Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 508

September 20, 20216 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 20, 2021, 3:25 PM CDT for 6 counties in Kansas; 38 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2021, 3:25 PM CDT (20:25 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHarrison, Worth33 min
Sep 20, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison33 min
Sep 20, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte28 min
Sep 20, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Clinton, Platte47 min
Sep 20, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatEAXJohnson, Wyandotte46 min
Sep 20, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Clinton, Platte42 min
Sep 20, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Jackson45 min
Sep 20, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn47 min
Sep 20, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Jackson, Ray52 min
Sep 20, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray43 min
Sep 20, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatSGFBourbon, Crawford57 min
Sep 20, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette21 min
Sep 20, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Pettis, Saline49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 583 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
583 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-288 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1142 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

129 
WWUS20 KWNS 202022
SEL8  
SPC WW 202022
KSZ000-MOZ000-210300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Kansas
  Western and North-Central Missouri

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon along
a cold front moving into the watch area.  Hot and humid conditions
will help storms to intensify, with the strongest cells capable of
damaging wind gusts and hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of
Chillicothe MO to 65 miles south southwest of Knob Noster MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 507...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte2 hr
Sep 20, 6:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Johnson, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte95 min
Sep 20, 12:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Putnam, Worth2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.