Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 455

August 22, 202132 counties in North Dakota; 30 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 22, 2021, 3:36 PM CDT for 32 counties in North Dakota; 30 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 22, 2021, 3:36 PM CDT (20:36 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Wells County, ND, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Miner County, SD, Moody County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Pierce, Wells60 min
Aug 22, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson41 min
Aug 22, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk, Potter41 min
Aug 22, 4:25 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFBenson35 min
Aug 22, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatABREdmunds, McPherson42 min
Aug 22, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRMcPherson13 min
Aug 22, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey32 min
Aug 22, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Wells61 min
Aug 22, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule45 min
Aug 22, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds39 min
Aug 22, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBuffalo37 min
Aug 22, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatABRBrown50 min
Aug 22, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Brule, Jerauld42 min
Aug 22, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGFEddy47 min
Aug 22, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown49 min
Aug 22, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatABRDay, Marshall46 min
Aug 22, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDAurora, Jerauld40 min
Aug 22, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Spink48 min
Aug 22, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFEddy, Nelson40 min
Aug 22, 6:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDAurora, Davison, Sanborn32 min
Aug 22, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGriggs57 min
Aug 22, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningABRSpink15 min
Aug 22, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatABRDay, Marshall, Roberts24 min
Aug 22, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDDavison, Hanson, Miner, Sanborn30 min
Aug 22, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay43 min
Aug 22, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora24 min
Aug 22, 7:31 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGriggs, Steele23 min
Aug 22, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDDavison, Sanborn44 min
Aug 22, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson23 min
Aug 22, 7:46 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson18 min
Aug 22, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFSteele11 min
Aug 22, 8:05 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedABRDay, Grant25 min
Aug 22, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDDavison, Hanson, Miner, Sanborn39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2021-08-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2021-08-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 311 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1536 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
311 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
445 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

737 
WWUS20 KWNS 222034
SEL5  
SPC WW 222034
NDZ000-SDZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 455
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 22 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  central and eastern North Dakota
  northeastern South Dakota

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms, including a few
supercells, are expected to form late this afternoon in a corridor
initially extending from parts of north central North Dakota
south-southeastward into parts of central South Dakota.  These
storms will rapidly develop eastward toward the western Minnesota
state border through early evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest
of Devils Lake ND to 5 miles east southeast of Huron SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Kerr

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 2:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster and 9 more2 hr
Aug 22, 5:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cass, Dickey, Eddy, Foster and 17 more91 min
Aug 22, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGregory, Tripp97 min
Aug 22, 6:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAurora, Davison, Douglas, Hanson, Hutchinson, Jerauld and 4 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.