Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 115
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 27, 2021, 8:23 PM CDT for 16 counties in Oklahoma; 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2021, 8:23 PM CDT (01:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 28, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Andrews County, TX, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Knox County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Upton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 8:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Fisher | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones | 61 min |
| Apr 27, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger | 51 min |
| Apr 27, 8:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Nolan | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 8:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 66 min |
| Apr 27, 9:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 48 min |
| Apr 27, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Jones, Shackelford | 40 min |
| Apr 27, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell, Throckmorton | 57 min |
| Apr 27, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 67 min |
| Apr 27, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Clay | 20 min |
| Apr 27, 11:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garvin, McClain, Murray | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 11:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Garvin, McClain | 17 min |
| Apr 28, 12:13 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Garvin, McClain, Pottawatomie | 32 min |
| Apr 28, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 60 min |
| Apr 28, 12:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton | 54 min |
| Apr 28, 12:47 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Garvin | 8 hr |
| Apr 28, 1:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 64 min |
| Apr 28, 1:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 61 min |
| Apr 28, 2:32 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Jones | 28 min |
| Apr 28, 2:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Jones, Shackelford | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 692 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -275 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 967 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 197 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 388 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
527 WWUS20 KWNS 280122 SEL5 SPC WW 280122 OKZ000-TXZ000-280800- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 115 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 825 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Oklahoma Western and Northern Texas * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 825 PM until 300 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will continue to move east-northeastward across northern Texas and southern Oklahoma this evening, with additional storm development occurring across west Texas into the overnight. Damaging winds and severe hail are the primary concerns, but a tornado could occur as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Ardmore OK to 30 miles southeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 8:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Comanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman | 89 min |
| Apr 28, 3:01 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Coal, Cotton and 23 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 28, 6:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Coal, Garvin and 18 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 28, 9:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Haskell, Johnston, Latimer and 4 more | 65 min |
| Apr 28, 6:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Johnston and 7 more | 119 min |
| Apr 27, 10:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Howard and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 28, 1:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Eastland, Glasscock, Jones and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 28, 1:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Cooke, Denton and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 28, 1:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 16 more | 9 hr |
| Apr 28, 2:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Blanco, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 28, 3:10 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Dimmit and 23 more | 8 hr |
| Apr 28, 3:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland, Runnels and 2 more | 95 min |
| Apr 28, 5:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bexar, Frio, Kendall, Kinney, Maverick and 4 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.