Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 1, 2021, 12:37 PM EDT for 37 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 1, 2021, 12:37 PM EDT (16:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 1, 2021, 7:58 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 45 counties
Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Wake County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 1:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Dare | 42 min |
| Aug 1, 1:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Edgecombe, Johnston, Nash, Wake, Wayne, Wilson | 38 min |
| Aug 1, 1:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Johnston, Sampson, Wayne | 44 min |
| Aug 1, 2:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Johnston, Wayne, Wilson | 45 min |
| Aug 1, 2:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Martin, Pitt | 43 min |
| Aug 1, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Wayne | 30 min |
| Aug 1, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Craven, Duplin, Jones, Lenoir | 49 min |
| Aug 1, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Hyde, Martin, Pitt | 49 min |
| Aug 1, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Chatham, Randolph | 48 min |
| Aug 1, 3:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Craven, Hyde, Jones, Pamlico | 45 min |
| Aug 1, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Anson, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland | 42 min |
| Aug 1, 3:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Dare, Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington | 39 min |
| Aug 1, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Robeson | 17 min |
| Aug 1, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Carteret, Craven, Jones, Pamlico | 48 min |
| Aug 1, 4:00 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Cumberland | 30 min |
| Aug 1, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Robeson | 25 min |
| Aug 1, 4:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Robeson | 46 min |
| Aug 1, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Bladen, Columbus, Pender | 30 min |
| Aug 1, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Columbus | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 756 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -48 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 934 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 2.4
The text
As transmitted.
591
WWUS20 KWNS 011635
SEL8
SPC WW 011635
NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-020000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 408
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM EDT Sun Aug 1 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and eastern North Carolina
Northeast South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Outflow-dominated clusters should develop and spread east
this afternoon into early evening with damaging winds as the primary
threat. A tornado or two is possible across far eastern North
Carolina.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles east northeast
of Rocky Mount NC to 15 miles east of Myrtle Beach SC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 6:29 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Caswell, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Franklin and 9 more | 91 min |
| Aug 1, 10:54 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 4 more | 96 min |
| Aug 1, 11:51 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Chowan, Cumberland, Duplin, Edgecombe and 14 more | 114 min |
| Aug 1, 2:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Chatham, Columbus and 31 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Carolina, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.