Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 474

August 29, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 29, 2021, 6:49 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 29, 2021, 6:49 PM CDT (23:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany36 min
Aug 29, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile25 min
Aug 29, 8:22 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany38 min
Aug 29, 8:55 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyConsiderable damage threatLIXLivingston, Tangipahoa3 hr
Aug 29, 9:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River26 min
Aug 29, 9:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River13 min
Aug 29, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River24 min
Aug 29, 10:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River14 min
Aug 29, 10:34 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River41 min
Aug 29, 11:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBStone6 hr
Aug 29, 11:45 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatLIXPlaquemines10 hr
Aug 29, 11:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison31 min
Aug 29, 11:50 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington3 hr
Aug 30, 12:05 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatLIXLivingston, Tangipahoa12 hr
Aug 30, 12:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Perry, Stone6 hr
Aug 30, 12:41 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson49 min
Aug 30, 2:39 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLIXSaint Tammany9 hr
Aug 30, 2:47 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson47 min
Aug 30, 2:55 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington5 hr
Aug 30, 2:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson65 min
Aug 30, 3:24 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington6 hr
Aug 30, 3:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion6 hr
Aug 30, 3:39 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry20 min
Aug 30, 3:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington5 hr
Aug 30, 4:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson8 hr
Aug 30, 5:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLawrence, Lincoln3 hr
Aug 30, 5:43 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBEscambia31 min
Aug 30, 5:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXPearl River5 hr
Aug 30, 6:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -55 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3256 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

041 
WWUS20 KWNS 292344
SEL4  
SPC WW 292344
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-301100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 474
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 PM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwestern Alabama
  Western Florida Panhandle
  Southeastern Louisiana
  Southern Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 645 PM
  until 600 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Hurricane Ida will continue to translate northward (see
latest NHC advisory for tropical watches/warnings and
track/intensity guidance).  As it does, a favorable air mass for
supercell/tornado potential will spread gradually inland overnight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of Slidell LA to
20 miles northeast of Pensacola FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 472. Watch number 472 will not be in effect after
645 PM CDT. 

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 13045.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 5:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile2 hr
Aug 29, 6:07 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile, Washington13 hr
Aug 29, 10:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington4 hr
Aug 29, 5:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.