Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 449

August 19, 202117 counties in Colorado; 6 counties in Kansas; 21 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 19, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado; 6 counties in Kansas; 21 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT (19:14 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2021, 6:57 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 44 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Denver County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 2:39 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUAdams, Broomfield, Jefferson36 min
Aug 19, 2:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Weld29 min
Aug 19, 2:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma26 min
Aug 19, 3:05 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUAdams, Weld25 min
Aug 19, 3:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFDeuel, Garden47 min
Aug 19, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld31 min
Aug 19, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma46 min
Aug 19, 3:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUDouglas, Elbert25 min
Aug 19, 3:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma52 min
Aug 19, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUWeld33 min
Aug 19, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe31 min
Aug 19, 3:46 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUDouglas, Elbert14 min
Aug 19, 3:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips41 min
Aug 19, 3:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUSedgwick24 min
Aug 19, 4:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace60 min
Aug 19, 4:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFDeuel, Garden44 min
Aug 19, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUArapahoe, Elbert41 min
Aug 19, 4:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma25 min
Aug 19, 4:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman, Thomas55 min
Aug 19, 4:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUMorgan32 min
Aug 19, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams43 min
Aug 19, 4:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert42 min
Aug 19, 4:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUPhillips35 min
Aug 19, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUArapahoe28 min
Aug 19, 4:34 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUPhillips26 min
Aug 19, 4:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Garden, Keith40 min
Aug 19, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFDeuel, Garden27 min
Aug 19, 4:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUArapahoe, Elbert23 min
Aug 19, 4:57 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUPhillips33 min
Aug 19, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan30 min
Aug 19, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGLDLogan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace58 min
Aug 19, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan25 min
Aug 19, 5:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUPhillips3 hr
Aug 19, 5:10 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFChase, Perkins50 min
Aug 19, 5:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith43 min
Aug 19, 5:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFArthur41 min
Aug 19, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips26 min
Aug 19, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson46 min
Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGLDThomas58 min
Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFChase, Perkins43 min
Aug 19, 6:13 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFKeith3 hr
Aug 19, 6:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips24 min
Aug 19, 6:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins43 min
Aug 19, 6:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUPhillips49 min
Aug 19, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins48 min
Aug 19, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 541 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
541 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

239 
WWUS20 KWNS 191910
SEL9  
SPC WW 191910
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-200200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 449
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
Issued by 15th OWS Scott Air Force Base IL
1240 PM MDT Thu Aug 19 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Portions of Eastern Colorado
  Northwest Kansas
  West and Southwest Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM
  until 800 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will initiate within and
across portions of Eastern to Northeastern Colorado this afternoon.
Severe weather will continue to spread into Northwestern Kansas and
the Southwestern third of Nebraska to include the western panhandle
of the state. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary
threat with a couple of tornadoes possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles either side of a line from 40 miles east northeast of
Alliance NE to 75 miles south southeast of Burlington CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
23030.

...15_ows

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 12:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick and 2 more2 hr
Aug 19, 5:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma28 min
Aug 19, 5:25 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCLogan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma6 hr
Aug 19, 2:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 7 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.