Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408

August 1, 202137 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 1, 2021, 12:37 PM EDT for 37 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2021, 12:37 PM EDT (16:37 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2021, 7:58 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 45 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Wake County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 1:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare42 min
Aug 1, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Johnston, Nash, Wake, Wayne, Wilson38 min
Aug 1, 1:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne44 min
Aug 1, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne, Wilson45 min
Aug 1, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Martin, Pitt43 min
Aug 1, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWayne30 min
Aug 1, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCraven, Duplin, Jones, Lenoir49 min
Aug 1, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Hyde, Martin, Pitt49 min
Aug 1, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Randolph48 min
Aug 1, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Craven, Hyde, Jones, Pamlico45 min
Aug 1, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland42 min
Aug 1, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Dare, Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington39 min
Aug 1, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMRobeson17 min
Aug 1, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCarteret, Craven, Jones, Pamlico48 min
Aug 1, 4:00 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHCumberland30 min
Aug 1, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMRobeson25 min
Aug 1, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMRobeson46 min
Aug 1, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Pender30 min
Aug 1, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMColumbus46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 756 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 54 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
756 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
934 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

591 
WWUS20 KWNS 011635
SEL8  
SPC WW 011635
NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 408
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM EDT Sun Aug 1 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and eastern North Carolina
  Northeast South Carolina
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Outflow-dominated clusters should develop and spread east
this afternoon into early evening with damaging winds as the primary
threat. A tornado or two is possible across far eastern North
Carolina.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles east northeast
of Rocky Mount NC to 15 miles east of Myrtle Beach SC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 6:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Caswell, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Franklin and 9 more91 min
Aug 1, 10:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 4 more96 min
Aug 1, 11:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Chowan, Cumberland, Duplin, Edgecombe and 14 more114 min
Aug 1, 2:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Chatham, Columbus and 31 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Carolina, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.