Gale Warning 621, NWS Anchorage, AK

960 
FZAK51 PAFC 181220
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190100-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 962 mb North Pacific low moves to 330 nm southeast of Kodiak at
964 mb Tue afternoon. The low continues to 70 nm west of Yakutat 
at 989 mb Wed morning and then moves inland while dissipating Wed
afternoon. A front associated with a Bering Sea low enters the 
southwestern Gulf Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-190100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 35 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft
subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 
ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190100-
Resurrection Bay-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190100-
Prince William Sound-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190100-
Port Valdez-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190100-
Valdez Narrows-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190100-
Valdez Arm-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190100-
Passage Canal-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 7 ft 
building to 11 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190100-
Barren Islands East-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming N 40 kt. Seas 10 ft 
building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt becoming NW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft
building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 16 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190100-
Chiniak Bay-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft
in the morning building to 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt subsiding to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190100-
Marmot Bay-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190100-
Shelikof Strait-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft
in the morning building to 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft
in the morning building to 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft
in the morning building to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190100-
Kachemak Bay-
420 AM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming SW 20 kt. Outer bay, seas
4 ft in the morning increasing to 8 ft. Inner bay, seas 2 ft in the
morning increasing to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

611 
FZAK51 PAFC 182357
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191300-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong 963 mb low 265 nm South of Middleton Island moves inland
over Yakutat at 987 mb by Wed afternoon. Its front moves over the
North Gulf Coast and Southeast Alaska for Wed afternoon. A 1000 
mb low forms 30 nm East of Chignik Wed night and moves near Cape 
Cleare at 1004 mb by Thu afternoon. Its front moves into the 
Central Gulf through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-191300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 24 ft 
subsiding to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft building to 22 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft
subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191300-
Resurrection Bay-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191300-
Prince William Sound-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191300-
Port Valdez-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191300-
Valdez Narrows-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191300-
Valdez Arm-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191300-
Passage Canal-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191300-
Barren Islands East-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191300-
Chiniak Bay-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191300-
Marmot Bay-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191300-
Shelikof Strait-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191300-
Kachemak Bay-
357 PM AKDT Tue Oct 18 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

155 
FZAK51 PAFC 191228
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200145-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 mb low 170 nm East of Middleton Island moves inland over 
Yakutat at 995 mb Wed afternoon. Its front moves over the North 
Gulf Coast and Southeast Alaska for Wed afternoon. A 1000 mb low 
forms 70 nm East of Chignik Wed evening and moves to Prince
William Sound Thu night. Its front moves into the North Gulf 
Coast and Southeast Alaska through Thu night.

$$

PKZ119-200145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 
ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200145-
Resurrection Bay-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
25 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200145-
Prince William Sound-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200145-
Port Valdez-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200145-
Valdez Narrows-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200145-
Valdez Arm-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200145-
Passage Canal-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Gusts to 25
kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200145-
Barren Islands East-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
15 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200145-
Chiniak Bay-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200145-
Marmot Bay-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200145-
Shelikof Strait-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200145-
Kachemak Bay-
428 AM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Outer bay, seas 6 ft. Inner bay, seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Outer bay, seas 4 ft. Inner bay, seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Outer bay, seas
4 ft in the morning building to 8 ft. Inner bay, seas 2 ft in the 
morning building to 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

210 
FZAK51 PAFC 192359
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201300-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 mb low over Sand Point moves to 35 nm West of Yakutat at 
1005 mb Fri afternoon. A front enters the Western Gulf Wed night and
moves into Southeast Alaska Thu night.

$$

PKZ119-201300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201300-
Resurrection Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201300-
Prince William Sound-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201300-
Port Valdez-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201300-
Valdez Narrows-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201300-
Valdez Arm-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201300-
Passage Canal-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt during the early evening.
Winds becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201300-
Barren Islands East-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201300-
Chiniak Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201300-
Marmot Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201300-
Shelikof Strait-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201300-
Kachemak Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Oct 19 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

874 
FZAK51 PAFC 201158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210115-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 mb low 75 nm north of Kodiak moves to 50 nm northwest of
Middleton Island at 1002 mb Thu evening. The low continues to 180 nm
southeast of Yakutat at 1010 mb Fri night. 

$$

PKZ119-210115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Along the coast, SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
in the morning building to 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210115-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210115-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210115-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210115-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210115-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210115-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 20
kt near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to
25 kt near Whittier in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210115-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210115-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210115-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210115-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. S of Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. S
of Anchor Point, seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. S of Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
S of Anchor Point, seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. S of Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt diminishing to 
20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. S of Anchor Point, seas 9 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210115-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Thu Oct 20 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt early becoming W wind 25 kt. Outer bay, seas 3
ft early building to 9 ft. Inner bay, seas 2 ft early building to 4 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Outer bay, seas 9 ft. Inner bay, seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Outer bay,
seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Inner bay, seas 5 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
529 AM AKDT Mon Oct 17 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The broad upper level low near the Kuskokwim Delta coast weakens
and shift southward through tonight into Tuesday morning, merging
with a North Pacific low. High pressure over the western Bering
pushes eastward ahead of a front extending off a low centered over
eastern Russia. There is a swath of cold air advection following the
front that will move over the Bering Sea mid-week. Multiple upper
level shortwaves pass over the Gulf of Alaska and into
Southcentral Alaska ahead of the North Pacific low. There is good
consensus that this developing system will end up taking a more
easterly track, with its center aiming for the region between
Cordova and Yakutat. The brunt of the impacts will most likely
affect the Southeast portions of the State, but Southcentral could
see periods of unsettled weather as well.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good overall synoptic agreement through the short
term. There was some hinting yesterday that the incoming North
Pacific low would a more easterly track last night, and newer
model runs have since confirmed that. There is still some
light inconsistencies, but the general strength and track of the
system is being handled better.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Mostly VFR conditions should persist. Some gusty southerly
winds will continue into the early morning hours before becoming
light. Chance for some rain showers late morning/early afternoon
may bring conditions down to MVFR at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3;
Today through Wednesday night)...

A surface trough and associated upper-level shortwave will lift
north from the central Gulf across Southcentral today. These
features will keep conditions unsettled throughout the day, with
widespread showers along the immediate coast and periods of
shower activity farther inland. There is some added instability,
mainly colder air aloft, with this shortwave that could trigger
some isolated thunderstorms from the northern Gulf to the coastal
mountains through early afternoon. The upper-level wave lifts into
the interior by Tuesday morning as a transient upper-level ridge
moves in. The developing easterly flow aloft will shift the bulk
of the shower activity along the eastern Kenai Peninsula and the
Alaska Range.

By Tuesday, the main focus will shift to the North Pacific where a
hurricane-force low will move north to the Southern Gulf. The
leading occluded front will sweep northwestward over the northern
and western Gulf by Tuesday afternoon with widespread rain from
the immediate coast to Kodiak Island and storm-force winds over
the open water. This front rapidly weakens as it, and the
associated upper-level wave push inland. This feature will
increase northerly gap winds and push precipitation along the
coastal mountains and across the Copper River Basin, falling as
mix of rain and snow, both at elevation and over the western
Copper River Basin. The low is then expected to continue to
rapidly weaken as it moves east toward Yakutat. A mix of rain/snow
showers will linger across the mountains as the flow aloft turns
northerly.

A secondary upper-level wave is then expected to lift northeast
from the AKPen Wednesday night into Thursday morning with light
precipitation developing from Cook Inlet north to the Susitna
Valley. Temperatures should remain warm enough at lower
elevations for rain. However, higher elevations such as the
Anchorage Hillside and northern Susitna Valley could see some
light snow. As this system lifts to the Copper River Basin, a
frontal system will move into the western Gulf with another round
of precipitation for Thursday.

&&.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2: Today
through Wednesday)...

A broad upper low remains over the Bering Sea with another
shortwave generating scattered rain showers in Bristol Bay and
wintry mix in the Kuskokwim Valley. By tonight, the low is
expected to weaken in response to a high pressure system building
overhead with cool, dry conditions. Periods of rain showers,
however, will persist at least through Tuesday night for the
Alaska Peninsula in addition to north- northwesterly gap winds.
Otherwise, daytime temperatures will range in the 30s and 40s with
overnight lows below freezing under party to mostly cloudy skies.
After a brief break of drier weather on Tuesday, an upper trough
and surface low sets up over eastern Russia, advancing a front
eastward toward western Alaska. Along and ahead of the front,
steadier precipitation and southerly winds arrives Wednesday
afternoon/evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2:
Today through Wednesday)...

A broad low pressure system extends across the eastern Aleutians
and southern Alaska Peninsula. North-northwesterly gap winds along
with scattered rain/snow showers continues across the Bering Sea
and Aleutian Chain as cold air streams over the relatively warm
sea waters on the back side of the low. Winds are expected to
diminish along with precipitation tapering off tonight as a ridge
of high pressure builds overhead. Meanwhile, a front extending
ahead of a strong low in the Sea of Okhotsk will advance a front
toward western Alaska. Along and ahead of the front, storm force to
gale force southerly winds with moderate to heavy rain moves
across the Bering Sea and Aleutian Chain between tonight and
Wednesday.

&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through
Sunday)...

Unsettled weather is in store for Southern Alaska and the Bering
Sea through the extended period, with model agreement about
average. The long term begins on Thursday with an upper level
trough over much of the Bering Sea. An occluded low embedded
within this trough pushes its front into Mainland Alaska
through Thursday, bringing elevated winds and rain/snow.

The next feature to watch is a shortwave in the North Pacific
Ocean that spins up a surface low on Friday. Models have not been
in good agreement, though it appears that they may be slowly
converging on a solution. The GFS and Canadian deterministic
models show this low tracking south of the Aleutian Islands on
Friday, then moving into the Gulf by Saturday night as it runs up
against a ridge. However, the deterministic ECMWF model shows this
low remaining in the North Pacific due to weaker ridging. Beyond
the track, there are also differences in the strength of this
low. The deterministic Canadian model has been the most
aggressive, with pressure dropping as low as 970 mb with the low
center. The 12Z GFS had been a bit less aggressive (with minimum
pressure around 1000 mb), though the latest model run is
suggesting that the low center will drop to around 990 mb with a
trend towards stronger winds. Both the deterministic Canadian and
GFS models have winds of at least gale force, with a period of
storm force winds around the backside of the low. The
deterministic Canadian model is even suggesting a brief period of
hurricane force winds, though whether that plays out remains to be
seen. Uncertainty remains high, with ensemble members showing a
broad range in sea level pressure associated with this feature.

By Sunday, the aforementioned low should depart the Gulf, leading
to gusty outflow winds through Kamishak Gap. Further west, the
presence of an upper level low over Eastern Russia suggests more
unsettled weather is on the way, though the specifics remain
uncertain. The question is how strong a shortwave rounding this
upper level low will be, and how quickly its associated surface
low will occlude. These factors will affect the maximum winds
expected with this low and the potential development of a low at
the triple point.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 131 132 177 178 351 351 411-413
		 Gale Warning 119 120 130 136 137 138 150 175 176 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MF
LONG TERM...KC