Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356

July 9, 20217 counties in Colorado; 36 counties in Nebraska; 4 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2021, 2:16 PM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado; 36 counties in Nebraska; 4 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2021, 2:16 PM MDT (20:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2021, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 47 counties

Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Garden County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Rock County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSKimball40 min
Jul 9, 2:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld41 min
Jul 9, 2:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Kimball39 min
Jul 9, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill47 min
Jul 9, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld38 min
Jul 9, 3:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne, Kimball42 min
Jul 9, 3:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes, Sioux36 min
Jul 9, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan47 min
Jul 9, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux45 min
Jul 9, 4:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan36 min
Jul 9, 5:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes52 min
Jul 9, 5:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden, Sheridan41 min
Jul 9, 5:42 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSBox Butte33 min
Jul 9, 5:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Morrill47 min
Jul 9, 6:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarden, Sheridan44 min
Jul 9, 6:07 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSMorrill26 min
Jul 9, 6:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Garden, Grant45 min
Jul 9, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSNiobrara50 min
Jul 9, 7:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster47 min
Jul 9, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan46 min
Jul 9, 8:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster43 min
Jul 9, 8:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSSioux41 min
Jul 9, 8:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson51 min
Jul 9, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster33 min
Jul 9, 8:31 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSSioux44 min
Jul 9, 8:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster48 min
Jul 9, 8:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes43 min
Jul 9, 8:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Gosper, Phelps51 min
Jul 9, 9:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux44 min
Jul 9, 9:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Franklin, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan and 3 more43 min
Jul 9, 9:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes38 min
Jul 9, 9:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFSheridan59 min
Jul 9, 9:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Sioux57 min
Jul 9, 10:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Cherry, Garden, Grant, Sheridan55 min
Jul 9, 10:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Platte41 min
Jul 9, 10:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Cherry, Garden, Grant, Hooker, Keith and 3 more67 min
Jul 9, 10:57 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFArthur, Grant, Hooker, McPherson33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 93 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
93 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-824 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

945 
WWUS20 KWNS 092012
SEL6  
SPC WW 092012
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 356
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Colorado
  Northwest Kansas
  Western and central Nebraska
  Southeast Wyoming

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and pose
a risk for potentially very large hail and damaging winds.  Storms
should evolve into a line by this evening with an increasing risk
for damaging winds, potentially significant.  A tornado or two is
also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north
northwest of Cheyenne WY to 20 miles south southeast of Broken Bow
NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 1:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 2 more97 min
Jul 9, 5:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma119 min
Jul 8, 8:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDakota, Dixon5 hr
Jul 9, 1:41 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Dakota, Dixon34 min
Jul 9, 2:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Crook, Johnson, Sheridan, Weston85 min
Jul 9, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCampbell, Crook, Weston4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.