Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 59
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2021, 1:51 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2021, 1:51 PM CDT (18:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 27, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 56 counties
Colbert County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Moore County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 60%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 70%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 4:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Hardeman, Henderson, Madison | 40 min |
| Mar 27, 4:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Chester, Decatur, Henderson | 40 min |
| Mar 27, 4:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Perry | 36 min |
| Mar 27, 5:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Decatur, Henderson | 22 min |
| Mar 27, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Cullman, Madison, Marshall, Morgan | 46 min |
| Mar 27, 5:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Perry | 28 min |
| Mar 27, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 44 min |
| Mar 27, 5:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Perry | 27 min |
| Mar 27, 5:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Perry | 36 min |
| Mar 27, 5:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Mississippi, Poinsett | 48 min |
| Mar 27, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 42 min |
| Mar 27, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Jackson, Madison, Marshall | 36 min |
| Mar 27, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury | 45 min |
| Mar 27, 6:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury, Perry | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Maury, Williamson | 42 min |
| Mar 27, 6:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 52 min |
| Mar 27, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Jackson | 31 min |
| Mar 27, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Madison | 16 min |
| Mar 27, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson | 22 min |
| Mar 27, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Jackson, Madison | 17 min |
| Mar 27, 6:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Maury, Williamson | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Bedford, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson | 46 min |
| Mar 27, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lauderdale | 43 min |
| Mar 27, 7:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett | 42 min |
| Mar 27, 7:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 52 min |
| Mar 27, 7:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury | 32 min |
| Mar 27, 7:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 43 min |
| Mar 27, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Bedford, Cannon, Coffee, DeKalb, Rutherford, Warren | 43 min |
| Mar 27, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Madison | 40 min |
| Mar 27, 7:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Bedford, Cannon, Rutherford, Williamson | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 7:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 51 min |
| Mar 27, 7:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 40 min |
| Mar 27, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Decatur, Henderson | 41 min |
| Mar 27, 8:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett | 38 min |
| Mar 27, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Henderson, Madison | 42 min |
| Mar 27, 8:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, Madison | 6 hr |
| Mar 27, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, St. Francis | 11 min |
| Mar 27, 8:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Decatur | 23 min |
| Mar 27, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 34 min |
| Mar 27, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, Madison | 47 min |
| Mar 27, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Humphreys, Perry | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 710 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 347 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 316 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
237
WWUS20 KWNS 271849
SEL9
SPC WW 271849
ALZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-280200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme northern Alabama
Extreme east central Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southern parts of western and middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected by mid afternoon and
storms will persist well into this evening. The storm environment
favors supercells capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes
and very large hail near the size of baseballs. As storms cluster
more into the evening, the threat for damaging winds will increase,
including the potential for hurricane force gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 105 miles east northeast of Muscle
Shoals AL to 60 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colbert, Lauderdale, Limestone | 115 min |
| Mar 27, 11:55 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colbert, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 27, 3:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene, Jefferson, Lamar and 6 more | 94 min |
| Mar 27, 2:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 26 more | 89 min |
| Mar 27, 3:25 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 31 more | 10 hr |
| Mar 27, 6:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 29 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 7:41 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon, Claiborne and 28 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 10:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger and 12 more | 90 min |
| Mar 27, 3:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin and 12 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.