Severe Thunderstorm Warning 139, NWS Kansas City, MO

684 
WWUS53 KEAX 210056
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
756 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

MOC107-210106-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0139.000000T0000Z-210921T0115Z/
Lafayette MO-
756 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds, 
frequent lightning, and heavy rain are still possible with this 
thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central, north central and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3910 9387 3924 9360 3924 9358 3922 9356
      3921 9352 3913 9349 3904 9349 3894 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 238DEG 24KT 3914 9365 

$$

Klaus

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
656 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

.Discussion...
Issued at 303 PM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

Message of the Day

- A broken line of storms will move through much of the area this
  afternoon and evening. A couple of strong to severe storms are
  possible mainly along and east of I-35 between 3 PM and 10 PM.
  Isolated strong wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter-
  sized are the main concerns.

- The rest of the week will be dry with high temperatures in the
  70s and low temperatures in the 40s/50s.

Discussion

So far today has been on the warmer side again with southwest winds
gusting up to 25 mph. The well advertised cold front has started
moving through the area, currently stretching from Nodaway County,
MO to Doniphan County, KS. This means temperatures in far northwest
MO/northeast KS have likely reached their peak and will now start
to fall. Those west of I-35 will have temperatures in the upper
60s to low 70s by 5-6 PM. The KC Metro over to Kirksville will see
temperatures in the upper 60s to 70s around 7-8 PM, with central
MO finally seeing the big temperature drop by 10 PM.

Storms are expected to develop along the front any time now, west of
I-35. The front and storms should reach the I-35 corridor closer to
5 PM and then our central MO counties around 8-9 PM. Storms will be
in a thin broken line. A few strong to severe storms are possible,
mainly along and east of I-35. This is where we are seeing plenty of
sunshine and destabilization. SB CAPE is around 2000-3000 J/kg.
A deep upper level trough is also moving overhead, generating
around 30-35 kts of deep layer shear in the same area. Strong
winds are the main concern, but hail up to quarter-sized is
possible especially when storms initially develop. The best time
for strong to severe storms will be between now (3 PM) and 10 PM.

High pressure and beautiful fall weather will follow the cold front.
Highs will be in the low to mid 70s the next few days with low
temperatures in the 40s Wednesday and Thursday morning. The surface
high pressure will slide east Thursday night, shifting winds back
to the southwest. This will help temperatures reach the upper 70s
to low 80s Friday. A weak and dry cold front will then pass
through Friday evening keeping the 70s around for Saturday. The
widespread 80 degree temperatures will make a comeback though at
the end of the weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 656 PM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

Main focus for this TAF cycle is the cold front and associated
thunderstorms that are moving through with it. Storms are currently
just moving east of the terminals, with no more storm development
expected behind the line. As a result we expect clearing skies
behind the cold front will a gusty north wind into the early
morning hours.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Atkins
Aviation...Cutter

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
517 AM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-211030-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
517 AM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening as a cold
front moves through the area. A few storms may be strong to briefly
severe with small hail and gusty winds.

More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
549 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

MOZ005-014-015-023-202315-
Grundy MO-Daviess MO-Livingston MO-Harrison MO-
549 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Daviess,
western Grundy, southeastern Harrison and northwestern Livingston
Counties through 615 PM CDT...

At 548 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Gilman City, or 8 miles north of Gallatin, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, Jamesport, Gilman City, Pattonsburg, Coffey, Jameson and
Brimson.

This includes Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 66 and
77.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
north central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 9419 4006 9413 4023 9368 3988 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 245DEG 29KT 4003 9395

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Klaus

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
553 PM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             2 W MERRIAM             39.02N 94.72W
09/20/2021  M1.75 INCH       JOHNSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SGA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
634 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

MOZ043-053-210000-
Bates MO-Cass MO-
634 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Cass
and northwestern Bates Counties through 700 PM CDT...

At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Drexel, or 9 miles west of Adrian, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Adrian, Archie, Drexel and Merwin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 9461 3851 9461 3862 9428 3836 9421
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 257DEG 30KT 3844 9452

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Klaus

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
645 PM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNW MOSBY             39.34N 94.31W
09/20/2021  M53 MPH          CLAY               MO   AWOS

            KGPH.

&&

SGA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
657 PM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             LIBERTY                 39.25N 94.42W
09/20/2021  M1.25 INCH       CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

&&

SGA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
725 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

MOZ023-024-030>032-038-039-210100-
Ray MO-Carroll MO-Saline MO-Chariton MO-Lafayette MO-Livingston MO-
Linn MO-
725 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Chariton, southwestern Linn, east central Ray, Carroll, northwestern
Saline, northeastern Lafayette and southern Livingston Counties
through 800 PM CDT...

At 724 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Norborne, or 11 miles east of Lexington, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Chillicothe, Carrollton, Norborne, Meadville, Hale, Laclede,
Bosworth, Linneus, Wheeling, Utica, Wakenda, Bogard, Tina, Dover,
Sumner, Avalon and Dawn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central, north central and west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 9383 3979 9365 3990 9312 3931 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 246DEG 34KT 3924 9367

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Klaus