Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388

July 23, 202111 counties in North Dakota; 21 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 23, 2021, 6:02 PM MDT for 11 counties in North Dakota; 21 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2021, 6:02 PM MDT (00:02 UTC)
Expired
Jul 24, 2021, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 32 counties

Adams County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Corson County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Meade County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 6:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins40 min
Jul 23, 6:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Sioux32 min
Jul 23, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton, Sioux35 min
Jul 23, 7:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson46 min
Jul 23, 7:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins30 min
Jul 23, 7:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Sioux55 min
Jul 23, 8:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Logan, McIntosh60 min
Jul 23, 8:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Edmunds, McPherson43 min
Jul 23, 9:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey66 min
Jul 23, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds, McPherson46 min
Jul 23, 9:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, McPherson44 min
Jul 23, 9:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Marshall, Roberts33 min
Jul 23, 9:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk, Potter, Sully, Walworth51 min
Jul 23, 10:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRRoberts35 min
Jul 23, 10:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Marshall30 min
Jul 23, 11:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRichland49 min
Jul 23, 11:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRRoberts47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2021-07-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 568 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2021-07-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
568 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

301 
WWUS20 KWNS 240000
SEL8  
SPC WW 240000
NDZ000-SDZ000-240700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 388
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern North Dakota
  Northern South Dakota

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 700 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Upscale organization of initially isolated strong-severe
thunderstorms is possible over western parts of the watch area, on
either side of the ND/SD line.  Activity initially poses a mixed
large-hail and damaging-wind threat, which would transition more to
wind in the event of a forward-propagating MCS/cold-pool evolution
into a moisture-rich air mass farther east, as forecast by some
near-term model guidance.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Lemmon SD to 60 miles north northeast of Watertown SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 387...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28035.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 9:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Dickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh, Ransom and 2 more117 min
Jul 23, 8:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Davison, Deuel, Douglas and 11 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.