Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 449
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 19, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado; 6 counties in Kansas; 21 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 19, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT (19:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 19, 2021, 6:57 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 50 kt
All 44 counties
Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Denver County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2:39 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams, Broomfield, Jefferson | 36 min |
| Aug 19, 2:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Weld | 29 min |
| Aug 19, 2:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 26 min |
| Aug 19, 3:05 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams, Weld | 25 min |
| Aug 19, 3:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Deuel, Garden | 47 min |
| Aug 19, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 31 min |
| Aug 19, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 46 min |
| Aug 19, 3:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Douglas, Elbert | 25 min |
| Aug 19, 3:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 52 min |
| Aug 19, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 33 min |
| Aug 19, 3:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe | 31 min |
| Aug 19, 3:46 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Douglas, Elbert | 14 min |
| Aug 19, 3:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 41 min |
| Aug 19, 3:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Sedgwick | 24 min |
| Aug 19, 4:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace | 60 min |
| Aug 19, 4:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Deuel, Garden | 44 min |
| Aug 19, 4:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert | 41 min |
| Aug 19, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 25 min |
| Aug 19, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Sherman, Thomas | 55 min |
| Aug 19, 4:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan | 32 min |
| Aug 19, 4:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams | 43 min |
| Aug 19, 4:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert | 42 min |
| Aug 19, 4:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 35 min |
| Aug 19, 4:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe | 28 min |
| Aug 19, 4:34 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Phillips | 26 min |
| Aug 19, 4:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Arthur, Garden, Keith | 40 min |
| Aug 19, 4:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Deuel, Garden | 27 min |
| Aug 19, 4:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert | 23 min |
| Aug 19, 4:57 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Phillips | 33 min |
| Aug 19, 5:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan | 30 min |
| Aug 19, 5:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace | 58 min |
| Aug 19, 5:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan | 25 min |
| Aug 19, 5:09 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOU | Phillips | 3 hr |
| Aug 19, 5:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LBF | Chase, Perkins | 50 min |
| Aug 19, 5:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Keith | 43 min |
| Aug 19, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Arthur | 41 min |
| Aug 19, 5:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 26 min |
| Aug 19, 5:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Arthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson | 46 min |
| Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Thomas | 58 min |
| Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Chase, Perkins | 43 min |
| Aug 19, 6:13 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LBF | Keith | 3 hr |
| Aug 19, 6:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 24 min |
| Aug 19, 6:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Chase, Perkins | 43 min |
| Aug 19, 6:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 49 min |
| Aug 19, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Chase, Perkins | 48 min |
| Aug 19, 6:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 541 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -64 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 810 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
239 WWUS20 KWNS 191910 SEL9 SPC WW 191910 COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-200200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 449 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK Issued by 15th OWS Scott Air Force Base IL 1240 PM MDT Thu Aug 19 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Portions of Eastern Colorado Northwest Kansas West and Southwest Nebraska * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until 800 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will initiate within and across portions of Eastern to Northeastern Colorado this afternoon. Severe weather will continue to spread into Northwestern Kansas and the Southwestern third of Nebraska to include the western panhandle of the state. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threat with a couple of tornadoes possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles either side of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Alliance NE to 75 miles south southeast of Burlington CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...15_ows
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 12:00 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 19, 5:17 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma | 28 min |
| Aug 19, 5:25 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma | 6 hr |
| Aug 19, 2:29 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 7 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.