Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 23, 2021, 6:02 PM MDT for 11 counties in North Dakota; 21 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 23, 2021, 6:02 PM MDT (00:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 24, 2021, 1:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 32 counties
Adams County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Corson County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Meade County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 6:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins | 40 min |
| Jul 23, 6:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Sioux | 32 min |
| Jul 23, 6:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton, Sioux | 35 min |
| Jul 23, 7:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Corson | 46 min |
| Jul 23, 7:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins | 30 min |
| Jul 23, 7:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Sioux | 55 min |
| Jul 23, 8:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Emmons, Logan, McIntosh | 60 min |
| Jul 23, 8:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Campbell, Edmunds, McPherson | 43 min |
| Jul 23, 9:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dickey | 66 min |
| Jul 23, 9:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Edmunds, McPherson | 46 min |
| Jul 23, 9:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, McPherson | 44 min |
| Jul 23, 9:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day, Marshall, Roberts | 33 min |
| Jul 23, 9:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, Faulk, Potter, Sully, Walworth | 51 min |
| Jul 23, 10:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Roberts | 35 min |
| Jul 23, 10:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Marshall | 30 min |
| Jul 23, 11:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Richland | 49 min |
| Jul 23, 11:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Roberts | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 568 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2719 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 18 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 40 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
301
WWUS20 KWNS 240000
SEL8
SPC WW 240000
NDZ000-SDZ000-240700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 388
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern North Dakota
Northern South Dakota
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 700 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Upscale organization of initially isolated strong-severe
thunderstorms is possible over western parts of the watch area, on
either side of the ND/SD line. Activity initially poses a mixed
large-hail and damaging-wind threat, which would transition more to
wind in the event of a forward-propagating MCS/cold-pool evolution
into a moisture-rich air mass farther east, as forecast by some
near-term model guidance.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Lemmon SD to 60 miles north northeast of Watertown SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 387...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...EdwardsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 9:33 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Dickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh, Ransom and 2 more | 117 min |
| Jul 23, 8:07 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Beadle, Brookings, Davison, Deuel, Douglas and 11 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.