Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 472

August 29, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 29, 2021, 6:07 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 29, 2021, 6:07 AM CDT (11:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 29, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 32 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 6:21 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison24 min
Aug 29, 7:30 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile30 min
Aug 29, 7:56 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile25 min
Aug 29, 8:10 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson24 min
Aug 29, 8:41 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin36 min
Aug 29, 10:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBEscambia6 hr
Aug 29, 11:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin6 hr
Aug 29, 12:30 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin27 min
Aug 29, 1:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile4 hr
Aug 29, 2:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River15 min
Aug 29, 3:07 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock23 min
Aug 29, 3:45 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin45 min
Aug 29, 4:08 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist8 hr
Aug 29, 4:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin6 hr
Aug 29, 4:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBEscambia6 hr
Aug 29, 5:01 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatLIXPlaquemines6 hr
Aug 29, 5:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison33 min
Aug 29, 5:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXHarrison5 hr
Aug 29, 5:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBEscambia, Santa Rosa6 hr
Aug 29, 6:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany8 hr
Aug 29, 6:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany16 hr
Aug 29, 6:25 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany35 min
Aug 29, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 790 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
790 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1003 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

083 
WWUS20 KWNS 291104
SEL2  
SPC WW 291104
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 472
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
605 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwestern Alabama
  The western Florida Panhandle
  Southeastern Louisiana
  Southern Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 605 AM until 700
  PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Major Hurricane Ida will make landfall later this morning
in southeastern Louisiana, and continue moving northwestward and
inland through the afternoon.  The threat for supercells and a few
tornadoes will increase through the day in the outer convective
bands to the northeast and east of the center of Ida.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles west southwest of Slidell LA
to 40 miles east southeast of Pensacola FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 15045.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 5:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile2 hr
Aug 29, 10:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington4 hr
Aug 29, 5:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile83 min
Aug 29, 6:49 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe and 1 more11 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.