Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 64

March 27, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2021, 9:01 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2021, 9:01 PM CDT (02:01 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2021, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
80 kt
All 63 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 9:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDecatur7 hr
Mar 27, 9:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOHXDickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Lewis, Maury, Perry14 hr
Mar 27, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips48 min
Mar 27, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Haywood, Madison40 min
Mar 27, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Decatur, Henderson31 min
Mar 27, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison, Shelby, Tipton43 min
Mar 27, 9:35 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPhillips40 min
Mar 27, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar36 min
Mar 27, 9:37 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPhillips53 min
Mar 27, 9:49 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPhillips31 min
Mar 27, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden52 min
Mar 27, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Fayette, Gibson, Hardeman and 3 more47 min
Mar 27, 10:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson4 hr
Mar 27, 10:05 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCoahoma, Panola, Quitman, Tate, Tunica40 min
Mar 27, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Panola, Quitman52 min
Mar 27, 10:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGFayette, Shelby3 hr
Mar 27, 10:31 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate44 min
Mar 27, 10:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGHaywood, Madison, Tipton3 hr
Mar 27, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Marshall36 min
Mar 27, 10:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Hardeman, Henderson, Madison29 min
Mar 27, 10:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDeSoto, Tate, Tunica3 hr
Mar 27, 10:56 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Marshall, Tate, Tippah49 min
Mar 27, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot61 min
Mar 27, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Marshall, Tippah51 min
Mar 27, 11:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman3 hr
Mar 27, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot53 min
Mar 27, 11:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGPhillips4 hr
Mar 27, 11:25 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGChester, Hardeman, McNairy14 min
Mar 27, 11:31 PM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower44 min
Mar 27, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more42 min
Mar 27, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Tallahatchie49 min
Mar 27, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn51 min
Mar 27, 11:58 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Tippah17 min
Mar 28, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot27 min
Mar 28, 12:12 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo33 min
Mar 28, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Itawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall and 4 more43 min
Mar 28, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHickman, Lawrence, Lewis, Perry, Wayne43 min
Mar 28, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha48 min
Mar 28, 12:48 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate, Tippah and 1 more3 hr
Mar 28, 12:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Hickman, Lawrence, Lewis, Marshall, Maury and 2 more36 min
Mar 28, 12:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more49 min
Mar 28, 12:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Panola, Pontotoc, Tallahatchie and 1 more46 min
Mar 28, 1:03 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo, Union27 min
Mar 28, 1:10 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGCalhoun, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union, Yalobusha28 min
Mar 28, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo and 1 more39 min
Mar 28, 1:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc43 min
Mar 28, 2:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Montgomery, Webster49 min
Mar 28, 2:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo46 min
Mar 28, 2:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Monroe25 min
Mar 28, 2:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster36 min
Mar 28, 3:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Webster52 min
Mar 28, 3:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMonroe42 min
Mar 28, 3:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 894 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
894 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
8.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

494 
WWUS20 KWNS 280159
SEL4  
SPC WW 280159
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-280900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 64
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
900 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Arkansas
  Northeast Louisiana
  Northern Mississippi
  Southwest Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 900 PM
  until 400 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will likely evolve into a broader QLCS
overnight. Tornadoes and damaging winds will be the primary hazards.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast of Jackson TN
to 50 miles south of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 59...WW 60...WW 61...WW
62...WW 63...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25045.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion2 hr
Mar 27, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha90 min
Mar 27, 7:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville61 min
Mar 27, 8:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Coahoma and 26 more93 min
Mar 28, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCItawamba, Monroe93 min
Mar 27, 11:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Coffee, Franklin, Giles, Grundy, Hickman and 6 more8 hr
Mar 28, 1:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell and 42 more2 hr
Mar 28, 2:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Cumberland, Hamilton and 14 more6 hr
Mar 28, 4:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.