Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 427

August 11, 202132 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 3:02 PM EDT for 32 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 3:02 PM EDT (19:02 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 32 counties

Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Blair, Huntingdon46 min
Aug 11, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Huntingdon, Mifflin62 min
Aug 11, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMifflin41 min
Aug 11, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Snyder, Union59 min
Aug 11, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin53 min
Aug 11, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder53 min
Aug 11, 5:00 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatCTPCumberland, Dauphin, York85 min
Aug 11, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland52 min
Aug 11, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster46 min
Aug 11, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Northumberland48 min
Aug 11, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks57 min
Aug 11, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York51 min
Aug 11, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster47 min
Aug 11, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh, Montgomery44 min
Aug 11, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery49 min
Aug 11, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton42 min
Aug 11, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 553 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
553 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-190 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1301 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

234 
WWUS20 KWNS 111859
SEL7  
SPC WW 111859
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-120100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 427
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  Parts of western and southern New Jersey
  South central and southeastern Pennsylvania
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 300 PM
  until 900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered pulse-type severe storms are expected across
southern Pennsylvania and vicinity through the remainder of the
afternoon/evening, and new storms may also form along an outflow
boundary with ongoing storms approaching south central Pennsylvania.
Occasional wind damage with precipitation-loaded downbursts should
be the main severe threat, though isolated marginally severe hail
near 1 inch diameter may occur briefly in the strongest storms.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of
Altoona PA to 15 miles east southeast of Allentown PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...WW
425...WW 426...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27015.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLawrence, Mercer89 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 12 more115 min
Aug 11, 2:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Armstrong, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Bucks and 42 more87 min
Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango3 hr
Aug 11, 6:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Delaware, Lancaster and 6 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.