155-181230- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ160-181230- Bristol Bay- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ165-181230- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt except W 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt except NW 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. From Port Moller E, NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ170-181230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ171-181230- Unalaska Bay- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-181230- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-181230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ174-181230- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-181230- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ176-181230- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ177-181230- Adak to Kiska- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...S wind 55 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt in the evening becoming W 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ178-181230- Kiska to Attu- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. $$ PKZ179-181230- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ180-181230- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-181230- North and West of Nunivak Island- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-181230- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 350 PM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.Seas 11 ft. .TUE...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... S 50 kt W of Saint Matthew Island becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
362 FZAK52 PAFC 181142 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-190030- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A strong front over the Western Bering moves eastward reaching the Eastern Bering by Wed morning. $$ PKZ150-190030- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ155-190030- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ160-190030- Bristol Bay- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt becoming 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ165-190030- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...S wind 40 kt except S 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ170-190030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-190030- Unalaska Bay- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-190030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...S wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ173-190030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ174-190030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-190030- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ176-190030- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ177-190030- Adak to Kiska- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED THROUGH WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ178-190030- Kiska to Attu- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 50 kt. From Shemya W, SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ179-190030- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ180-190030- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-190030- North and West of Nunivak Island- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ185-190030- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 342 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 50 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 45 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
939 FZAK52 PAFC 190003 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-191315- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A strong 958 mb Central Kamchatka low moves to the Gulf of Anadyr at 989 mb for Thu afternoon. Its front moves into Western Alaska by Wed night. $$ PKZ150-191315- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ155-191315- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-191315- Bristol Bay- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-191315- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ170-191315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.Rain. .WED...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ171-191315- Unalaska Bay- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-191315- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ173-191315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-191315- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ175-191315- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ176-191315- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming W 30 after midnight. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ177-191315- Adak to Kiska- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ178-191315- Kiska to Attu- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ179-191315- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ180-191315- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-191315- North and West of Nunivak Island- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ185-191315- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 403 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 50 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .WED...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
747 FZAK52 PAFC 191156 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-200030- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A strong 965 mb central Kamchatka low moves to the Gulf of Anadyr at 989 mb Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ150-200030- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ155-200030- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-200030- Bristol Bay- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-200030- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 40 kt except S 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ170-200030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ171-200030- Unalaska Bay- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ172-200030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ173-200030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ174-200030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ175-200030- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ176-200030- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ177-200030- Adak to Kiska- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TONIGHT THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-200030- Kiska to Attu- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ179-200030- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 45 kt early becoming W 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ180-200030- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-200030- North and West of Nunivak Island- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ185-200030- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 356 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 40 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 17, 5:29 AM AKDT, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 5:29 AM AKDT, 10 hours 21 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 529 AM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... The broad upper level low near the Kuskokwim Delta coast weakens and shift southward through tonight into Tuesday morning, merging with a North Pacific low. High pressure over the western Bering pushes eastward ahead of a front extending off a low centered over eastern Russia. There is a swath of cold air advection following the front that will move over the Bering Sea mid-week. Multiple upper level shortwaves pass over the Gulf of Alaska and into Southcentral Alaska ahead of the North Pacific low. There is good consensus that this developing system will end up taking a more easterly track, with its center aiming for the region between Cordova and Yakutat. The brunt of the impacts will most likely affect the Southeast portions of the State, but Southcentral could see periods of unsettled weather as well. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Models remain in good overall synoptic agreement through the short term. There was some hinting yesterday that the incoming North Pacific low would a more easterly track last night, and newer model runs have since confirmed that. There is still some light inconsistencies, but the general strength and track of the system is being handled better. && .AVIATION... PANC...Mostly VFR conditions should persist. Some gusty southerly winds will continue into the early morning hours before becoming light. Chance for some rain showers late morning/early afternoon may bring conditions down to MVFR at times. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3; Today through Wednesday night)... A surface trough and associated upper-level shortwave will lift north from the central Gulf across Southcentral today. These features will keep conditions unsettled throughout the day, with widespread showers along the immediate coast and periods of shower activity farther inland. There is some added instability, mainly colder air aloft, with this shortwave that could trigger some isolated thunderstorms from the northern Gulf to the coastal mountains through early afternoon. The upper-level wave lifts into the interior by Tuesday morning as a transient upper-level ridge moves in. The developing easterly flow aloft will shift the bulk of the shower activity along the eastern Kenai Peninsula and the Alaska Range. By Tuesday, the main focus will shift to the North Pacific where a hurricane-force low will move north to the Southern Gulf. The leading occluded front will sweep northwestward over the northern and western Gulf by Tuesday afternoon with widespread rain from the immediate coast to Kodiak Island and storm-force winds over the open water. This front rapidly weakens as it, and the associated upper-level wave push inland. This feature will increase northerly gap winds and push precipitation along the coastal mountains and across the Copper River Basin, falling as mix of rain and snow, both at elevation and over the western Copper River Basin. The low is then expected to continue to rapidly weaken as it moves east toward Yakutat. A mix of rain/snow showers will linger across the mountains as the flow aloft turns northerly. A secondary upper-level wave is then expected to lift northeast from the AKPen Wednesday night into Thursday morning with light precipitation developing from Cook Inlet north to the Susitna Valley. Temperatures should remain warm enough at lower elevations for rain. However, higher elevations such as the Anchorage Hillside and northern Susitna Valley could see some light snow. As this system lifts to the Copper River Basin, a frontal system will move into the western Gulf with another round of precipitation for Thursday. &&.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2: Today through Wednesday)... A broad upper low remains over the Bering Sea with another shortwave generating scattered rain showers in Bristol Bay and wintry mix in the Kuskokwim Valley. By tonight, the low is expected to weaken in response to a high pressure system building overhead with cool, dry conditions. Periods of rain showers, however, will persist at least through Tuesday night for the Alaska Peninsula in addition to north- northwesterly gap winds. Otherwise, daytime temperatures will range in the 30s and 40s with overnight lows below freezing under party to mostly cloudy skies. After a brief break of drier weather on Tuesday, an upper trough and surface low sets up over eastern Russia, advancing a front eastward toward western Alaska. Along and ahead of the front, steadier precipitation and southerly winds arrives Wednesday afternoon/evening. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2: Today through Wednesday)... A broad low pressure system extends across the eastern Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula. North-northwesterly gap winds along with scattered rain/snow showers continues across the Bering Sea and Aleutian Chain as cold air streams over the relatively warm sea waters on the back side of the low. Winds are expected to diminish along with precipitation tapering off tonight as a ridge of high pressure builds overhead. Meanwhile, a front extending ahead of a strong low in the Sea of Okhotsk will advance a front toward western Alaska. Along and ahead of the front, storm force to gale force southerly winds with moderate to heavy rain moves across the Bering Sea and Aleutian Chain between tonight and Wednesday. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)... Unsettled weather is in store for Southern Alaska and the Bering Sea through the extended period, with model agreement about average. The long term begins on Thursday with an upper level trough over much of the Bering Sea. An occluded low embedded within this trough pushes its front into Mainland Alaska through Thursday, bringing elevated winds and rain/snow. The next feature to watch is a shortwave in the North Pacific Ocean that spins up a surface low on Friday. Models have not been in good agreement, though it appears that they may be slowly converging on a solution. The GFS and Canadian deterministic models show this low tracking south of the Aleutian Islands on Friday, then moving into the Gulf by Saturday night as it runs up against a ridge. However, the deterministic ECMWF model shows this low remaining in the North Pacific due to weaker ridging. Beyond the track, there are also differences in the strength of this low. The deterministic Canadian model has been the most aggressive, with pressure dropping as low as 970 mb with the low center. The 12Z GFS had been a bit less aggressive (with minimum pressure around 1000 mb), though the latest model run is suggesting that the low center will drop to around 990 mb with a trend towards stronger winds. Both the deterministic Canadian and GFS models have winds of at least gale force, with a period of storm force winds around the backside of the low. The deterministic Canadian model is even suggesting a brief period of hurricane force winds, though whether that plays out remains to be seen. Uncertainty remains high, with ensemble members showing a broad range in sea level pressure associated with this feature. By Sunday, the aforementioned low should depart the Gulf, leading to gusty outflow winds through Kamishak Gap. Further west, the presence of an upper level low over Eastern Russia suggests more unsettled weather is on the way, though the specifics remain uncertain. The question is how strong a shortwave rounding this upper level low will be, and how quickly its associated surface low will occlude. These factors will affect the maximum winds expected with this low and the potential development of a low at the triple point. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...Storm Warning 131 132 177 178 351 351 411-413 Gale Warning 119 120 130 136 137 138 150 175 176 185 FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MF LONG TERM...KC
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 3:37 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:40 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 17, 3:40 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:42 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:44 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 49 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:44 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 7 days | |
| Oct 17, 3:44 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 17, 11:00 AM AKDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 2 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:22 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 49 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:37 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:37 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:37 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 17, 3:50 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.