Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
248 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Skies are partly cloudy across portions of north Mississippi with
mostly sunny skies across the remainder of the Mid-South.
Temperatures this afternoon are in the upper 80s to mid 90s.
Scattered thunderstorms were moving south across much of north
Mississippi. Some of these thunderstorms could become severe
producing damaging winds and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains
in effect until 7 PM CDT for the southeast portion of the Mid-
South. The thunderstorms are behind a weak cold front which is
moving south out of north Mississippi.

The thunderstorms should move out of north Mississippi by early
evening with dry weather expected for the remainder of tonight.
Temperatures will remain on the warm side with lows Monday morning
in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

The upper level pattern for the next few days will have a large
upper level ridge centered over the Rockies. This will keep
northerly flow over the region for much of the week. This will
result in dry weather for the Mid-South from Monday through
Friday. Temperatures will remain near to a couple of degrees
below normal during the period.

A new cold front will approach the region from the north next
weekend. As a result, scattered thunderstorms will be possible
across northern sections of the Mid-South Friday night and over
the entire region for Saturday and next Sunday. Temperatures will
remain a little below normal for next weekend.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
/18z TAFs/
Patchy showers will continue to produce over the Mid-South.
COnfidence is low on location but TUP has the greatest chance for
severe storms this evening. Otherwise winds will mainly be N/NE at
5-8 kts.

SWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
732 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-141445-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
732 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected mainly near the Tennessee
River this morning, and south of Interstate 40 this afternoon and
early evening. A few storms today could produce strong winds and
brief heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
204 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ024-131930-
Monroe MS-
204 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 204 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located 8 miles east of Aberdeen, moving south at 25 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southeastern Monroe County should monitor this storm
closely.

LAT...LON 3366 8851 3368 8849 3368 8856 3393 8855
      3392 8823 3375 8825 3374 8833 3372 8833
      3368 8837 3369 8839 3368 8840 3367 8842
      3368 8843 3366 8846 3366 8850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 348DEG 21KT 3382 8841

SWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ016-017-024-131945-
Itawamba MS-Monroe MS-Lee MS-
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 245 PM CDT
FOR...

Southwestern Itawamba County in northeastern Mississippi...
Northern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...
Southeastern Lee County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 218 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located over Evergreen, or 8
miles southeast of Tombigbee State Park, moving south at 10 mph.

People in southwestern Itawamba...northern Monroe and southeastern
Lee Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3421 8863 3425 8842 3392 8828 3393 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 346DEG 11KT 3416 8851

SWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
229 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ001-008-132000-
DeSoto MS-Tate MS-
229 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern DeSoto County in northwestern Mississippi...
Central Tate County in northwestern Mississippi...

At 229 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located over Hernando, moving south at 10 mph.

People in southeastern DeSoto and central Tate Counties should
monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3486 9008 3491 8987 3467 8973 3460 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 344DEG 8KT 3482 8996

SWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
232 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ024-132000-
Monroe MS-
232 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR...

Southern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 232 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located near Amory, moving south at 10 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southern Monroe County should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3367 8850 3367 8849 3368 8850 3368 8866
      3393 8867 3392 8832 3375 8827 3374 8833
      3372 8833 3368 8837 3369 8839 3367 8842
      3368 8843 3366 8846 3366 8850 3365 8851
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 346DEG 7KT 3391 8851

SWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
256 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ023-132030-
Chickasaw MS-
256 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR...

Central Chickasaw County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 255 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Trebloc, or near
Houston, moving south at 20 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in central Chickasaw County should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3396 8905 3397 8876 3381 8874 3381 8893
      3375 8893 3375 8903 3374 8904 3374 8906
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 345DEG 17KT 3388 8891

SWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
313 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ008-012-013-132100-
Lafayette MS-Panola MS-Tate MS-
313 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR...

Southwestern Lafayette County in northwestern Mississippi...
Eastern Panola County in northwestern Mississippi...
Southeastern Tate County in northwestern Mississippi...

At 313 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located near Como, or near John W Kyle State Park, moving south
at 25 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southwestern Lafayette...eastern Panola and southeastern
Tate Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3459 8999 3465 8978 3423 8959 3416 8990
      3416 8991
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 345DEG 22KT 3451 8986

SWB