Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
128 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Monday]

Bands of showers and isolated thunderstorms associated with
Tropical Depression Claudette continue to move across the TAF
sites this morning. Gusty winds are expected within these bands to
around 25kts but a few higher gusts are also possible. Activity
will continue into the early afternoon. Generally MVFR cigs are
expected this morning with improvement to VFR by late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [937 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Sunday]...

Tropical Depression Claudette continues to move east-northeast
across central AL with spiral rain bands extending southward into
the Gulf. A tornado watch remains in effect for SE AL, the FL
Panhandle, and portions of SW Georgia into this evening. Gusty winds
have been occuring within these showers and storms as well. A wind
advisory is in effect for the FL Panhandle. Heavy rainfall is also
possible with these storms, particularly the spiral rain bands as
they move slowly NNEward. Rain rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour will
be possible, so any training of storms that develops could lead to
flash flooding. The highest threat for flooding through tomorrow
remains across the western portions of the area. A Flash Flood Watch
remains in effect for SE AL, the FL Panhandle, and portions of SW
Georgia through Sunday.

Overall several rounds of showers and thunderstorms along with
spiral rain bands are expected across the area as Claudette moves
slowly ENEward. Gusty winds, heavy rainfall, flooding, and
tornadoes will remain threats into Sunday.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Monday Night]...

Tropical Storm Claudette finally moves over to the Carolinas
Sunday night. This should give somewhat of a lull in showers and
thunderstorms Sunday night before increasing again on Monday with
deep moisture allowing scattered showers and thunderstorms with
daytime heating.

High temperatures on Monday are forecast in the 80s with humid
conditions. Low temperatures will remain in the low to mid 70s.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Tuesday rain chances ramp up remarkably again as a cold front
pushes into the area and stalls out. This boundary could serve as
a focus for shower and thunderstorm development on Wednesday
before washing out. Easterly to southeasterly flow returns
Thursday and Friday with a return to a more typical summertime
pattern. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
afternoon, although ridging nosing in from the west could help
keep overall coverage on the lower side. High temperatures will
climb back into the upper 80s to low 90s with low temperatures in
the low 70s.

.MARINE...

Tropical Storm Claudette continues to push ENEward across A
Alabama this afternoon. Winds have come down enough that the
Tropical Storm Warning will be replaced with a Small Craft
Advisory, although some occasional gusts to gale force are still
possible. Seas will gradually subside tonight through tomorrow
with some lingering surf and rip currents expected. Otherwise,
expect a return to typical summertime boating conditions for the
upcoming week.

.FIRE WEATHER...

A wet pattern is in store today into the upcoming week. The main
concern is the potential for high dispersions above 75 units to
the north of I-10 on Sunday. Otherwise, there are no other fire
weather concerns at this time.

.HYDROLOGY...

With lower rainfall totals than originally anticipated, the river
flooding threat has lowered. While some flash flooding is still
possible, rises on area rivers are forecast to remain near action
stage at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   87  73  86  73  84 /  80  30  60  40  60
Panama City   85  76  85  75  84 /  70  30  60  50  70
Dothan        86  72  86  72  81 /  60  20  50  50  80
Albany        85  74  89  74  83 /  80  40  50  30  80
Valdosta      87  72  87  71  84 /  80  20  50  20  60
Cross City    86  74  86  74  84 /  60  30  50  30  50
Apalachicola  85  76  83  75  83 /  80  30  60  40  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT early this morning for Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Holmes-Inland Bay-North Walton-South
     Walton-Washington.

     High Surf Advisory until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ early this morning
     for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ this afternoon
     for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to
     Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From
     Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton
     County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to
     Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola
     to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico
     Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM...Merrifield
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Merrifield

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1041 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

GAZ122>126-142-144-200345-
Randolph GA-Lee GA-Baker GA-Dougherty GA-Terrell GA-Calhoun GA-
Early GA-
1041 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DOUGHERTY...EASTERN RANDOLPH...
LEE...NORTHWESTERN BAKER...CALHOUN...NORTHEASTERN EARLY AND TERRELL
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

At 1041 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Weston to near Edison to near Blakely.
Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Morgan, Albany, Dawson, Leesburg, Edison, Arlington, Shellman, Leary,
Smithville, East Albany, Turner City, Walker, Douglasville, Sasser,
Damascus, Bronwood, Parrott, Iveys Mill, Stocks and Parksville.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3187 8434 3192 8434 3191 8397 3164 8406
      3133 8433 3129 8493 3161 8474 3192 8464
      3192 8445 3196 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0241Z 229DEG 32KT 3194 8461 3164 8470 3132 8491

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1110 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

ALZ069-FLZ010>014-016-026-112-GAZ142>145-155-156-200430-
Houston AL-Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Inland Bay FL-Calhoun FL-
Inland Gulf FL-Coastal Bay FL-Jackson FL-Washington FL-Miller GA-
Decatur GA-Baker GA-Early GA-Mitchell GA-Seminole GA-
1110 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTH CENTRAL GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF
FLORIDA...NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...EASTERN JACKSON...NORTHERN BAY AND CALHOUN
COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...NORTHWESTERN GADSDEN COUNTY IN
BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...SOUTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SEMINOLE...CENTRAL
EARLY...DECATUR...MILLER AND SOUTHWESTERN BAKER COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 1230 AM EDT/1130 PM CDT/...

At 1110 PM EDT/1010 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 10 miles west of
Donalsonville to 13 miles southeast of Chipley to 8 miles northwest
of Panama City Beach. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lynn Haven, Colquitt, Newton, Blountstown, Marianna, Bainbridge,
Donalsonville, Chattahoochee, Greensboro, West Bainbridge, Sneads,
Gretna, Bristol, Grand Ridge, Greenwood, Altha, Iron City, Damascus,
Brinson and Jakin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
southeastern Alabama...Big Bend of and the Panhandle of Florida...and
southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3063 8543 3087 8517 3136 8483 3132 8423
      3059 8463 3017 8529 3029 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 226DEG 28KT 3103 8506 3060 8542 3033 8592

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1131 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

ALZ065-066-200530-
Dale AL-Coffee AL-
1131 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DALE AND NORTHERN
COFFEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1131 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Linwood to Goshen to near Gantt. Movement
was northeast at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Elba, Ozark, Fort Rucker, New Brockton, Ariton, Lee, Pine Level,
Mixons Crossroads, Curtis, Carl Folsom A/p, Dill, Lowry Mill, Camp
Humming Hills, Arguta, Clintonville, Wise Mill, Roeton, Dale County
Lake, Marley Hill and Camp Alaflo Bsa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for southeastern
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8545
      3144 8565 3135 8620
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 242DEG 49KT 3194 8582 3172 8611 3144 8654

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1241 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

FLZ014-015-026-114-115-200530-
Inland Franklin FL-Liberty FL-Inland Gulf FL-Coastal Franklin FL-
Coastal Gulf FL-
1241 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GULF...SOUTHWESTERN
LIBERTY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM EDT/1230 AM CDT/...

At 1241 AM EDT/1141 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Apalachicola, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Carrabelle, Eastpoint, Apalachicola, St George Island, Orange,
Franklin, Carrabelle Beach, Royal Bluff, Eleven Mile, St George
Island St Pk, Odena, Central City, Indian Pass, Beverly, Kern, Bay
City, Willis Landing, Apalachicola Airport, Twin Pole and Hays Place.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
Big Bend of and the Panhandle of Florida.

LAT...LON 2955 8509 2967 8529 3027 8501 2987 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 0441Z 231DEG 28KT 2976 8504

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
105 AM EDT SUN JUN 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 NNW APALACHICOLA AIRP 29.73N 85.03W
06/20/2021  M40 MPH          FRANKLIN           FL   ASOS

            THE APALACHICOLA (KAAF) ASOS STATION
            MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 40 MPH.

&&

LF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1228 AM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

ALZ065-066-200630-
Dale AL-Coffee AL-
1228 AM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DALE AND NORTHERN
COFFEE COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

At 1228 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Boot Hill to 8 miles north of Elba to
Heath. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Elba, Fort Rucker, New Brockton, Ariton, Lee, Pine Level, Mixons
Crossroads, Curtis, Carl Folsom A/p, Dill, Lowry Mill, Camp Humming
Hills, Arguta, Wise Mill, Roeton, Marley Hill, Clowers Crossroads,
Phillips Crossroads, Arcus and Hwy 231 Pea River Bridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for southeastern
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8554
      3144 8571 3136 8620
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 254DEG 23KT 3183 8563 3154 8605 3136 8647

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