Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 296

June 20, 202137 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2021, 8:10 PM CDT for 37 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2021, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Adams County, IL, Boone County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess41 min
Jun 20, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWinnebago21 min
Jun 20, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby49 min
Jun 20, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson67 min
Jun 20, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle58 min
Jun 20, 9:07 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Shelby38 min
Jun 20, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams43 min
Jun 20, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe48 min
Jun 20, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike46 min
Jun 20, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls50 min
Jun 20, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb33 min
Jun 20, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway38 min
Jun 20, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMcDonough22 min
Jun 20, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton34 min
Jun 20, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau48 min
Jun 20, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle55 min
Jun 20, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Montgomery35 min
Jun 20, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln and 3 more31 min
Jun 20, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles19 min
Jun 20, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren31 min
Jun 21, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1058 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 174 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1058 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1009 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
7.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

704 
WWUS20 KWNS 210109
SEL6  
SPC WW 210109
ILZ000-MOZ000-210600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 296
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  West-Central/Northern Illinois
  Northeast Missouri

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 810 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms are expected to
spread east-southeastward across the region this evening as the
atmosphere recovers/destabilizes in the wake of storms earlier
today. Damaging winds and isolated large hail are the primary
hazards as storms spread across west-central/northern Illinois and
northeast Missouri.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of
Rockford IL to 55 miles south southwest of Quincy IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294...WW 295...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCook, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kane and 6 more4 hr
Jun 20, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 25 more66 min
Jun 20, 9:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Cass, Cooper, Henry, Johnson, Lafayette and 2 more64 min
Jun 21, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.