River Flood Warning 18, NWS Jackson, KY

124 
WGUS43 KJKL 281504
FLWJKL

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1104 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Pineville affecting Bell County.

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 11 pm edt.

&&


KYC013-290315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210329T2200Z/
/PVLK2.2.ER.210328T1224Z.210329T0000Z.210329T1533Z.UU/
1104 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Pineville.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 10:30 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 1006.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 1002.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM EDT Sunday was 1006.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 1014.0 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 1014.6 feet, Structures begin flooding along Straight 
  Creek.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 1013.7 
  feet on 02/11/1994.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3679 8366 3688 8350

$$

KYC235-290315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210401T1400Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T1200Z.210401T0725Z.NO/
1104 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until late Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 10:00 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:00 AM EDT Sunday was 23.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.7 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.0 
  feet on 02/13/1994.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

AR

457 
WGUS83 KJKL 290227
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1027 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Barbourville affecting Knox County.

  Cumberland River at Pineville affecting Bell County.

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 11 am EDT Monday.

&&


KYC121-291515-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210330T1912Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.210328T1709Z.210329T1200Z.210330T1312Z.NO/
1027 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 31.9 feet and nearing crest. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EDT Sunday was 31.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.8 feet 
  early Monday morning. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet, Flooding threatens homes and businesses in 
  unprotected areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.9 
  feet on 05/14/1971.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8383 3681 8389 3670 8407 3679 8407
      3693 8389 3685 8374

$$

KYC013-291515-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210329T2133Z/
/PVLK2.2.ER.210328T1224Z.210329T0030Z.210329T1533Z.UU/
1027 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Pineville.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 1013.3 feet and basically at 
  crest.
* Flood stage is 1002.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EDT Sunday was 1013.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 1013.0 feet, Flooding threatens US 25 E, Stewart 
  branch Road and Wallsend.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 1013.3 
  feet on 05/08/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3679 8366 3688 8350

$$

KYC235-291515-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210401T1325Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T1200Z.210401T0725Z.NO/
1027 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:00 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM EDT Sunday was 26.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.7 feet 
  Monday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.0 
  feet on 02/13/1994.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GREIF

912 
WGUS83 KJKL 291512
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1112 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Barbourville affecting Knox County.

  Cumberland River at Pineville affecting Bell County.

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 7 PM.

&&


KYC121-300315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210331T0535Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.210328T1709Z.210329T1800Z.210330T2335Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 10:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 35.5 feet this afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 36.6 feet, roads begin flooding in Heidrick. Homes 
  begin flooding on South Main.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.62 
  feet on 03/06/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8383 3681 8389 3670 8407 3679 8407
      3693 8389 3685 8374

$$

KYC013-292230-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210329T2217Z/
/PVLK2.1.ER.210328T1224Z.210329T0030Z.210329T1617Z.UU/
1112 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Pineville.
* Until this evening.
* At 10:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 1003.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 1002.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 1005.0 feet, KY Route 66 north of Straight Creek 
  bridge floods.
* The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 10:30 AM EDT 
  Monday was 1013.3 feet which ties the 6th highest crest on record 
  set back on 05/08/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8346 3668 8370 3679 8383 3685 8374
      3679 8366 3688 8350

$$

KYC235-300315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T1600Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210330T0000Z.210402T1000Z.NO/
1112 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM EDT Monday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 30.9 feet 
  tonight. The river is expected to slowly fall to below flood stage 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest is just below a previous crest of 31.1 
  feet on 05/09/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GEERTSON/DJ

918 
WGUS83 KJKL 291820
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
220 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Barbourville affecting Knox County.

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 7 PM.

&&


KYC121-300630-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210331T0535Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.210328T1709Z.210329T1600Z.210330T2335Z.NO/
220 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 1:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 35.5 feet this afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 36.6 feet, roads begin flooding in Heidrick. Homes 
  begin flooding on South Main.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.62 
  feet on 03/06/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8383 3681 8389 3670 8407 3679 8407
      3693 8389 3685 8374

$$

KYC235-300630-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T1600Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210330T0000Z.210402T1000Z.NO/
220 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 1:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 30.9 feet 
  tonight. It will then slowly fall to below flood stage by Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest is just below a previous crest of 31.1 
  feet on 05/09/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GEERTSON/DJ

770 
WGUS83 KJKL 292250
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
650 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Barbourville affecting Knox County.

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued 11 am EDT Tuesday

&&


KYC121-301515-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210331T0535Z/
/BBVK2.2.ER.210328T1709Z.210329T1600Z.210330T2335Z.NO/
650 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 6:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 34.8 feet after having crested 
  at 35.5 earlier in the day.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:30 PM EDT Monday was 35.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet, Flooding threatens homes and businesses in 
  unprotected areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 35.2 
  feet on 12/04/1991.


&&

LAT...LON 3679 8383 3681 8389 3670 8407 3679 8407
      3693 8389 3685 8374

$$

KYC235-301515-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T1600Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210330T0000Z.210402T1000Z.NO/
650 PM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 6:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 30.7 feet and nearing crest. 
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:00 PM EDT Monday was 30.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 30.9 feet 
  shortly.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.9 
  feet on 02/04/1939.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GREIF

782 
WGUS83 KJKL 301449
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1049 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Barbourville affecting Knox County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 7 PM.

&&


KYC121-310300-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210331T0253Z/
/BBVK2.1.ER.210328T1709Z.210329T1600Z.210330T2053Z.NO/
1049 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Barbourville.
* Until this evening.
* At 9:30 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 30.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Manchester Street and Miller Road east of 
  US 25 E flood.



&&

LAT...LON 3679 8383 3681 8389 3670 8407 3679 8407
      3693 8389 3685 8374

$$

KYC235-310300-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210403T1640Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210403T1040Z.NO/
1049 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to run very high through Friday 
  morning, and will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, many low lying areas are flooded, including 
  George Hayes Road, Louden Road, Kentucky Highway 779 and Whetstone 
  Road.



&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GEOGERIAN

117 
WGUS83 KJKL 302243
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
643 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 11 AM EDT Wednesday.

&&


KYC235-311515-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210403T1640Z/
/WLBK2.2.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210403T1040Z.NO/
643 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 6:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 29.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast 
  to continue.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:00 PM EDT Tuesday was 30.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to around 29.3 feet and begin 
  rising again early Wednesday afternoon. It will rise to around 
  30.0 feet early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding threatens many homes and 
  businesses. Roads begin to flood, severing evacuation routes. 
  Major flooding threatens downtown area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.9 
  feet on 02/02/1951.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GREIF

340 
WGUS83 KJKL 311501
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1101 AM EDT Wed Mar 31 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 10 PM tonight.

&&


KYC235-010315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T1648Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210402T1048Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Wed Mar 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, many low lying areas are flooded, including 
  George Hayes Road, Louden Road, Kentucky Highway 779 and Whetstone 
  Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

HAS

248 
WGUS83 KJKL 010155
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
955 PM EDT Wed Mar 31 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 11 AM.

&&


KYC235-011530-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T1104Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210402T0504Z.NO/
955 PM EDT Wed Mar 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 9:00 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, many low lying areas are flooded, including 
  George Hayes Road, Louden Road, Kentucky Highway 779 and Whetstone 
  Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GEERTSON/RAY

004 
WGUS83 KJKL 011514
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1114 AM EDT Thu Apr 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 10 PM.

&&


KYC235-020315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T0712Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210402T0112Z.NO/
1114 AM EDT Thu Apr 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening.
* At 23.0 feet, low lying areas flood. 



&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

GEOGERIAN

956 
WGUS83 KJKL 020136
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
936 PM EDT Thu Apr 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Cumberland River at Williamsburg affecting Whitley County.

KYC235-020245-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210402T0136Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.210328T1036Z.210329T2315Z.210402T0112Z.NO/
936 PM EDT Thu Apr 1 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Cumberland River at Williamsburg has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cumberland River at Williamsburg.
* At 9:00 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is receding below flood stage and is expected 
  to fall to around 18.2 feet at 8 AM EDT Friday morning and to 
  around 13.8 feet at 8 AM EDT on Saturday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3670 8407 3672 8437 3697 8443 3697 8429
      3681 8426 3679 8407

$$

JP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1115 PM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1115 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

The heavy rain has been slow to lift out of Tennessee all evening,
but now appears to be making a more believable push north into
eastern Kentucky. Given the increasing moisture convergence ahead
of the approaching cold front and jet dynamics there is concern
for flash flooding in the watch area and especially for locations
nearer the Tennessee border. The IR sat loop shows a continuing
mass of cooling cloud tops in north central Tennessee that seems
to now be edging north. The window for this excessive rain threat
is primarily from midnight through 8 am before the front will
progressively send the heavier rains east of the area. Have
updated the QPF and PoPs for the rest of the night with another 2+
inches anticipated along the Tennessee border and in places that
saw soaking rains earlier in the day. Advisories and warnings
will become increasingly likely over the next few hours for these
location. These updated grids have been sent to the NDFD and web
servers.

UPDATE Issued at 745 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

23z sfc analysis shows low pressure approaching from the west
with a boundary lifting into eastern Kentucky. So far the stronger
storms have been having trouble crossing the Kentucky border and
sustaining themselves. Expect that to be the case for the next
hour or so, but see better prospects later this evening as the low
moves in. The latest HRRR run, among other CAMs, support this
idea, as well. Have drawn the updated PoPs with that in mind. The
southern parts of the area remain under the gun for heavy rain
with the northern areas likely seeing more progressive bouts of
convection after midnight. Will keep a close eye out for our
southern counties in the watch for flood issues through the
evening as the training potential is highest there. Otherwise,
temperatures are generally in the upper 50s to lower 60s with
dewpoints well into the mid and upper 50s across the area.
Meanwhile, winds are generally from the south at 5 to 10 mph.
Also, applied the latest obs and trends into the T/Td grids with
this update. These grids have been sent to the NDFD and web
servers along with a freshening of the ZFP and SAFs.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 435 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

Late this afternoon, an upper level ridge was centered in the
vicinity of Cuba and extends northeast into the Atlantic and
southwest toward the Yucatan while another ridge was centered over
the eastern Pacific. In between an upper level ridge axis extended
from the Hudson Bay region into the northern Plains/upper midwest
to the southern Rockies/Plains. At the surface, a nearly stationary
frontal zone was south of the region extending from the mid south
region across the TN Valley to the Carolinas. Meanwhile, a sfc low
was moving into the MS Valley in the eastern IA vicinity with a
cold front trailing south and southwest to the southern Plains. A
secondary cold front extended into the upper midwest to northern
Plains. Cloud cover from earlier convection has limited solar
insolation across the area, especially central to southern
sections with convection largely occurring south of the area
closer to the nearly stalled boundary. Some showers are still
moving across the southern counties, however.

Tonight, the upper level shortwave trough will approach the area
tonight, while the sfc low track across the Great Lakes and the
trailing cold front nears eastern KY. The cold front should move
east of the area on Sunday morning while the secondary front
should work across the area Sunday afternoon along with the
shortwave trough axis. Height rises will follow to end the period
on Monday night.

PW will increase this evening into tonight into the 1.25 to 1.5
inch range in advance of the cold front. Warm advection/isentropic
lift should bring an increase in shower activity from southwest to
northeast as the evening progresses with the convection lingering
overnight ahead of the cold front. MUCAPE is progged to increase
to 500 J/kg to perhaps as much as 750 J/kg during the evening
while bulk shear is expected to be on the order of 50KT or so. At
the same time, mid level lapse rates may near or exceed 7C/km as
well for a time during the evening. This scenario should lead to
generally elevated storms, especially across the southwest portion
of the area, with heavy rain rates and the risk for hail,
possibly near the quarter size mark. Strong wind gusts cannot be
ruled out. Wind gusts appear more probable with prefrontal
convection late tonight to perhaps early on Sunday in the far
southeast. Locally heavy rain appears to be a higher threat for
this during the overnight or predawn hours. With heavy rain having
fallen across the flood watch area from Pulaski to Letcher county
earlier today, soils there are saturated or nearing saturation.
Tonight into Sunday, an additional 1 to 2 inches is expected on
average generally south of the Mountain Parkway with the higher
amounts in the watch area. Most of it should fall tonight. Locally
higher amounts near 3 inches cannot be ruled out in the watch
area. The most recent trends and guidance continue to support the
current areal extent of the Flood Watch.

The coverage of showers should diminish on Sunday morning as the
front departs, but a couple of additional showers cannot be ruled
out in the afternoon until the shortwave trough and secondary
boundary move across the area. Depending on how much rain falls
tonight into early Sunday, rises on creeks and area rivers to
bankfull or into flood in some instances may occur on Sunday.
Portions of the Cumberland or Kentucky Rivers may run high
through Sunday night.

Otherwise, high pressure will usher a drier and colder airmass
into the region behind the front. Temperatures should fall well
into the 30s if not upper 20s in some cases with frost likely
developing in many areas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 310 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

The primary forecast issue in the extended will much colder
temperatures and the potential for frost. In fact, we will likely
see several nights and early mornings when widespread frost occurs
around eastern Kentucky. The nights with best frost potential will
be Sunday night, Thursday night, and Friday night. On each of
those night, colder air will be filtering into the area behind
departed, strong areas of low pressure, and those systems surface
cold fronts. The coldest spots will be our normally colder
valleys. A few of our eastern valleys may even see some frost
Monday night.

We will see a chance of rain and thunderstorms from Tuesday night
through Thursday evening. Enough cold air will make its way into
the area late Wednesday night. Little or no snow accumulation is
expected with this. Once the precip comes to an end early Thursday
morning, we should see an extended period of dry weather across
eastern Kentucky.

The coldest nights will see lows plummeting into the 20s and lower
30s. The other nights should see closer to normal values in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. Daily highs will range from the lower 40s to
the lower 50s Thursday and Friday. The warmest day will be
Tuesday, when highs may reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. The
other days of the week will have max temperatures ranging from the
mid 50s to the lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
ISSUED AT 820 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

Additional showers/thunderstorms will develop more northeastward
across the region later this evening, bringing times of MVFR and
IFR conditions, particularly after 06z. Mainly MVFR conditions
should then prevail after 09z near and after the boundary passes.
Winds are expected to be south to southwest mainly in the 5 to
10 kt range through 06z, with some higher gusts possible in
thunderstorms. Winds become more southwesterly between 06 and 12z
- increasing to near 10 kts, before becoming west to northwest
Sunday morning. Gusts up to 20 kts are possible Sunday afternoon.
Additionally, winds aloft will increase ahead of the front this
evening and a threat of LLWS will exist from now into mid morning
Sunday.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday evening for KYZ079-080-083>088-113-
115>118.

&&

UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...JP/GREIF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
100 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-104-106>112-114-119-120-290800-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Owsley-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson,
Booneville, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
100 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms with periods of heavy rain can expected through the
night. This will lead to a threat of flooding into Sunday morning.
A few of the storms could become strong with gusty winds and hail
the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Sunday morning, and could bring heavy
rainfall and gusty winds early in the day. Thunderstorms are also
possible in some locations Wednesday into Wednesday evening.

Frost is expected early Monday morning, and could be widespread in
spots. Frost will again be possible in the deeper valleys on
Tuesday night. Another cold snap is expected by late next week,
when temperatures could drop into the 20s behind a departing
system Thursday night, which means a potential for frost or even
a period of freezing conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report occurrences of hail, damaging wind,
or flooding into Sunday.

KYZ079-080-083>088-113-115>118-290800-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Knott-
Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
100 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Rounds of thunderstorms are anticipated through the night with
heavy rainfall, leading to a significant threat of flooding.
There is also a small potential for some of the storms to become
severe, with damaging winds and large hail being the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Sunday morning, and could bring heavy
rainfall and a threat of flooding along with gusty winds early in
the day. Thunderstorms are also possible in some locations
Wednesday into Wednesday night.

Frost is expected early Monday morning, and could be widespread in
spots. Frost will again be possible in the deeper valleys on
Tuesday night. Another cold snap is expected by late next week,
when temperatures could drop into the 20s behind a departing
system Thursday night, which means a potential for frost or even
a period of freezing conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report occurrences of hail, damaging wind,
or flooding into Sunday.

JP/GREIF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
743 PM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021

KYZ084-085-087-088-280030-
Whitley-McCreary-Bell-Harlan-
743 PM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HARLAN...
BELL...SOUTHERN MCCREARY AND SOUTHERN WHITLEY COUNTIES...

At 743 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered 7 miles west of
Helenwood, or 9 miles southwest of Oneida, moving east at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Williamsburg, Pineville, Middlesboro, Varilla, Zion Hill, Ponza, Red
Ash, Verne, Pruden, Hollyhill, Polly Camp, Cubage, Binghamtown, Clear
Creek Springs, Nevisdale, Dixie, Blue Heron, Wasioto, Hutch and
Siler.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 3660 8478 3668 8471 3674 8396 3669 8388
      3675 8381 3679 8312 3674 8314 3667 8343
      3667 8353 3658 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 258DEG 37KT 3645 8467

GREIF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
1243 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

KYZ044-051-052-280515-
Rowan-Fleming-Bath-
1243 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL BATH...
SOUTHEASTERN FLEMING AND NORTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES...

At 1242 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Hillsboro, or
9 miles southeast of Flemingsburg, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Muses Mills, Hillsboro, Wallingford, Grange City, Plummers Landing,
Poplar Plains, Waltz, Goddard, Ringos Mills, Oakley and Pebble.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3842 8355 3842 8353 3841 8352 3841 8351
      3840 8350 3840 8348 3838 8345 3840 8341
      3834 8337 3822 8372 3830 8378 3843 8358
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 239DEG 45KT 3830 8367

JMW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
1255 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

KYZ044-280530-
Fleming-
1255 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL FLEMING COUNTY...

At 1255 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Sherburne, or
8 miles southwest of Flemingsburg, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Flemingsburg, Pecks Ridge, Craintown, Mount Carmel, Wallingford,
Poplar Plains, Tilton and Foxport.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3848 8358 3844 8357 3844 8358 3842 8353
      3841 8351 3829 8382 3830 8382 3830 8385
      3832 8384 3832 8385 3834 8384 3834 8386
      3851 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 0455Z 241DEG 41KT 3832 8383

JMW