Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Fort Worth, TX
NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this special weather statement at May 28, 2021, 1:20 AM CDT for Montague County, Texas. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 28, 2021, 1:20 AM CDT (06:20 UTC)
- Expired
- May 28, 2021, 2:15 AM CDT
- In force
- 55 min
- Issued by
- NWS Fort Worth, TX
County Montague County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1480 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -150 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1331 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 203 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 27, 8:03 PM CDT, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 27, 8:03 PM CDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 803 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Friday/ There are two areas of ongoing showers and thunderstorms we are monitoring this evening. To our west, dryline convection has developed and continues to move toward our far western counties. To our north, showers and thunderstorms have developed along a slowly southward moving cold front. The 00Z FWD sounding reveals a stout cap in place near 750 mb, and this is also seen on GOES-16 satellite imagery as cumulus clouds across the region this afternoon/evening remained flat. North and Central Texas should remain rain/storm-free at least through the next 2-3 hours, but we'll start to see high clouds associated with the thunderstorms to our west stream in. The dryline thunderstorms should weaken as they approach our far western counties as they encounter some of the subsidence aloft. However, the line of thunderstorms across Oklahoma will likely reach the Red River closer to 9-10PM, the DFW Metroplex closer to 11PM-12AM, and areas south of the I-20 corridor after 1AM. It's highly likely this line will have an established cold pool, so any inhibition across our region won't have a major effect as it moves across North Texas. WoFS and high res guidance are in general agreement on the line of thunderstorms pushing through North Texas after midnight and possibly through Central Texas by early Friday morning. Damaging winds and hail continue to be the main threat as this line moves across the region overnight, as well as heavy rainfall given the soils remain saturated from recent rains. The forecast for Friday still remains uncertain as the cold front, currently extending across Oklahoma, is expected to stall across our region. If the line of thunderstorms exits Central Texas Friday morning, it's likely we'll see a few hours of rain-free weather through early Friday afternoon. However, additional showers and thunderstorms may develop along and south of the stalled frontal boundary Friday afternoon. Based on the latest guidance, it looks like the highest chances are generally south of I-20 and there is a potential for strong to severe thunderstorms once again. Further adjustments to the short term forecast will be made overnight and tomorrow, so be sure to check back for updates. Garcia && .LONG TERM... /Issued 353 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021/ /Friday Night through Thursday/ Friday night's forecast is heavily dependent upon the intensity of tonight's complex of storms as there is quite a bit of variability among the guidance. As of this writing, we'll keep relatively high PoPs in the forecast, particularly south and southwest of the Metroplex. If tonight's complex is particularly strong, then outflow and the associated frontal boundary may get pushed well south and storm chances would be considerably lower. This is suggested by the latest NAM guidance and we'll continue to adjust PoPs accordingly. Any convective activity should continue to move southeast through early Saturday morning with a generally quiet afternoon. High temperatures will top out in the lower 80s on Saturday. It looks like the active pattern will continue into at least the middle of next week with persistent troughing over the western CONUS. This will result in primarily diurnally driven convective development off to our west each afternoon and evening. Some of these storms will move into our far western counties Sunday night with the coverage of storms increasing on Monday and Monday night across the region. A slow moving upper trough will remain out over northwest Mexico into midweek. Ample moisture and instability each day will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday. Sporadic severe weather will be possible over the next 7 days with a continued threat for isolated flash flooding. Dunn && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR and southerly flow prevails at this time across all the terminals. Radar and satellite imagery depict convection is ongoing along the dryline in west Texas and across Oklahoma along a southward moving cold front. The dryline convection is not expected to impact the terminals, but high clouds will continue to stream in from the west. The line of thunderstorms in Oklahoma will likely reach the Metroplex terminals closer to 4-5Z and continue to move southward overnight. For Waco, introduced VCTS at 9Z, but confidence on this timing is slightly lower and we'll continue to adjust as needed. Expect periods of reduced visibility and gusty to strong winds as the line impacts the terminals. Expect another round of MVFR ceilings after 8-9Z and persisting through 16-17Z with VFR prevailing through the remainder of the period. Showers and thunderstorms may develop once again Friday afternoon, but confidence on VCTS/VCSH was too low to warrant a mention at this time. Garcia && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 84 65 79 64 / 90 50 40 20 5 Waco 71 85 68 81 66 / 50 60 50 40 0 Paris 67 81 60 78 57 / 100 30 20 20 5 Denton 66 81 61 78 60 / 90 40 30 20 5 McKinney 68 82 63 78 61 / 100 30 30 20 0 Dallas 71 86 67 80 65 / 90 40 40 20 0 Terrell 68 83 64 80 61 / 100 40 40 30 5 Corsicana 71 84 67 80 63 / 70 60 50 30 5 Temple 70 85 66 81 65 / 30 60 50 40 5 Mineral Wells 67 82 63 78 62 / 60 60 40 20 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 3:54 PM CDT, 9 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 354 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 354 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Thunderstorm chances will increase this evening as two lines of storms approach North Texas. These storms should be on a weakening trend as they enter North Texas, but damaging wind gusts will be possible as they move through the area. Additionally, heavy rainfall may result in flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Thunderstorms remain possible on Friday and early Saturday before a break in storm chances on Sunday. There is a conditional threat for severe weather on Friday. If strong to severe storms develop late Friday afternoon, large hail and damaging winds will be possible. Additional thunderstorms are possible during the first half of next week. Any storms during this time period could contain strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall that may result in flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 27, 11:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1143 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021
TXZ093>095-104>107-280530-
Hunt TX-Hopkins TX-Collin TX-Lamar TX-Grayson TX-Delta TX-Fannin TX-
1143 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HUNT...NORTHERN
HOPKINS...LAMAR...DELTA...NORTHEASTERN COLLIN...EASTERN GRAYSON AND
FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...
At 1142 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Blossom to near Whitewright. Movement was east
at 40 mph. The Paris Airport recorded 35 mph wind gusts around 11:30
P.M.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Sherman, Paris, Denison, Bonham, Anna, Van Alstyne, Howe, Pottsboro,
Leonard, Cooper, Honey Grove, Whitewright, Gunter, Blossom, Wolfe
City, Bells, Tom Bean, Savoy, Celeste and Ector.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
lead to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3388 9554 3388 9531 3330 9531 3328 9632
3342 9676 3388 9664 3388 9660 3385 9663
3382 9653 3377 9650 3378 9643 3369 9634
3377 9629 3375 9619 3384 9615 3384 9602
3389 9593 3384 9577 3389 9575 3394 9559
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 288DEG 36KT 3365 9539 3355 9642
BainSpecial weather statement, May 27, 11:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1146 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021
TXZ091>093-280530-
Grayson TX-Cooke TX-Montague TX-
1146 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MONTAGUE...COOKE AND WESTERN
GRAYSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...
At 1146 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Bowie to near Gunter. Movement was south
at 30 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
lead to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3390 9758 3391 9746 3382 9743 3386 9726
3392 9721 3380 9721 3372 9714 3395 9698
3396 9691 3387 9688 3387 9680 3382 9676
3391 9665 3342 9676 3340 9671 3341 9688
3344 9797 3388 9796 3386 9783 3399 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 0446Z 339DEG 26KT 3359 9790 3352 9680
BainSpecial weather statement, May 28, 12:20 AM CDT, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1220 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
TXZ094-095-103>107-119-120-123-280615-
Hunt TX-Hopkins TX-Collin TX-Lamar TX-Rockwall TX-Denton TX-Rains TX-
Delta TX-Fannin TX-Dallas TX-
1220 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ROCKWALL...HUNT...NORTHEASTERN
DENTON...HOPKINS...RAINS...SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR...DELTA...COLLIN...
NORTHEASTERN DALLAS AND SOUTHERN FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL 115 AM CDT...
At 1219 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles south of Deport to near Campbell to
near McKinney. Movement was southeast at 35 mph.
Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Dallas, Plano, Garland, McKinney, Carrollton, Frisco, Richardson,
Allen, Rowlett, Wylie, Rockwall, The Colony, Greenville, Sachse,
Sulphur Springs, Addison, Commerce, Little Elm, Murphy and Prosper.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If on or near Lake Lavon...Lake Ray Hubbard or Lake Tawakoni, get
out of the water and move indoors or inside a vehicle. If you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 3297 9532 3297 9567 3285 9566 3284 9629
3282 9630 3283 9653 3287 9672 3300 9685
3342 9703 3339 9609 3351 9533
TIME...MOT...LOC 0519Z 318DEG 29KT 3344 9536 3319 9597 3317 9665
BainSpecial weather statement, May 28, 12:31 AM CDT, 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1231 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
TXZ091>093-102-103-280615-
Denton TX-Grayson TX-Cooke TX-Montague TX-Wise TX-
1231 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTAGUE...
NORTHEASTERN WISE...NORTHERN DENTON...COOKE AND SOUTHWESTERN GRAYSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 115 AM CDT...
At 1230 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Forestburg to near Dorchester. Movement
was southeast at 30 mph.
Half inch hail and winds of up to 45 mph will be possible with these
storms.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
lead to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3377 9719 3372 9714 3372 9711 3376 9708
3373 9667 3340 9676 3342 9704 3316 9693
3330 9741 3342 9774 3380 9763
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 293DEG 26KT 3350 9758 3349 9670
BainSpecial weather statement, May 28, 1:14 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
114 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
TXZ104-105-107-119>123-135-280715-
Kaufman TX-Van Zandt TX-Hunt TX-Hopkins TX-Collin TX-Rockwall TX-
Rains TX-Henderson TX-Dallas TX-
114 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ROCKWALL...SOUTHERN HUNT...
KAUFMAN...VAN ZANDT...NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON...HOPKINS...RAINS...
SOUTHERN COLLIN AND EASTERN DALLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM CDT...
At 113 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Winnsboro to near Emory to near Garland.
Movement was southeast at 30 mph.
Strong thunderstorm outflow winds extended several miles ahead of
the main squall line and will be capable of 30 to 40 mph winds.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Dallas, Plano, Garland, Mesquite, McKinney, Frisco, Richardson,
Allen, Rowlett, Wylie, Rockwall, Greenville, Balch Springs, Sachse,
Terrell, Sulphur Springs, Seagoville, Forney, Kaufman and Gun Barrel
City.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
lead to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
If on or near Lake Lavon...Lake Ray Hubbard or Lake Tawakoni, get
out of the water and move indoors or inside a vehicle. If you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 3296 9566 3272 9564 3268 9560 3248 9560
3235 9545 3234 9645 3241 9644 3245 9650
3253 9651 3255 9657 3317 9680 3314 9594
3329 9531 3296 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0613Z 314DEG 28KT 3297 9534 3281 9575 3291 9668
BainSpecial weather statement, May 28, 1:20 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
120 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
TXZ091-092-101-102-280715-
Cooke TX-Montague TX-Wise TX-Jack TX-
120 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MONTAGUE...NORTHERN
WISE...NORTHERN JACK AND SOUTHWESTERN COOKE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM
CDT...
At 119 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles south of Bluegrove, or 19 miles north of Jacksboro, moving east
at 45 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include... Antelope, Postoak, Bowie, Muenster,
Alvord, Sunset, Forestburg and Newport.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This storm may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
If on or near Lake Amon G. Carter, get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Do not be caught on the water in a
thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 3367 9734 3335 9739 3337 9842 3347 9842
3347 9798 3364 9798
TIME...MOT...LOC 0619Z 270DEG 38KT 3350 9823
BainThe office that day
Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 8:20 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall | 24 hr |
| May 27, 8:20 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt | 37 hr |
| May 27, 10:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Cooke, Grayson | 21 min |
| May 27, 10:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Montague | 48 min |
| May 27, 11:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Grayson | 48 min |
| May 27, 11:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Delta, Fannin, Grayson, Lamar | 47 min |
| May 27, 11:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 44 min |
| May 28, 12:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Collin, Delta, Hopkins, Hunt, Rains, Rockwall | 55 min |
| May 28, 12:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Cooke | 44 min |
| May 28, 1:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hopkins, Hunt, Kaufman, Rains, Rockwall, Van Zandt | 61 min |
| May 28, 2:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Wise | 36 min |
| May 28, 2:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton | 37 min |
| May 28, 3:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Collin | 31 min |
| May 28, 9:54 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Collin | 11 hr |
| May 28, 10:02 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Erath | 13 min |
| May 28, 10:42 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Comanche | 18 min |
| May 28, 10:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche, Eastland | 43 min |
| May 28, 11:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche, Eastland | 49 min |
| May 28, 11:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche | 50 min |
| May 28, 11:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Coryell, Hamilton | 61 min |
| May 28, 11:52 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Comanche | 113 min |
| May 28, 11:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Eastland, Erath | 24 min |
| May 28, 12:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche | 65 min |
| May 28, 12:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hamilton, Mills | 58 min |
| May 28, 1:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | McLennan | 26 min |
| May 28, 1:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | McLennan | 54 min |
| May 28, 1:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Coryell, Lampasas | 79 min |
| May 28, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hamilton | 32 min |
| May 28, 2:00 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Comanche | 3 hr |
| May 28, 2:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Hood, Somervell | 3 hr |
| May 28, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bell, Coryell, Falls, McLennan | 61 min |
| May 28, 2:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | McLennan | 3 hr |
| May 28, 3:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Eastland | 35 min |
| May 28, 3:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Coryell, Hamilton | 7 hr |
| May 28, 3:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hill | 20 min |
| May 28, 3:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Falls | 47 min |
| May 28, 3:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Coryell | 26 min |
| May 28, 3:52 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | McLennan | 3 hr |
| May 28, 4:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Falls | 57 min |
| May 28, 4:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Lampasas, Mills | 54 min |
| May 28, 4:27 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Bosque, Hill, Johnson | 2 hr |
| May 28, 4:33 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Falls | 6 hr |
| May 28, 4:37 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Bell | 38 min |
| May 28, 5:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hamilton | 29 min |
| May 28, 5:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Robertson | 45 min |
| May 28, 5:46 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Milam, Robertson | 5 hr |
| May 28, 5:49 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | FWD | McLennan | 3 hr |
| May 28, 5:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | McLennan | 50 min |
| May 28, 6:04 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Bell, Coryell | 3 hr |
| May 28, 6:56 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Coryell | 18 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.