Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 74

April 7, 202184 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 7, 2021, 12:02 PM CDT for 84 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2021, 12:02 PM CDT (17:02 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 84 counties

Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Worth County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Greene, Stone38 min
Apr 7, 2:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Morgan52 min
Apr 7, 2:46 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBenton, Morgan29 min
Apr 7, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPettis26 min
Apr 7, 3:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMoniteau39 min
Apr 7, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Pettis23 min
Apr 7, 3:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWebster, Wright48 min
Apr 7, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMiller34 min
Apr 7, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage26 min
Apr 7, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby19 min
Apr 7, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Francois, Washington68 min
Apr 7, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 257 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 790 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 186 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
790 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-275 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
767 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

150 
WWUS20 KWNS 071659
SEL4  
SPC WW 071659
MOZ000-080000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 74
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Much of Missouri

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from NOON until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
over western Missouri and track northeastward across the watch area.
 A few severe storms are anticipated, with the possiblity of large
hail, damaging winds.  A tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest
of Kirksville MO to 35 miles west southwest of West Plains MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole, Dade and 20 more2 hr
Apr 7, 10:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Buchanan and 42 more117 min
Apr 7, 1:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamden, Christian, Cole, Dallas, Douglas, Greene and 13 more90 min
Apr 7, 2:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHowell, Oregon, Ozark, Stone, Taney53 min
Apr 7, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Dent and 21 more92 min
Apr 7, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOzark65 min
Apr 7, 5:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Callaway, Clark, Franklin, Gasconade and 17 more116 min
Apr 7, 5:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.