Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 2:02 PM EDT for 15 counties in Maryland; 88 counties in Virginia; 6 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 11, 2021, 2:02 PM EDT (18:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 11, 2021, 8:19 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 50 kt
All 109 counties
Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Page, Rockingham | 39 min |
| Aug 11, 2:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Rockingham, City of Harrisonburg | 49 min |
| Aug 11, 2:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Franklin, Montgomery, Roanoke and 2 more | 59 min |
| Aug 11, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Patrick | 58 min |
| Aug 11, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Jefferson | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Page, Shenandoah, Warren | 38 min |
| Aug 11, 2:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Shenandoah | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 2:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Loudoun, Rappahannock, Warren | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 39 min |
| Aug 11, 2:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Greene, Madison | 38 min |
| Aug 11, 2:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Rappahannock | 39 min |
| Aug 11, 2:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Martinsville | 67 min |
| Aug 11, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 3:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 45 min |
| Aug 11, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Loudoun, Rappahannock | 42 min |
| Aug 11, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg | 40 min |
| Aug 11, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Hampshire, Hardy | 30 min |
| Aug 11, 3:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Shenandoah | 12 min |
| Aug 11, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Rappahannock | 50 min |
| Aug 11, 3:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, City of Charlottesville | 53 min |
| Aug 11, 3:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Franklin | 34 min |
| Aug 11, 3:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Montgomery | 48 min |
| Aug 11, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Shenandoah, City of Winchester | 25 min |
| Aug 11, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Madison, Orange | 29 min |
| Aug 11, 4:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Louisa | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Howard, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Aug 11, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier | 39 min |
| Aug 11, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania | 36 min |
| Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery, Prince George's | 40 min |
| Aug 11, 4:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 4:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Prince William, Stafford | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa | 48 min |
| Aug 11, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery, Prince George's | 30 min |
| Aug 11, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Halifax, Pittsylvania | 35 min |
| Aug 11, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's | 44 min |
| Aug 11, 5:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Hanover, Louisa | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania | 36 min |
| Aug 11, 5:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, City of Baltimore | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Hanover, Henrico, King and Queen, King William | 49 min |
| Aug 11, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 27 min |
| Aug 11, 6:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Chesterfield, Goochland, Henrico, Powhatan, City of Richmond | 44 min |
| Aug 11, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Chesterfield, Henrico, City of Richmond | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 553 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -190 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1301 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
577 WWUS20 KWNS 111759 SEL5 SPC WW 111759 DCZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-120100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 425 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 200 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Much of central and northern Virginia The eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered pulse-severe storms will form through the afternoon in a broken band east of the Blue Ridge, and storms will drift eastward through this evening. The strongest updrafts may produce marginally severe hail, but the main threat will be occasional wind damage with downbursts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Baltimore MD to 5 miles west of Danville VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27010. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 1:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more | 89 min |
| Aug 11, 3:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 6 hr |
| Aug 11, 3:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 9 more | 88 min |
| Aug 11, 6:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cecil | 91 min |
| Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brooke, Hancock, Ohio | 115 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.