Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 74
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 7, 2021, 12:02 PM CDT for 84 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 7, 2021, 12:02 PM CDT (17:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 7, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 84 counties
Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Worth County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene, Stone | 38 min |
| Apr 7, 2:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Camden, Morgan | 52 min |
| Apr 7, 2:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Benton, Morgan | 29 min |
| Apr 7, 2:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Pettis | 26 min |
| Apr 7, 3:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Moniteau | 39 min |
| Apr 7, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Pettis | 23 min |
| Apr 7, 3:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Webster, Wright | 48 min |
| Apr 7, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Miller | 34 min |
| Apr 7, 4:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage | 26 min |
| Apr 7, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby | 19 min |
| Apr 7, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson, Saint Francois, Washington | 68 min |
| Apr 7, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 321 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 323 Severe thunderstorm watch 74
- Mesoscale Discussion 324 Tornado watch 75
- Mesoscale Discussion 325 Severe thunderstorm watch 74
- Mesoscale Discussion 326 Tornado watch 75
- Mesoscale Discussion 327 Severe potential...watch unlikely
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 257 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 790 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -275 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 767 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 186 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 223 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
150 WWUS20 KWNS 071659 SEL4 SPC WW 071659 MOZ000-080000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 74 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 PM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Much of Missouri * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from NOON until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon over western Missouri and track northeastward across the watch area. A few severe storms are anticipated, with the possiblity of large hail, damaging winds. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Kirksville MO to 35 miles west southwest of West Plains MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 6:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Dade and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 7, 10:18 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Buchanan and 42 more | 117 min |
| Apr 7, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Camden, Christian, Cole, Dallas, Douglas, Greene and 13 more | 90 min |
| Apr 7, 2:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Stone, Taney | 53 min |
| Apr 7, 3:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Dent and 21 more | 92 min |
| Apr 7, 3:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ozark | 65 min |
| Apr 7, 5:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Callaway, Clark, Franklin, Gasconade and 17 more | 116 min |
| Apr 7, 5:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.