Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 427
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 3:02 PM EDT for 32 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 11, 2021, 3:02 PM EDT (19:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 11, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 50 kt
All 32 counties
Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Huntingdon | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 3:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Huntingdon, Mifflin | 62 min |
| Aug 11, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Mifflin | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 4:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Snyder, Union | 59 min |
| Aug 11, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin | 53 min |
| Aug 11, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder | 53 min |
| Aug 11, 5:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, York | 85 min |
| Aug 11, 5:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Montour, Northumberland | 52 min |
| Aug 11, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Northumberland | 48 min |
| Aug 11, 5:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks | 57 min |
| Aug 11, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 51 min |
| Aug 11, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 47 min |
| Aug 11, 6:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Lehigh, Montgomery | 44 min |
| Aug 11, 6:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery | 49 min |
| Aug 11, 6:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Bucks, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton | 42 min |
| Aug 11, 7:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 553 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -190 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1301 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
234 WWUS20 KWNS 111859 SEL7 SPC WW 111859 DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-120100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 427 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 300 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Delaware Eastern Maryland Parts of western and southern New Jersey South central and southeastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered pulse-type severe storms are expected across southern Pennsylvania and vicinity through the remainder of the afternoon/evening, and new storms may also form along an outflow boundary with ongoing storms approaching south central Pennsylvania. Occasional wind damage with precipitation-loaded downbursts should be the main severe threat, though isolated marginally severe hail near 1 inch diameter may occur briefly in the strongest storms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of Altoona PA to 15 miles east southeast of Allentown PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...WW 425...WW 426... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27015. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lawrence, Mercer | 89 min |
| Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 12 more | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 2:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Armstrong, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Bucks and 42 more | 87 min |
| Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 6:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Delaware, Lancaster and 6 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.