Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 301

June 21, 202171 counties in Kentucky; 23 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 21, 2021, 12:52 PM CDT for 71 counties in Kentucky; 23 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2021, 12:52 PM CDT (17:52 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2021, 6:18 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 12:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Jessamine25 min
Jun 21, 1:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMenifee, Morgan, Powell, Rowan, Wolfe37 min
Jun 21, 1:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHChristian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg2 hr
Jun 21, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Wolfe34 min
Jun 21, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Madison15 min
Jun 21, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGarrard, Lincoln34 min
Jun 21, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Rockcastle32 min
Jun 21, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMadison32 min
Jun 21, 2:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Estill, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan and 2 more30 min
Jun 21, 2:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDeKalb, Smith, Wilson41 min
Jun 21, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery40 min
Jun 21, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley35 min
Jun 21, 2:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle23 min
Jun 21, 2:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion2 hr
Jun 21, 2:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson39 min
Jun 21, 2:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Overton, Putnam, Smith37 min
Jun 21, 2:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Owsley, Wolfe34 min
Jun 21, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Leslie, Owsley, Perry35 min
Jun 21, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Wayne37 min
Jun 21, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett47 min
Jun 21, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Wayne27 min
Jun 21, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin32 min
Jun 21, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle26 min
Jun 21, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXFentress, Overton35 min
Jun 21, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike33 min
Jun 21, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Rockcastle39 min
Jun 21, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell43 min
Jun 21, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Knox, Whitley50 min
Jun 21, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, DeKalb, Van Buren, Warren, White46 min
Jun 21, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Letcher, Perry41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1530 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 211 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1530 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
919 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

507 
WWUS20 KWNS 211749
SEL1  
SPC WW 211749
KYZ000-TNZ000-220100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 301
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and Eastern Kentucky
  Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms have developed across parts of
KY/TN.  The strongest cells will pose an occasional risk of damaging
wind gusts and perhaps hail through the afternoon.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south
southwest of Clarksville TN to 45 miles east northeast of Jackson
KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 299...WW 300...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 11:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis7 hr
Jun 21, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bell, Boyle and 70 more85 min
Jun 21, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 27 more117 min
Jun 21, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Bradley, Cocke, Grainger, Greene and 15 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.