Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 301
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 21, 2021, 12:52 PM CDT for 71 counties in Kentucky; 23 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 21, 2021, 12:52 PM CDT (17:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2021, 6:18 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 94 counties
Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 12:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Fayette, Jessamine | 25 min |
| Jun 21, 1:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Rowan, Wolfe | 37 min |
| Jun 21, 1:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg | 2 hr |
| Jun 21, 1:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Estill, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Wolfe | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 1:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Madison | 15 min |
| Jun 21, 1:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Garrard, Lincoln | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Jackson, Rockcastle | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 1:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Madison | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 2:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Estill, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan and 2 more | 30 min |
| Jun 21, 2:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | DeKalb, Smith, Wilson | 41 min |
| Jun 21, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery | 40 min |
| Jun 21, 2:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 2:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Clay, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle | 23 min |
| Jun 21, 2:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Marion | 2 hr |
| Jun 21, 2:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 2:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Jackson, Overton, Putnam, Smith | 37 min |
| Jun 21, 2:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Lee, Owsley, Wolfe | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Clay, Leslie, Owsley, Perry | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Pulaski, Wayne | 37 min |
| Jun 21, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett | 47 min |
| Jun 21, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Pulaski, Wayne | 27 min |
| Jun 21, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 3:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle | 26 min |
| Jun 21, 3:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Fentress, Overton | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Floyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike | 33 min |
| Jun 21, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Clay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Rockcastle | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 4:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bell | 43 min |
| Jun 21, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bell, Clay, Knox, Whitley | 50 min |
| Jun 21, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cannon, DeKalb, Van Buren, Warren, White | 46 min |
| Jun 21, 5:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Harlan, Letcher, Perry | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1530 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 919 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 211 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 228 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.3
- Supercell composite
- 9.6
The text
As transmitted.
507 WWUS20 KWNS 211749 SEL1 SPC WW 211749 KYZ000-TNZ000-220100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 301 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Kentucky Middle Tennessee * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms have developed across parts of KY/TN. The strongest cells will pose an occasional risk of damaging wind gusts and perhaps hail through the afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south southwest of Clarksville TN to 45 miles east northeast of Jackson KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 299...WW 300... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 11:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Boyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis | 7 hr |
| Jun 21, 11:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bell, Boyle and 70 more | 85 min |
| Jun 21, 3:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 27 more | 117 min |
| Jun 21, 4:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Blount, Bradley, Cocke, Grainger, Greene and 15 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.