Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 455
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 22, 2021, 3:36 PM CDT for 32 counties in North Dakota; 30 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2021, 3:36 PM CDT (20:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 62 counties
Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Wells County, ND, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Miner County, SD, Moody County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Foster, Pierce, Wells | 60 min |
| Aug 22, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson | 41 min |
| Aug 22, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, Faulk, Potter | 41 min |
| Aug 22, 4:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Benson | 35 min |
| Aug 22, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, McPherson | 42 min |
| Aug 22, 5:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | McPherson | 13 min |
| Aug 22, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dickey | 32 min |
| Aug 22, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Foster, Wells | 61 min |
| Aug 22, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Brule | 45 min |
| Aug 22, 5:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Edmunds | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Buffalo | 37 min |
| Aug 22, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown | 50 min |
| Aug 22, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Aurora, Brule, Jerauld | 42 min |
| Aug 22, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Eddy | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown | 49 min |
| Aug 22, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day, Marshall | 46 min |
| Aug 22, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Aurora, Jerauld | 40 min |
| Aug 22, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Spink | 48 min |
| Aug 22, 6:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Eddy, Nelson | 40 min |
| Aug 22, 6:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FSD | Aurora, Davison, Sanborn | 32 min |
| Aug 22, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Griggs | 57 min |
| Aug 22, 6:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | Spink | 15 min |
| Aug 22, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day, Marshall, Roberts | 24 min |
| Aug 22, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Davison, Hanson, Miner, Sanborn | 30 min |
| Aug 22, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day | 43 min |
| Aug 22, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Aurora | 24 min |
| Aug 22, 7:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Griggs, Steele | 23 min |
| Aug 22, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Davison, Sanborn | 44 min |
| Aug 22, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Nelson | 23 min |
| Aug 22, 7:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Nelson | 18 min |
| Aug 22, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Steele | 11 min |
| Aug 22, 8:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ABR | Day, Grant | 25 min |
| Aug 22, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Davison, Hanson, Miner, Sanborn | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1536 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 311 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 445 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
737
WWUS20 KWNS 222034
SEL5
SPC WW 222034
NDZ000-SDZ000-230200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 455
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 22 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
central and eastern North Dakota
northeastern South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms, including a few
supercells, are expected to form late this afternoon in a corridor
initially extending from parts of north central North Dakota
south-southeastward into parts of central South Dakota. These
storms will rapidly develop eastward toward the western Minnesota
state border through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest
of Devils Lake ND to 5 miles east southeast of Huron SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...KerrSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benson, Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 22, 5:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barnes, Benson, Cass, Dickey, Eddy, Foster and 17 more | 91 min |
| Aug 22, 3:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gregory, Tripp | 97 min |
| Aug 22, 6:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Aurora, Davison, Douglas, Hanson, Hutchinson, Jerauld and 4 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.