Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
937 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.UPDATE...

The only change made from the previous package is that a tornado
watch is in effect through 7 AM EDT for all counties in the Tri-
state region except Lafayette and Dixie.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [500 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Sunday]...

Tropical Dedression Claudette continues to move east-northeast
across central AL with spiral rain bands extending southward into
the Gulf. A tornado watch remains in effect for SE AL, the FL
Panhandle, and portions of SW Georgia into this evening. Gusty winds
have been occuring within these showers and storms as well. A wind
advisory is in effect for the FL Panhandle. Heavy rainfall is also
possible with these storms, particularly the spiral rain bands as
they move slowly NNEward. Rain rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour will
be possible, so any training of storms that develops could lead to
flash flooding. The highest threat for flooding through tomorrow
remains across the western portions of the area. A Flash Flood Watch
remains in effect for SE AL, the FL Panhandle, and portions of SW
Georgia through Sunday.

Overall several rounds of showers and thunderstorms along with
spiral rain bands are expected across the area as Claudette moves
slowly ENEward. Gusty winds, heavy rainfall, flooding, and
tornadoes will remain threats into Sunday.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Monday Night]...

Tropical Storm Claudette finally moves over to the Carolinas
Sunday night. This should give somewhat of a lull in showers and
thunderstorms Sunday night before increasing again on Monday with
deep moisture allowing scattered showers and thunderstorms with
daytime heating.

High temperatures on Monday are forecast in the 80s with humid
conditions. Low temperatures will remain in the low to mid 70s.

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Tuesday rain chances ramp up remarkably again as a cold front
pushes into the area and stalls out. This boundary could serve as
a focus for shower and thunderstorm development on Wednesday
before washing out. Easterly to southeasterly flow returns
Thursday and Friday with a return to a more typical summertime
pattern. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
afternoon, although ridging nosing in from the west could help
keep overall coverage on the lower side. High temperatures will
climb back into the upper 80s to low 90s with low temperatures in
the low 70s.

.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Monday]

Spiral bands of heavy rain and gusty winds associated with TD
Claudette will work across the region through the TAF cycle.
Periods of MVFR/IFR conditions will accompany the heavy rain
bands. Outside of showers, VFR will prevail with periods of MVFR
cigs. Winds will be gusty during the daytime hours, especially at
ECP.

.MARINE...

Tropical Storm Claudette continues to push ENEward across A
Alabama this afternoon. Winds have come down enough that the
Tropical Storm Warning will be replaced with a Small Craft
Advisory, although some occasional gusts to gale force are still
possible. Seas will gradually subside tonight through tomorrow
with some lingering surf and rip currents expected. Otherwise,
expect a return to typical summertime boating conditions for the
upcoming week.

.FIRE WEATHER...

A wet pattern is in store today into the upcoming week. The main
concern is the potential for high dispersions above 75 units to
the north of I-10 on Sunday. Otherwise, there are no other fire
weather concerns at this time.

.HYDROLOGY...

With lower rainfall totals than originally anticipated, the river
flooding threat has lowered. While some flash flooding is still
possible, rises on area rivers are forecast to remain near action
stage at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   73  87  73  86  73 /  60  60  20  60  40
Panama City   76  85  76  85  75 /  70  60  30  60  50
Dothan        73  86  72  86  72 /  80  60  20  50  50
Albany        74  85  74  89  74 /  80  70  20  50  30
Valdosta      73  87  72  87  71 /  50  60  20  50  20
Cross City    75  86  74  86  74 /  40  50  20  50  30
Apalachicola  76  85  76  83  75 /  60  60  30  60  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Sunday for Central Walton-Coastal
     Bay-Holmes-Inland Bay-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     High Surf Advisory until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ Sunday for Coastal
     Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ Sunday for
     Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to
     Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From
     Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton
     County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to
     Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola
     to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico
     Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

UPDATE...Barry
NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM...Merrifield
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Merrifield

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1014 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

FLZ010>013-112-GAZ155-156-200315-
Coastal Bay FL-Inland Bay FL-Calhoun FL-Jackson FL-Washington FL-
Decatur GA-Seminole GA-
1014 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON...BAY...WESTERN CALHOUN
AND SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
WEST CENTRAL DECATUR AND CENTRAL SEMINOLE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA UNTIL 1115 PM EDT/1015 PM CDT/...

At 1014 PM EDT/914 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles east of Vernon to
12 miles north of Panama City Beach to 12 miles southeast of Santa
Rosa Beach. Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Callaway, Marianna,
Bainbridge, Springfield, Hiland Park, Tyndall Air Force Base,
Chattahoochee, Bradford, Parker, Sneads, Cottondale, Grand Ridge,
Greenwood, Altha, Alford, Wausau and Bascom.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
Big Bend of and the Panhandle of Florida...and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3094 8531 3094 8461 3002 8557 3029 8600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 233DEG 42KT 3059 8560 3038 8588 3021 8617

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1018 PM EDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S BROWNTOWN           30.95N 85.47W
06/19/2021                   JACKSON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SHILOH CHURCH LOOP IN JACKSON
            COUNTY FLORIDA.

&&

EB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1021 PM EDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW REHOBETH          31.13N 85.45W
06/19/2021                   HOUSTON            AL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF 605 AND
            BETTY ROAD IN THE REHOBOTH AREA OF HOUSTON
            COUNTY ALABAMA.

&&

EB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1041 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

GAZ122>126-142-144-200345-
Randolph GA-Lee GA-Baker GA-Dougherty GA-Terrell GA-Calhoun GA-
Early GA-
1041 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DOUGHERTY...EASTERN RANDOLPH...
LEE...NORTHWESTERN BAKER...CALHOUN...NORTHEASTERN EARLY AND TERRELL
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 1145 PM EDT...

At 1041 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Weston to near Edison to near Blakely.
Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Morgan, Albany, Dawson, Leesburg, Edison, Arlington, Shellman, Leary,
Smithville, East Albany, Turner City, Walker, Douglasville, Sasser,
Damascus, Bronwood, Parrott, Iveys Mill, Stocks and Parksville.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
and southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3187 8434 3192 8434 3191 8397 3164 8406
      3133 8433 3129 8493 3161 8474 3192 8464
      3192 8445 3196 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0241Z 229DEG 32KT 3194 8461 3164 8470 3132 8491

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1110 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

ALZ069-FLZ010>014-016-026-112-GAZ142>145-155-156-200430-
Houston AL-Liberty FL-Gadsden FL-Inland Bay FL-Calhoun FL-
Inland Gulf FL-Coastal Bay FL-Jackson FL-Washington FL-Miller GA-
Decatur GA-Baker GA-Early GA-Mitchell GA-Seminole GA-
1110 PM EDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTH CENTRAL GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF
FLORIDA...NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...EASTERN JACKSON...NORTHERN BAY AND CALHOUN
COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...NORTHWESTERN GADSDEN COUNTY IN
BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...SOUTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SEMINOLE...CENTRAL
EARLY...DECATUR...MILLER AND SOUTHWESTERN BAKER COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 1230 AM EDT/1130 PM CDT/...

At 1110 PM EDT/1010 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 10 miles west of
Donalsonville to 13 miles southeast of Chipley to 8 miles northwest
of Panama City Beach. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lynn Haven, Colquitt, Newton, Blountstown, Marianna, Bainbridge,
Donalsonville, Chattahoochee, Greensboro, West Bainbridge, Sneads,
Gretna, Bristol, Grand Ridge, Greenwood, Altha, Iron City, Damascus,
Brinson and Jakin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT/600 AM CDT/ for
southeastern Alabama...Big Bend of and the Panhandle of Florida...and
southwestern Georgia.

LAT...LON 3063 8543 3087 8517 3136 8483 3132 8423
      3059 8463 3017 8529 3029 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 226DEG 28KT 3103 8506 3060 8542 3033 8592

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1131 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

ALZ065-066-200530-
Dale AL-Coffee AL-
1131 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DALE AND NORTHERN
COFFEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1131 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Linwood to Goshen to near Gantt. Movement
was northeast at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Elba, Ozark, Fort Rucker, New Brockton, Ariton, Lee, Pine Level,
Mixons Crossroads, Curtis, Carl Folsom A/p, Dill, Lowry Mill, Camp
Humming Hills, Arguta, Clintonville, Wise Mill, Roeton, Dale County
Lake, Marley Hill and Camp Alaflo Bsa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for southeastern
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8545
      3144 8565 3135 8620
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 242DEG 49KT 3194 8582 3172 8611 3144 8654

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