Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244

June 7, 202112 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 7, 2021, 5:45 PM CDT for 12 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2021, 5:45 PM CDT (22:45 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Campbell County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk24 min
Jun 7, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, McPherson43 min
Jun 7, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcIntosh54 min
Jun 7, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman66 min
Jun 7, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Logan, McIntosh62 min
Jun 7, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Corson56 min
Jun 7, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Stutsman67 min
Jun 7, 7:58 PM CDTTornado WarningBISLaMoure, Stutsman32 min
Jun 7, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Logan, Stutsman44 min
Jun 7, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Griggs, Steele58 min
Jun 7, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass63 min
Jun 7, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLogan, McIntosh52 min
Jun 7, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell49 min
Jun 7, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Logan, Stutsman61 min
Jun 7, 8:50 PM CDTTornado WarningBISLaMoure, Stutsman25 min
Jun 7, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass66 min
Jun 7, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom23 min
Jun 7, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure64 min
Jun 7, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Wilkin57 min
Jun 7, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Ransom, Richland67 min
Jun 7, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay48 min
Jun 7, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Otter Tail, Wilkin64 min
Jun 7, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, LaMoure49 min
Jun 7, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLogan, McIntosh39 min
Jun 7, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Otter Tail50 min
Jun 8, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail, Wadena43 min
Jun 8, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure28 min
Jun 8, 1:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes66 min
Jun 8, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure, Stutsman61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2021-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2021-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
598 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

865 
WWUS20 KWNS 072240
SEL4  
SPC WW 072240
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-080500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 244
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Parts of northwestern Minnesota
  South central into east central North Dakota
  North central South Dakota

* Effective this Monday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...High-based thunderstorm development is expected this
evening across north central South Dakota and south central North
Dakota, and additional elevated storms will persist in the short
term near the North Dakota/Minnesota border.  The convection is
expected to increase in coverage and intensity this evening while
spreading east-northeastward, with a mix of multicell clusters and
some supercell structures possible.  Large hail and damaging winds
can be expected with the strongest storms into early tonight.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north
northwest of Mobridge SD to 30 miles south southeast of Thief River
Falls MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated
watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 242...WW 243...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Dickey, Emmons, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh and 2 more97 min
Jun 7, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Jackson, Meade and 2 more116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.