Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 296
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2021, 8:10 PM CDT for 37 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2021, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 50 counties
Adams County, IL, Boone County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess | 41 min |
| Jun 20, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Winnebago | 21 min |
| Jun 20, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis, Shelby | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 67 min |
| Jun 20, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Ogle | 58 min |
| Jun 20, 9:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Marion, Shelby | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 43 min |
| Jun 20, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Monroe | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike | 46 min |
| Jun 20, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Monroe, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls | 50 min |
| Jun 20, 10:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | DeKalb | 33 min |
| Jun 20, 10:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 10:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | McDonough | 22 min |
| Jun 20, 10:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton | 34 min |
| Jun 20, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | DeKalb, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Montgomery | 35 min |
| Jun 20, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln and 3 more | 31 min |
| Jun 20, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Saint Charles | 19 min |
| Jun 20, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren | 31 min |
| Jun 21, 12:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1058 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -19 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1009 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 230 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.4
- Supercell composite
- 7.8
The text
As transmitted.
704
WWUS20 KWNS 210109
SEL6
SPC WW 210109
ILZ000-MOZ000-210600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 296
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central/Northern Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 810 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorms are expected to
spread east-southeastward across the region this evening as the
atmosphere recovers/destabilizes in the wake of storms earlier
today. Damaging winds and isolated large hail are the primary
hazards as storms spread across west-central/northern Illinois and
northeast Missouri.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of
Rockford IL to 55 miles south southwest of Quincy IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294...WW 295...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cook, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kane and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Jun 20, 9:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 25 more | 66 min |
| Jun 20, 9:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bates, Cass, Cooper, Henry, Johnson, Lafayette and 2 more | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 11:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 85 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.