Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 454
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 20, 2021, 7:40 PM CDT for 11 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2021, 7:40 PM CDT (00:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 21, 2021, 12:41 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 28 counties
Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 20 min |
| Aug 20, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 44 min |
| Aug 20, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Geary, Lyon, Morris, Wabaunsee | 28 min |
| Aug 20, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee | 32 min |
| Aug 20, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee | 37 min |
| Aug 20, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee | 45 min |
| Aug 20, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jefferson | 37 min |
| Aug 20, 10:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 46 min |
| Aug 20, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Osage | 24 min |
| Aug 20, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Franklin, Osage | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3676 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1017 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 145 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 242 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.1
- Supercell composite
- 18.5
The text
As transmitted.
925 WWUS20 KWNS 210038 SEL4 SPC WW 210038 KSZ000-MOZ000-210700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 454 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 740 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Kansas Northwest Missouri * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 740 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Storms have congealed into a linear structure across northeast Kansas, and these storms are expected to persist while spreading into northwest Missouri through the early overnight hours. The strongest embedded storms/bowing segments will be capable of producing damaging outflow gusts of 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Saint Joseph MO to 35 miles southwest of Olathe KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 451...WW 452...WW 453... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Butler, Chase and 29 more | 84 min |
| Aug 20, 9:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Butler, Chase and 23 more | 83 min |
| Aug 20, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cowley and 7 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.