Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293

June 20, 202129 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2021, 1:42 PM CDT for 29 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2021, 1:42 PM CDT (18:42 UTC)
Expired
Jun 20, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Tama County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Rice County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Winona County, MN, Buffalo County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Grant County, WI, Jackson County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Richland County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge30 min
Jun 20, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Winona26 min
Jun 20, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBremer, Butler, Franklin51 min
Jun 20, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk55 min
Jun 20, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Tama43 min
Jun 20, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Poweshiek, Tama20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

179 
WWUS20 KWNS 201839
SEL3  
SPC WW 201839
IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-210200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Iowa
  Southeast Minnesota
  Southwest Wisconsin

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
along front sagging across the watch area.  A few supercells may
develop, posing a risk of damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a
tornado.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of
Fairmont MN to 45 miles east southeast of La Crosse WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Guthrie and 10 more96 min
Jun 19, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more4 hr
Jun 20, 3:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 12 more113 min
Jun 20, 10:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Henry, Lee, Louisa, Scott2 hr
Jun 20, 1:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Butler, Calhoun, Cerro Gordo, Emmet, Floyd and 17 more95 min
Jun 20, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Boone, Cass, Clarke and 22 more118 min
Jun 20, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppanoose, Benton, Boone, Buchanan, Cedar, Clarke and 35 more7 hr
Jun 20, 5:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw and 9 more113 min
Jun 20, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines, Henry and 15 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.