Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 472
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 29, 2021, 6:07 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 29, 2021, 6:07 AM CDT (11:07 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 29, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 50 kt
All 32 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 5%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 20%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 6:21 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison | 24 min |
| Aug 29, 7:30 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Mobile | 30 min |
| Aug 29, 7:56 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Mobile | 25 min |
| Aug 29, 8:10 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Jackson | 24 min |
| Aug 29, 8:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 36 min |
| Aug 29, 10:06 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 11:11 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 12:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 27 min |
| Aug 29, 1:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 4 hr |
| Aug 29, 2:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison, Pearl River | 15 min |
| Aug 29, 3:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Hancock | 23 min |
| Aug 29, 3:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 45 min |
| Aug 29, 4:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist | 8 hr |
| Aug 29, 4:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 4:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Plaquemines | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Harrison | 33 min |
| Aug 29, 5:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Harrison | 5 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia, Santa Rosa | 6 hr |
| Aug 29, 6:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 8 hr |
| Aug 29, 6:21 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 16 hr |
| Aug 29, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Orleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany | 35 min |
| Aug 29, 6:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 790 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1003 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 67 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
083 WWUS20 KWNS 291104 SEL2 SPC WW 291104 ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-300000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 472 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwestern Alabama The western Florida Panhandle Southeastern Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 605 AM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible SUMMARY...Major Hurricane Ida will make landfall later this morning in southeastern Louisiana, and continue moving northwestward and inland through the afternoon. The threat for supercells and a few tornadoes will increase through the day in the outer convective bands to the northeast and east of the center of Ida. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west southwest of Slidell LA to 40 miles east southeast of Pensacola FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 15045. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 5:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile | 2 hr |
| Aug 29, 10:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Mobile, Washington | 4 hr |
| Aug 29, 5:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Escambia, Mobile | 83 min |
| Aug 29, 6:49 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe and 1 more | 11 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.