Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 17, 2021, 1:13 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 17, 2021, 1:13 PM EDT (17:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 17, 2021, 11:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 157 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Bronx County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
114 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 1:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Howard | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 1:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Orange | 48 min |
| Jul 17, 1:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 1:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Kings, Queens | 24 min |
| Jul 17, 1:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk, McKean, Potter, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 1:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Warren | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 2:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Union | 44 min |
| Jul 17, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon | 47 min |
| Jul 17, 2:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Spotsylvania | 41 min |
| Jul 17, 2:20 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Union | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 2:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Warren | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 2:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford, City of Baltimore | 50 min |
| Jul 17, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Union | 33 min |
| Jul 17, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Prince William, City of Manassas | 48 min |
| Jul 17, 2:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Schuylkill | 38 min |
| Jul 17, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Middlesex, Somerset | 49 min |
| Jul 17, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 34 min |
| Jul 17, 2:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Loudoun | 28 min |
| Jul 17, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 31 min |
| Jul 17, 3:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lebanon, Schuylkill | 43 min |
| Jul 17, 3:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield, Somerset | 56 min |
| Jul 17, 3:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Warren | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 3:09 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Middlesex | 21 min |
| Jul 17, 3:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Orange, Spotsylvania | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 3:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 3:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | OKX | Richmond | 19 min |
| Jul 17, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 61 min |
| Jul 17, 3:17 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Tioga | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Essex, Hudson, Union | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 3:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 53 min |
| Jul 17, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard | 24 min |
| Jul 17, 3:24 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Union | 80 min |
| Jul 17, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 63 min |
| Jul 17, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 45 min |
| Jul 17, 3:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Baltimore, City of Baltimore | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 3:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Middlesex | 24 min |
| Jul 17, 3:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clearfield | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 3:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Richmond | 16 min |
| Jul 17, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin | 55 min |
| Jul 17, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, City of Baltimore | 62 min |
| Jul 17, 4:45 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 101 min |
| Jul 17, 4:46 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Bradford | 90 min |
| Jul 17, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 58 min |
| Jul 17, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Juniata, Mifflin, Northumberland, Snyder, Union | 55 min |
| Jul 17, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Somerset | 50 min |
| Jul 17, 4:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 4 hr |
| Jul 17, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins | 33 min |
| Jul 17, 5:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton, Lycoming | 43 min |
| Jul 17, 5:14 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 5:19 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 14 min |
| Jul 17, 5:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 5:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome | 67 min |
| Jul 17, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Tioga, Tompkins | 27 min |
| Jul 17, 5:25 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Hunterdon | 6 hr |
| Jul 17, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Ulster | 65 min |
| Jul 17, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Cortland | 47 min |
| Jul 17, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming | 62 min |
| Jul 17, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Warren | 19 min |
| Jul 17, 5:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess | 4 hr |
| Jul 17, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Luzerne, Susquehanna, Wyoming | 55 min |
| Jul 17, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 5:42 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Perry | 111 min |
| Jul 17, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Washington | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lycoming, Montour and 6 more | 61 min |
| Jul 17, 5:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Rockingham | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 5:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lebanon, Lycoming and 7 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 6:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset | 43 min |
| Jul 17, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 6:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford, Susquehanna | 41 min |
| Jul 17, 6:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, York | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango | 31 min |
| Jul 17, 6:15 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Morris, Somerset | 5 hr |
| Jul 17, 6:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Berkeley, Jefferson | 29 min |
| Jul 17, 6:20 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Chenango, Otsego | 25 min |
| Jul 17, 6:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan | 28 min |
| Jul 17, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford, Luzerne, Wyoming | 30 min |
| Jul 17, 6:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Sullivan | 28 min |
| Jul 17, 6:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 51 min |
| Jul 17, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Tioga | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 6:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 30 min |
| Jul 17, 6:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington | 39 min |
| Jul 17, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Tioga | 34 min |
| Jul 17, 7:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Somerset | 44 min |
| Jul 17, 7:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 49 min |
| Jul 17, 7:23 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 7:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 49 min |
| Jul 17, 7:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 56 min |
| Jul 17, 7:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Harford | 27 min |
| Jul 17, 7:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 8:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Mercer, Monmouth | 45 min |
| Jul 17, 8:09 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Mercer, Somerset | 4 hr |
| Jul 17, 8:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 8:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Otsego | 77 min |
| Jul 17, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 40 min |
| Jul 17, 8:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset | 54 min |
| Jul 17, 8:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 65 min |
| Jul 17, 8:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Sullivan | 113 min |
| Jul 17, 8:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Chester | 48 min |
| Jul 17, 9:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 48 min |
| Jul 17, 9:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Cape May | 29 min |
| Jul 17, 9:36 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 9:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Salem | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 10:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean | 54 min |
| Jul 17, 10:22 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 10:38 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 16 min |
| Jul 17, 10:43 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean | 79 min |
| Jul 17, 10:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 50 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 538 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -141 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1337 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 37 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 43 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
604 WWUS20 KWNS 171711 SEL2 SPC WW 171711 CTZ000-DCZ000-DEZ000-MAZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ00 0-CWZ000-180300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 382 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut District Of Columbia Delaware western Massachusetts Maryland New Jersey southeast New York central and eastern Pennsylvania northern Virginia northeast West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop and intensify within the destabilizing warm sector across a portion of the Middle Atlantic and Northeast States this afternoon and evening. Mostly multicells and some marginal supercell structures are expected with storms evolving into lines and bowing segments capable of mainly scattered wind damage. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 125 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Binghamton NY to 50 miles south southwest of Washington DC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26035. ...Dial
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 12:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 3:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 88 min |
| Jul 17, 4:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 97 min |
| Jul 17, 6:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 1:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Amelia, Appomattox, Brunswick, Buckingham, Campbell, Charlotte and 18 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.