Alert archive / Mississippi / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

June 13, 2021Monroe County, Mississippi

NWS Memphis, TN issued this special weather statement at Jun 13, 2021, 2:32 PM CDT for Monroe County, Mississippi. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2021, 2:32 PM CDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2021, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN

County Monroe County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 597 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
597 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 13, 12:21 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 12:21 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1221 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.UPDATE...
Updated 18z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 956 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021/

DISCUSSION...

Skies are mostly sunny across the Mid-South this morning with
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. A very warm and humid day is
in store across the region as temperatures reach the lower 90s
during the afternoon. A few thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon mainly over eastern sections of the Mid-South.
Will update forecast to remove morning wording.

ARS

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 605 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021/

DISCUSSION... /issued 508 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021/

Not out of the woods yet with respect to thunderstorm chances
today, given considerable CAPE. However, light northerly flow from
the surface up will limit shear and resultant storm formation and
organization potential. Most favored areas for storms: south of
I-40, where dewpoints will be higher, and near the TN River, where
bulk shear and weaker capping at 700mb is expected. Otherwise,
expect heat indices to average around 5 degrees cooler than
yesterday, across the Midsouth.

Storm chances will trend toward zero by evening and continue
through Monday under shortwave ridging aloft, and sub-70 degree
dewpoints in most places.

Weak northwest flow aloft will prevail Tuesday, as seasonal
temperatures are accompanied by dewpoints in the 60s. Our moderate
weather will be in contrast with the western U.S., where a 600dm
500mb height ridge - impressive for early summer - will amplify
over the 4-corners region.

The western U.S. upper ridge will flatten and expand eastward
Thursday into Friday, as a longwave trof over the eastern U.S.
lifts offshore. Late week temps over the Midsouth will warm a
little more than previously forecast, but average only a couple
degrees above normal. In addition, it appears dewpoints will
remain in the 60s, which will help moderate heat indices. This
relatively dry air (for June) will also limit late week rain
chances, in the absence of any significant surface front or upper
shortwave passages.

Weak northwest flow aloft will continue through next weekend. The
operational GFS appears a bit too quick to drop a cold front
through the Midsouth Friday night. The more likely scenario is a
weaker frontal passage, delayed until Saturday, with less storm
coverage.

In summary, relatively benign mid-June weather forecast for the
next seven days.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
/18z TAFs/
Patchy showers will continue to produce over the Mid-South.
COnfidence is low on location but TUP has the greatest chance for
severe storms this evening. Otherwise winds will mainly be N/NE at
5-8 kts.

SWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 7:32 AM CDT, 7 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
732 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-141445-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
732 AM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected mainly near the Tennessee
River this morning, and south of Interstate 40 this afternoon and
early evening. A few storms today could produce strong winds and
brief heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PWB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 1:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 13, 1:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:04 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
204 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ024-131930-
Monroe MS-
204 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 204 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located 8 miles east of Aberdeen, moving south at 25 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southeastern Monroe County should monitor this storm
closely.

LAT...LON 3366 8851 3368 8849 3368 8856 3393 8855
      3392 8823 3375 8825 3374 8833 3372 8833
      3368 8837 3369 8839 3368 8840 3367 8842
      3368 8843 3366 8846 3366 8850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 348DEG 21KT 3382 8841

SWB
Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:18 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ016-017-024-131945-
Itawamba MS-Monroe MS-Lee MS-
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 245 PM CDT
FOR...

Southwestern Itawamba County in northeastern Mississippi...
Northern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...
Southeastern Lee County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 218 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located over Evergreen, or 8
miles southeast of Tombigbee State Park, moving south at 10 mph.

People in southwestern Itawamba...northern Monroe and southeastern
Lee Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3421 8863 3425 8842 3392 8828 3393 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 346DEG 11KT 3416 8851

SWB
Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:29 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
229 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ001-008-132000-
DeSoto MS-Tate MS-
229 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern DeSoto County in northwestern Mississippi...
Central Tate County in northwestern Mississippi...

At 229 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located over Hernando, moving south at 10 mph.

People in southeastern DeSoto and central Tate Counties should
monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3486 9008 3491 8987 3467 8973 3460 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 344DEG 8KT 3482 8996

SWB
Special weather statement, Jun 13, 2:32 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
232 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

MSZ024-132000-
Monroe MS-
232 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR...

Southern Monroe County in northeastern Mississippi...

At 232 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds at least 40 mph
was located near Amory, moving south at 10 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in southern Monroe County should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3367 8850 3367 8849 3368 8850 3368 8866
      3393 8867 3392 8832 3375 8827 3374 8833
      3372 8833 3368 8837 3369 8839 3367 8842
      3368 8843 3366 8846 3366 8850 3365 8851
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 346DEG 7KT 3391 8851

SWB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 12:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGTishomingo28 min
Jun 13, 12:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMonroe34 min
Jun 13, 12:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe11 min
Jun 13, 1:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGItawamba31 min
Jun 13, 1:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMonroe36 min
Jun 13, 2:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMonroe26 min
Jun 13, 2:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMonroe27 min
Jun 13, 2:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGDeSoto, Tate31 min
Jun 13, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Panola, Tate31 min
Jun 13, 2:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGChickasaw34 min
Jun 13, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw28 min
Jun 13, 3:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGPanola47 min
Jun 13, 3:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLee28 min
Jun 13, 3:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGChickasaw18 min
Jun 13, 3:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGUnion25 min
Jun 13, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGCalhoun29 min
Jun 13, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union39 min
Jun 12, 7:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGLauderdale27 min
Jun 12, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lauderdale31 min
Jun 12, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry38 min
Jun 12, 7:32 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGMississippi118 min
Jun 12, 7:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMEGMississippi28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Mississippi, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.