Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 875

June 7, 20217 counties in North Dakota; Campbell County, South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 7, 2021, 8:35 PM CDT for 7 counties in North Dakota; Campbell County, South Dakota. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2021, 8:35 PM CDT (01:35 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 244

Counties Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Campbell County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2021-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1478 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2021-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1478 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2452 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

659 
ACUS11 KWNS 080135
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080135 
NDZ000-SDZ000-080300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0875
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0835 PM CDT Mon Jun 07 2021

Areas affected...Northern South Dakota...Southeast North Dakota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244...

Valid 080135Z - 080300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across all but northwestern
portions of ww244.

DISCUSSION...Earlier convection that developed near MBG, due to
intense surface heating, has propagated into southeast ND where new
thunderstorms are now maturing into a larger cluster in the
Jamestown vicinity. This activity appears to be growing upscale in
part due to strengthening low-level inflow impinging on a boundary
that is draped across southeast ND. 00z sounding from ABR exhibited
substantial CAPE with steep lapse rates supportive of robust
updrafts capable of generating large hail and damaging winds. If
these trends continue, a small MCS could form and propagate into
northwest MN along the most-favored corridor of low-level warm
advection.

..Darrow.. 06/08/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON   45820037 46989891 47409817 47399685 46579723 46159830
            45510006 45820037

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 11:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickey, LaMoure, Ransom, Richland, Sargent87 min
Jun 8, 3:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, LaMoure, Ransom, Richland, Sargent, Stutsman84 min
Jun 8, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurleigh, Emmons, McLean, Morton, Oliver, Sheridan and 1 more84 min
Jun 8, 3:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDivide, Golden Valley, McKenzie, Williams3 hr
Jun 8, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Divide, Dunn, Golden Valley and 5 more7 hr
Jun 8, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Haakon, Harding, Jackson and 6 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.