Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1608

August 26, 20217 counties in Minnesota; Brookings County, Deuel County, Moody County, South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 26, 2021, 10:43 AM CDT for 7 counties in Minnesota; Brookings County, Deuel County, Moody County, South Dakota. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 26, 2021, 10:43 AM CDT (15:43 UTC)
Expired
Aug 26, 2021, 12:15 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 463

Counties Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Murray County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Brookings County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Moody County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-08-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-08-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 365 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1092 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
365 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
490 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

670 
ACUS11 KWNS 261544
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261543 
MNZ000-SDZ000-261715-

Mesoscale Discussion 1608
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1043 AM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021

Areas affected...Extreme east-central SD into southwest MN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463...

Valid 261543Z - 261715Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463
continues.

SUMMARY...A swath of damaging winds is possible over the next 1-2
hours as an intense MCS moves eats-southeastward.

DISCUSSION...A well-organized MCS has recently produced a 63 kt gust
at Huron, SD and a 65 kt gust at Watertown, SD. While the convection
remains somewhat elevated, a strong cold pool and pressure
perturbation has been noted in surface observations, with 2-hr
pressure rises in excess of 5 mb noted across northeast SD as the
line passed through, and 2-hr pressure falls of 3-5 mb further west,
where an apparent wake low has maintained strong surface winds at
KABR well after the passage of the storms. 

While heating downstream of the MCS is being limited by cloudiness
associated with a downstream thunderstorm cluster across Iowa,
continued low-level moisture transport and MUCAPE in excess of 1500
J/kg should maintain the system in the short term, with a
substantial damaging wind threat spreading into portions of
southwest MN over the next 1-2 hours.

..Dean.. 08/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON   45049658 45059611 45019573 44789523 44459511 44159529
            43989550 43849603 43889668 44009709 44159720 45049658

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 26, 8:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Lac qui Parle84 min
Aug 26, 9:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon and 11 more4 hr
Aug 26, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston, Winona93 min
Aug 26, 1:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarver, Dakota, Goodhue, Hennepin, Le Sueur, Ramsey and 3 more97 min
Aug 26, 2:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk and 6 more2 hr
Aug 26, 3:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBon Homme, Charles Mix, Clay, Hutchinson, Turner, Yankton3 hr
Aug 26, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Lincoln, Turner, Union, Yankton116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.