Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 115

April 27, 202116 counties in Oklahoma; 35 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 27, 2021, 8:23 PM CDT for 16 counties in Oklahoma; 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2021, 8:23 PM CDT (01:23 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Andrews County, TX, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Knox County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Upton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 8:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTFisher33 min
Apr 27, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones61 min
Apr 27, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger51 min
Apr 27, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTNolan44 min
Apr 27, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor66 min
Apr 27, 9:12 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor48 min
Apr 27, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford40 min
Apr 27, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton57 min
Apr 27, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Mitchell, Scurry53 min
Apr 27, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Nolan67 min
Apr 27, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay20 min
Apr 27, 11:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, McClain, Murray26 min
Apr 27, 11:58 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNGarvin, McClain17 min
Apr 28, 12:13 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNCleveland, Garvin, McClain, Pottawatomie32 min
Apr 28, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Mitchell, Scurry60 min
Apr 28, 12:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton54 min
Apr 28, 12:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNGarvin8 hr
Apr 28, 1:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Nolan64 min
Apr 28, 1:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor61 min
Apr 28, 2:32 AM CDTTornado WarningSJTJones28 min
Apr 28, 2:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 692 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 197 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
692 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-275 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
967 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
388 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

527 
WWUS20 KWNS 280122
SEL5  
SPC WW 280122
OKZ000-TXZ000-280800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
825 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Oklahoma
  Western and Northern Texas

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 825 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will continue to move
east-northeastward across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma this
evening, with additional storm development occurring across west
Texas into the overnight. Damaging winds and severe hail are the
primary concerns, but a tornado could occur as well.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Ardmore OK to 30 miles southeast of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 8:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman89 min
Apr 28, 3:01 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Coal, Cotton and 23 more7 hr
Apr 28, 6:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Coal, Garvin and 18 more3 hr
Apr 28, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Coal, Haskell, Johnston, Latimer and 4 more65 min
Apr 28, 6:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Johnston and 7 more119 min
Apr 27, 10:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Howard and 5 more2 hr
Apr 28, 1:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Eastland, Glasscock, Jones and 10 more2 hr
Apr 28, 1:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Cooke, Denton and 14 more2 hr
Apr 28, 1:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 16 more9 hr
Apr 28, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Blanco, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 9 more2 hr
Apr 28, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Dimmit and 23 more8 hr
Apr 28, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Runnels and 2 more95 min
Apr 28, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Frio, Kendall, Kinney, Maverick and 4 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.