Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
930 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

.UPDATE...
Continuing to monitor central GA for isolated severe storm
potential today with a lull in the rain for north GA.

BDL

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 245 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021/

SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...

A warm front currently remains entrenched across far NE Georgia this
morning. Meanwhile, a cold front is moving across central
Mississippi. Do expect the warm front to finally push north of the
CWA this morning as the front approaches the state. The front is
expected to approach NW portions of the state around 12Z this morning
and move slowly south. The front should eventually become parallel
to the mid level flow and stall south of the Interstate 20 corridor.
Models continue to prog a low pressure wave developing across the
northern Gulf and moving east along the stalled boundary on
Wednesday.

Strong storms have developed out ahead of the cold front across
central Alabama. These storms will continue train into northern
portions of the CWA early this morning while dropping slowly south.
Parameters remain favorable for strong storms, including rotating
thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado. MUCAPE values between
500-1000 J/KG are present along and ahead of the current line, while
the 0-6km shear values range 60-70kt. In addition, there is some
support in the 250mb range with a 90kt jet streak. The main area of
concern is across portions of NW Georgia this morning, closest to
the instability and forcing. Any threat for stronger storms will
shift southward later this morning and early afternoon across
southern portions of the CWA ahead of the cold front. Main hazards
from severe storms today will be damaging wind gusts, especially
within any bowing segments. However, a few tornadoes are possible,
especially during the early half of the day when the shear is
strongest. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

NListemaa

LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...

Rain will be exiting at the start of the period as a cold front
clears the area to the east. A brief window will exist late
Wednesday night/early Thursday morning where perhaps a few light
snow showers could be mustered in the northeast Georgia mountains.
With very limited moisture, accumulations are not a concern at
this point.

High pressure will build into the area for Thursday. Temperatures
will dip several degrees below normal with highs ranging from the
40s north to mid 50s south. After a cold Friday morning,
temperatures will begin a quick rebound as the surface high shifts
eastward and southerly flow returns. As such, temperatures will
return back to normal by Friday and Saturday. Saturday appears
largely dry at this point, but this will quickly change overnight
and into Sunday morning as low pressure quickly moves into the Ohio
Valley and drags a cold front into the area. Some timing
discrepancies remain with the GFS representing a faster solution,
but Sunday will be on the wet side. Thunder was not added at this
point given low confidence on much in the way of instability. Drier
conditions should return by early next week behind this system.

RW

&&

AVIATION...
06Z Update...
Main issue will be a line of showers and potentially thunderstorms
moving through early this morning. Have sped up the timing by a
few hours matching up with current radar trends. MVFR cigs have
settled across the area this morning, not confident that IFR will
be widespread...thinking more patchy. Gusty SW winds. Winds should
turn more to the NW during the early evening.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
MED confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  51  58  34 /  40  80  80  20
Atlanta         69  52  59  33 /  10  80  80   5
Blairsville     64  45  55  28 /  10  70  70  30
Cartersville    68  49  60  30 /  10  80  70   5
Columbus        73  56  64  36 /  50  90  90   0
Gainesville     68  50  57  33 /  10  80  70  20
Macon           75  56  62  36 /  70  80  90   0
Rome            69  49  60  32 /  10  70  60   5
Peachtree City  70  51  60  32 /  10  90  90   0
Vidalia         76  62  65  40 /  70  80  80   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BDL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
838 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-271345-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
838 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A risk for isolated severe storms is possible across central
Georgia this afternoon into evening. The primary threats will be
strong to damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Thunderstorm potential continues through Wednesday across central
Georgia. The main threats will be gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but
spotters are encouraged to send any reports of severe weather.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
531 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

GAZ042-052>054-056-261115-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Carroll GA-Heard GA-Spalding GA-
531 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAYETTE...COWETA...SOUTHERN
CARROLL...NORTHEASTERN HEARD AND WESTERN SPALDING COUNTIES UNTIL 615
AM EST...

At 530 AM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Powers Crossroads, or
9 miles west of Newnan...moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Newnan, Fayetteville, Peachtree City, Tyrone, Senoia, Grantville,
Whitesburg, Brooks, Moreland, Sharpsburg, Turin, Haralson, Woolsey,
East Newnan, Corinth, Plant Yates, Starrs Mill, Inman, Cannongate and
Madras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3348 8504 3347 8439 3342 8440 3341 8439
      3336 8440 3335 8436 3320 8436 3320 8439
      3321 8440 3320 8450 3322 8451 3322 8465
      3323 8465 3322 8469 3323 8470 3322 8485
      3321 8485 3323 8487 3322 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1030Z 272DEG 44KT 3333 8495

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
604 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

GAZ048-055>057-261145-
Clayton GA-Spalding GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
604 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLAYTON...SPALDING...SOUTHWESTERN
NEWTON AND HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM EST...

At 604 AM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Atlanta Motor
Speedway, or 7 miles southeast of Fayetteville...moving east at 55
mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Griffin, McDonough, Jonesboro, Stockbridge, Riverdale, Hampton,
Lovejoy, Locust Grove, Sunny Side, East Griffin, Lake Spivey,
Blacksville, Ola, Walker Mill, Luella, Jw Smith Reservoir, Flippen,
Highland Mills, Towalaga and Experiment.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3326 8444 3334 8438 3337 8440 3341 8439
      3342 8440 3346 8438 3349 8440 3355 8439
      3353 8399 3337 8399 3336 8403 3334 8403
      3331 8406 3332 8407 3330 8407 3330 8410
      3329 8409 3325 8412 3321 8412 3321 8445
TIME...MOT...LOC 1104Z 267DEG 49KT 3337 8435

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
606 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

GAZ067-068-261145-
Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
606 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MERIWETHER AND WESTERN PIKE
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM EST...

At 606 AM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Saint Marks, or near
Greenville...moving east at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Greenville, Woodbury, Molena, Gay, Rocky Mount, Saint Marks, Hilltop,
Lifsey Springs, Odessadale, Hollonville, Alvaton, Imlac and Wooster.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3315 8486 3320 8449 3319 8450 3319 8448
      3320 8447 3321 8441 3299 8434 3299 8449
      3298 8450 3297 8485 3304 8487
TIME...MOT...LOC 1106Z 259DEG 52KT 3308 8478

WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1118 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

GAZ083-095-096-261645-
Houston GA-Bleckley GA-Twiggs GA-
1118 AM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HOUSTON...
NORTHWESTERN BLECKLEY AND SOUTHERN TWIGGS COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM
EST...

At 1118 AM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Bonaire, or 12 miles
northeast of Perry...moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Jeffersonville, Warner Robins, Danville, Robins Air Force Base,
Marion, Royal, Tarversville, District Path, Bullard, Cary, Bonaire
and Kathleen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3248 8367 3263 8363 3269 8329 3255 8321
      3254 8321 3243 8329
TIME...MOT...LOC 1618Z 268DEG 33KT 3255 8355

WIND...40MPH