Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 450

August 19, 20215 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 19, 2021, 5:25 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado; 5 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2021, 5:25 PM MDT (23:25 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2021, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Logan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Chase County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Thomas County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips26 min
Aug 19, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson46 min
Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGLDThomas58 min
Aug 19, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFChase, Perkins43 min
Aug 19, 6:13 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFKeith3 hr
Aug 19, 6:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips24 min
Aug 19, 6:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins43 min
Aug 19, 6:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOUPhillips49 min
Aug 19, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins48 min
Aug 19, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma44 min
Aug 19, 7:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma59 min
Aug 19, 7:36 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDYuma24 min
Aug 19, 7:43 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatBOUPhillips3 hr
Aug 19, 7:50 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDYuma5 hr
Aug 19, 8:08 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDYuma22 min
Aug 19, 8:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFChase, Hayes, Lincoln, Perkins43 min
Aug 19, 8:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFChase, Frontier, Hayes, Lincoln, Perkins50 min
Aug 19, 8:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma31 min
Aug 19, 8:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln49 min
Aug 19, 9:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma46 min
Aug 19, 10:38 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatBOUPhillips4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 541 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
541 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

643 
WWUS20 KWNS 192322
SEL0  
SPC WW 192322
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-200500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 450
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Thu Aug 19 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Extreme northeast Colorado
  Northwest Kansas
  Southwest Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday night from 625 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of supercells will likely persist through the
late evening and early overnight hours, as the storm environment
becomes more favorable for a few tornadoes, in addition to damaging
winds and large hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles northwest of North Platte NE
to 20 miles south southeast of Goodland KS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 449...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 12:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick and 2 more2 hr
Aug 19, 1:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Denver, Elbert, El Paso and 11 more6 hr
Aug 19, 5:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma28 min
Aug 19, 2:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 7 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2021Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2021Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.