Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Wakefield, VA

916 
WWUS51 KAKQ 112058
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
458 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

VAC065-075-109-112130-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-210811T2130Z/
Louisa VA-Goochland VA-Fluvanna VA-
458 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR LOUISA...NORTHWESTERN GOOCHLAND AND NORTHEASTERN FLUVANNA
COUNTIES...

At 457 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northeast of Louisa to near Hadensville,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Law enforcement.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and powerlines.

Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Mineral, Hadensville, Ferncliff, Kents Store, Orchid,
Pendleton, Louisa Airport, Cuckoo, Yanceyville, Fredericks Hall, Byrd
Mill, Tabscott, Trevilians, Wares Crossroads, Vawter Corner and Apple
Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3796 7816 3814 7808 3813 7805 3814 7801
      3812 7798 3812 7792 3810 7786 3810 7784
      3808 7781 3807 7778 3806 7778 3805 7775
      3802 7775 3794 7779 3778 7793 3785 7815
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 274DEG 17KT 3811 7793 3786 7802 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Butner

601 
WWUS51 KAKQ 112126
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
526 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

VAC065-075-109-112135-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-210811T2130Z/
Louisa VA-Goochland VA-Fluvanna VA-
526 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LOUISA...NORTHWESTERN
GOOCHLAND AND NORTHEASTERN FLUVANNA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 530 PM
EDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Virginia.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
eastern Louisa County until 600 PM.

LAT...LON 3796 7816 3814 7808 3813 7805 3814 7801
      3812 7798 3812 7792 3810 7786 3810 7784
      3808 7781 3807 7778 3806 7778 3805 7775
      3802 7775 3794 7779 3778 7793 3785 7815
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 275DEG 15KT 3810 7778 3785 7787 

$$

Butner

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
434 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain anchored off the Mid Atlantic coast
this week, resulting in typical summer conditions. A cold front
will approach from the northwest Friday night, then slowly drop
across the area during the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
As of 235 PM EDT Wednesday...

Severe Tstm Watch is in effect for central and south central VA
until 900 pm this evening. As of 220 pm, radar showed sctd
showers/tstms developing over and just east of the mtns (due to
development of lee trough), and sliding slowly ewrd into the
Piedmont. Lots of heat/instability across the region, with temps
ranging from the upper 80s to mid 90s and dewpoints ranging
through the 70s. These showers/storms will move ewrd to along or
just east of I-95 before diminishing this aftn into this
evening. Damaging wind gusts will be the main threat with any
severe storms, due to MLCAPE rising to 2000-3000 J/kg and DCAPE
near 1200 J/kg. Brief heavy rain and small hail will also be
possible with any storms. Any lingering showers/storms will
quickly lose strength and end by late this evening. Then, mostly
clear to partly cloudy overnight with lows ranging through the
70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 415 PM EDT Wednesday...

The upper ridge noses westward on Thu, which will serve to
increase the heat and decrease the chances for showers and
storms. Will show only slight chance PoPs across the west
Thu aftn. High temps will climb into the mid 90s for most of
the region with dew points mostly in the mid 70s, resulting in
more widespread aftn heat indices 105-108 F. Accordingly,
another Heat Advisory has been issued for just about the entire
CWA, with only Lunenburg/Mecklenburg counties, and right along
the coast not in the Heat Advisory. Slight chance PoPs in the
WNW Thu evening, otherwise warm and muggy again Thu night with
lows ranging through the 70s.

Bit of a broken record for Fri with slight chance to chance
PoPs (15-40%) for the western half of the area. Highs in the
lower to mid 90s with dew points continuing in the lower to mid
70s, will result in another day of dangerous heat indices in
the 102-107 F range. Warm and muggy conditions continue Fri
night with lows in the lower to mid 70s.

Cold front will drop down through most of the area during Sat.
Not as hot on Sat, but there is high chance to likely PoPs for
aftn/evening showers and tstms. Highs in the upper 80s to lower
90s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 415 PM EDT Wednesday...

Although cooler temps are expected across the area in the
extended period, the weather pattern will be quite unsettled as
the frontal boundary will be laying near or just south of the
VA/NC border. Chances for showers and storms will linger with
the boundary close by and increasing tropical moisture streaming
northward from the Gulf and Atlc.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 230 PM EDT Wednesday...

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites this aftn
into Thu aftn. Brief MVFR conditions will be possible at RIC
early this evening with any tstm. Have VCTS mentioned in the TAF
for now. Also, do have VCSH mentioned in the SBY TAF this
evening. Otherwise, winds will be SSW around 10 kt or less
through the period.

Outlook...
Mostly VFR conditions and only isolated to sctd late aftn/evening
showers/tstms through the remainder of this week. Highest chances
remain along and west of the I-95 corridor.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 245 PM EDT Wednesday...

Typical summertime pattern, with the Bermuda High anchored in the
western Atlantic Ocean, will continue through Saturday. Winds will
generally remain SSW 5-15 kt. Waves in the Bay will be 1-2 ft and
seas 2-3 ft. A weak cold front is expected to stall across eastern
NC by Sunday into early next week, allowing winds to become onshore
(easterly) across the local waters. Wind speeds 10-15 kt with waves
in the Bay of 1-3 ft and seas 2-4 ft.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Thursday for MDZ021>024.
NC...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Thursday for NCZ013>017-
     030>032.
     Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Thursday for NCZ012.
VA...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Thursday for VAZ048-060-
     061-086-095-098-509-525.
     Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Thursday for VAZ062-064-067>069-
     075>085-087>090-092-093-096-097-510>524.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMG
NEAR TERM...TMG
SHORT TERM...RHR/TMG
LONG TERM...RHR/TMG
AVIATION...TMG
MARINE...JDM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

MDZ023-VAZ062-064-067>069-075-076-079>083-510>522-122015-
Somerset-Goochland-Caroline-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-
Richmond-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-
Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central
Virginia, east central Virginia, north central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ013>017-030>032-VAZ086-095-098-525-122015-
Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-Mathews-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-
Hampton/Poquoson-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ048-060-061-509-122015-
Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Western Louisa-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

MDZ021-022-024-NCZ012-VAZ077-078-084-085-087>090-092-093-096-097-523-
524-122015-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Northumberland-
Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-
Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Chesapeake-York-Newport News-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-NCZ102-VAZ099-100-122015-
Maryland Beaches-Eastern Currituck-Accomack-Northampton-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ065-066-122015-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
252 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

VAZ509-111945-
Western Louisa VA-
252 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Louisa
County through 345 PM EDT...

At 252 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Boswells Tavern, or 12 miles west of Louisa, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph, pea size hail, and very heavy
         rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Boswells Tavern, Gordonsville, Waldrop, Green Springs,
Trevilians and Vawter Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3807 7825 3813 7821 3813 7818 3814 7815
      3814 7812 3815 7811 3815 7809 3814 7808
      3813 7805 3814 7801 3802 7800 3801 7830
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 254DEG 4KT 3807 7823

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Butner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

VAZ048-509-112100-
Fluvanna VA-Western Louisa VA-
410 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of west central Louisa
and Fluvanna Counties through 500 PM EDT...

At 410 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles west of Boswells Tavern to 7 miles
south of Charlottesville. Movement was southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Palmyra, Lake Monticello, Columbia, Ferncliff, Kents Store,
Troy, Dixie, Nahor, Louisa Airport, Stage Junction, Zion Crossroads,
Antioch, Union Mills, Wildwood, Bybee, Byrd Mill, Carysbrook,
Wilmington and Cunningham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3803 7828 3804 7796 3788 7808 3775 7817
      3775 7818 3785 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 308DEG 9KT 3809 7835 3792 7851

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Butner

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
442 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOSWELLS TAVERN         38.07N 78.19W
08/11/2021                   LOUISA             VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWNED ALONG LOUISA ROAD AND NEW
            COLUMBIA ROAD. IN ADDITION, POWER LINES ARE
            DOWNED ALONG JAMES MADISON HWY.

&&

MRD