Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 59

March 27, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2021, 1:51 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2021, 1:51 PM CDT (18:51 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 56 counties

Colbert County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Moore County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Hardeman, Henderson, Madison40 min
Mar 27, 4:35 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Henderson40 min
Mar 27, 4:54 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Perry36 min
Mar 27, 5:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDecatur, Henderson22 min
Mar 27, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNCullman, Madison, Marshall, Morgan46 min
Mar 27, 5:17 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Perry28 min
Mar 27, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis44 min
Mar 27, 5:33 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Perry27 min
Mar 27, 5:39 PM CDTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Perry36 min
Mar 27, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMississippi, Poinsett48 min
Mar 27, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett42 min
Mar 27, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson, Madison, Marshall36 min
Mar 27, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Maury45 min
Mar 27, 6:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Maury, Perry3 hr
Mar 27, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMaury, Williamson42 min
Mar 27, 6:23 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMEGMississippi52 min
Mar 27, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson31 min
Mar 27, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMadison16 min
Mar 27, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMarshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson22 min
Mar 27, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson, Madison17 min
Mar 27, 6:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOHXMaury, Williamson3 hr
Mar 27, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson46 min
Mar 27, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDyer, Lauderdale43 min
Mar 27, 7:03 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett42 min
Mar 27, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCross, St. Francis52 min
Mar 27, 7:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis3 hr
Mar 27, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Maury32 min
Mar 27, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLee, Phillips43 min
Mar 27, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Coffee, DeKalb, Rutherford, Warren43 min
Mar 27, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Gibson, Haywood, Madison40 min
Mar 27, 7:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Rutherford, Williamson3 hr
Mar 27, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett51 min
Mar 27, 7:50 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis40 min
Mar 27, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Henderson41 min
Mar 27, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett38 min
Mar 27, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHenderson, Madison42 min
Mar 27, 8:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGChester, Henderson, Madison6 hr
Mar 27, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, St. Francis11 min
Mar 27, 8:37 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDecatur23 min
Mar 27, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi34 min
Mar 27, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Henderson, Madison47 min
Mar 27, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHickman, Humphreys, Perry41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 347 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
347 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
316 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

237 
WWUS20 KWNS 271849
SEL9  
SPC WW 271849
ALZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-280200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Extreme northern Alabama
  Extreme east central Arkansas
  Northern Mississippi
  Southern parts of western and middle Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected by mid afternoon and
storms will persist well into this evening.  The storm environment
favors supercells capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes
and very large hail near the size of baseballs.  As storms cluster
more into the evening, the threat for damaging winds will increase,
including the potential for hurricane force gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 105 miles east northeast of Muscle
Shoals AL to 60 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 2:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale, Limestone115 min
Mar 27, 11:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 1 more3 hr
Mar 27, 3:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Jefferson, Lamar and 6 more94 min
Mar 27, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 26 more89 min
Mar 27, 3:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 31 more10 hr
Mar 27, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 29 more2 hr
Mar 27, 7:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon, Claiborne and 28 more2 hr
Mar 27, 10:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger and 12 more90 min
Mar 27, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Crockett, Decatur, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin and 12 more93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.