Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 12, 2021, 3:48 PM EDT for 18 counties in Ohio; 17 counties in Pennsylvania; Brooke County, Hancock County, Ohio County, West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 12, 2021, 3:48 PM EDT (19:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 12, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Ashtabula County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Portage County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Ohio County, WV
The radar
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Portage, Summit | 51 min |
| Aug 12, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Geauga, Portage, Summit, Trumbull | 63 min |
| Aug 12, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Venango | 44 min |
| Aug 12, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Mahoning, Portage | 68 min |
| Aug 12, 4:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Forest, Venango | 35 min |
| Aug 12, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford | 47 min |
| Aug 12, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 42 min |
| Aug 12, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford | 39 min |
| Aug 12, 5:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Jefferson | 40 min |
| Aug 12, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford | 39 min |
| Aug 12, 5:43 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence | 47 min |
| Aug 12, 5:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Butler | 52 min |
| Aug 12, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 24 min |
| Aug 12, 6:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion, Forest, Jefferson, Venango | 50 min |
| Aug 12, 6:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion, Forest, Jefferson, Venango | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 6:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington | 42 min |
| Aug 12, 6:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Armstrong, Butler, Clarion, Indiana, Jefferson and 1 more | 67 min |
| Aug 12, 6:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Harrison, Jefferson | 20 min |
| Aug 12, 6:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Forest, Jefferson | 37 min |
| Aug 12, 7:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Armstrong, Fayette, Indiana, Washington, Westmoreland | 81 min |
| Aug 12, 7:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington, Westmoreland | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 7:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 34 min |
| Aug 12, 7:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas | 59 min |
| Aug 12, 7:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Washington | 37 min |
| Aug 12, 8:36 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 8:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 51 min |
| Aug 12, 8:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Fayette, Indiana, Washington, Westmoreland | 41 min |
| Aug 12, 9:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Tuscarawas | 60 min |
| Aug 12, 9:57 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland | 2 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1075 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -107 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 890 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 163 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted.
558 WWUS20 KWNS 121945 SEL3 SPC WW 121945 OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-130200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 433 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 PM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeastern Ohio Western Pennsylvania The northern West Virginia Panhandle Lake Erie * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to form in northeastern Ohio, and storm coverage/intensity is expected to increase through the remainder of the afternoon as storms move into western Pennsylvania. The storm environment favors clusters of storms with damaging winds of 60-70 mph, and the strongest storms may also produce isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south southwest of Cleveland OH to 35 miles north northeast of Latrobe PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 431...WW 432... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 28035. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 3:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Cuyahoga, Geauga and 13 more | 58 min |
| Aug 12, 6:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning | 83 min |
| Aug 12, 11:03 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Susquehanna | 2 hr |
| Aug 12, 12:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Blair, Butler, Cambria, Cameron and 20 more | 116 min |
| Aug 12, 1:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre and 27 more | 9 hr |
| Aug 12, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Susquehanna, Wayne and 1 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.