Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 15, NWS Wakefield, VA

March 19, 2021Brunswick County, Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this river flood warning at Mar 19, 2021, 9:04 AM EDT for Brunswick County, Virginia. It took effect at Mar 19, 2021, 5:21 PM EDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2021, 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 19, 2021, 5:21 PM EDT
Expired
Mar 21, 2021, 2:40 PM EDT
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Brunswick County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Meherrin River near Lawrenceville (LAWV2). The gauge peaked at 18.66 ft at Mar 21, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate102003/1903/2003/2103/22
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02051500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

357 
WGUS41 KAKQ 191304
FLWAKQ

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
904 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The National Weather Service in Wakefield VA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 900 PM EDT.

&&


VAC025-200100-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.210319T2121Z-210321T2121Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210319T2121Z.210320T1800Z.210321T1520Z.NO/
904 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* From this afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM EDT Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 20.8 feet early tomorrow afternoon. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.8 
  feet on 03/08/1963.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

Rogers
8 follow-up statements
485 
WGUS81 KAKQ 191835
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
235 PM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 245 AM EDT.

&&


VAC025-200645-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.210319T2208Z-210322T0000Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210319T2208Z.210320T1800Z.210321T1800Z.NO/
235 PM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* From this evening to Sunday evening.
* At 1:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening to a crest of 21.0 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0 
  feet on 08/29/1939.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

Fisher
879 
WGUS81 KAKQ 200213
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1013 PM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville, Sebrell, Emporia, 
Rawlings, Stony Creek, Franklin...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning at 1015 AM EDT.

&&


VAC025-201415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210322T0144Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T0000Z.210321T1944Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 9:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 PM EDT Friday was 15.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 
  feet on 04/11/2003.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

VAC183-201415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0016.210320T1724Z-210323T0055Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210320T1724Z.210321T1800Z.210322T1855Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* From Saturday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 9:30 PM EDT Friday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 16.0 feet early Sunday afternoon. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 
  feet on 09/10/1974.


&&

LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724

$$
236 
WGUS81 KAKQ 201042
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
642 AM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville, Sebrell, Emporia, 
Rawlings, Stony Creek, Franklin...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 645 PM EDT.

&&


VAC025-202245-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210322T1125Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T1200Z.210322T0525Z.NO/
642 AM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 5:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM EDT Saturday was 16.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.4 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

VAC183-202245-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0016.210321T0900Z-210323T0925Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210321T0900Z.210322T1200Z.210323T0325Z.NO/
642 AM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* From late tonight to late Monday night.
* At 5:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 15.8 feet Monday morning. It will then fall 
  below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724

$$

JM
959 
WGUS81 KAKQ 201924
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
324 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville, Sebrell, Emporia, 
Rawlings, Stony Creek, Franklin...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight by 330 AM EDT.

&&


VAC183-210730-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0016.210321T2100Z-210323T0925Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210321T2100Z.210322T1200Z.210323T0325Z.NO/
324 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* From Sunday afternoon to late Monday night.
* At 2:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 15.8 feet Monday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the right hand side upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 
  feet on 10/10/2016.


&&

LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724

$$

VAC025-210730-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210322T1125Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T1200Z.210322T0525Z.NO/
324 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 2:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:45 PM EDT Saturday was 17.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.4 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday 
  morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4 
  feet on 02/07/1943.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

EI
081 
WGUS81 KAKQ 210120
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
920 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville, Sebrell, Emporia, 
Rawlings, Stony Creek, Franklin...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 900 AM EDT.

&&


VAC025-211200-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210321T2123Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T0600Z.210321T1523Z.NO/
920 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 18.7 feet just after midnight 
  tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning 
  to 8.8 feet Monday morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.7 
  feet on 02/12/1946.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

VAC183-211200-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0016.210321T1617Z-210322T0900Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210321T1617Z.210321T1800Z.210322T0300Z.NO/
920 PM EDT Sat Mar 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* From Sunday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At 8:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 15.2 feet. It will then fall 
  below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the right hand side upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.2 
  feet on 03/10/1992.


&&

LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724

$$

05
736 
WGUS81 KAKQ 211042
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
642 AM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville, Sebrell, Emporia, 
Rawlings, Stony Creek, Franklin...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 400 PM EDT.

&&


VAC183-211145-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0016.210321T1617Z-210321T1042Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
642 AM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* At 5:30 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.8 feet 
  this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724

$$

VAC025-212130-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210321T2123Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T0530Z.210321T1523Z.NO/
642 AM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 5:45 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM EDT Sunday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this morning or early afternoon and continue falling to 5.4 feet 
  Thursday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

JM
784 
WGUS81 KAKQ 211254
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
854 AM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 700 PM EDT this evening.

&&


VAC025-212300-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210321T2256Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T0530Z.210321T1656Z.NO/
854 AM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until this evening.
* At 8:45 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM EDT Sunday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon and continue falling to 5.4 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Pasture land north of the river, downstream 
  of the gage, begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.0 
  feet on 03/22/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

EI
325 
WGUS81 KAKQ 211840
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
240 PM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

VAC025-211945-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210321T1840Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210320T0047Z.210321T0530Z.210321T1533Z.NO/
240 PM EDT Sun Mar 21 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* At 1:45 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.4 feet Friday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803

$$

EI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 19, 7:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 7:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
715 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front pushed through the region overnight. A
surface low pressure moves off the Outer Banks today as an upper
level low moves over the region. High pressure builds in from
the northwest tonight into Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 415 AM EDT Friday...

Surface analysis depicts a strong cold front has moved through the
FA overnight. This front has scoured any remaining instability with
just scattered light rain remaining, generally in the piedmont and
southern portions of the CWA this morning. An upper level low is
centered along the NC/TN border with a surface low over the Outer
Banks. This surface low will continue to move east through the day,
providing a chance for more rain and even a rain/snow mix through
the morning where heavier bands set up. Any snow would be rate-
dependent with surface temps only dropping into the mid 30s during
these heavier bands. Any accumulation will be purely rate driven,
with a coating of snow possible on grassy and elevated surfaces. Any
snow accumulation should melt quickly once precipitation ends as
surface temps and air temps remain above freezing. Rain and snow is
expected to end by late morning with just light rain possible into
the early afternoon for the SE.

A NNE wind behind the cold front will increase through the morning
and remain elevated through the afternoon with gusts up to 45-55 mph
along the coast, 35-40 mph along the western shore of the Bay, and
25-35 mph farther inland. A wind advisory remains in effect for the
Atlantic coast of the Eastern Shore as well as coastal SE VA/NE NC.
Due to the combination of gusty winds and ongoing precip, brief
reductions in visibility will be possible with any snow that is able
to make it to the ground.

Skies quickly clear by early afternoon from west to east as the dry
air takes over with mostly sunny skies for everyone except the far
SE by the afternoon. Sunshine will help temps rebound some, but the
extent to which is still unclear. For now, expect highs in the mid
to upper 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 415 AM EDT Friday...

High pressure moves into the region Fri night into Sat and remains
over the region through Sun before moving off the NE coast late Sun
into Mon. The result will be dry weather through the weekend. Lows
Fri night will be much cooler with upper 27 NW and mid 30s SE. Lows
Sat night also cool in the low 30s for most and upper 30s to around
40 near the coast in the far SE. A warming trend will take place
this weekend as well with highs in the low to mid 50s Sat and
in the upper 50s to low 60s Sun.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...

A coastal trough may provide a few showers to the SE Sun night into
Mon, but there is low confidence with regards to how much (if any)
precip makes it inland. Dry Tues with another low confidence light
rain chance Tues night into Wed. Rain chances increase Thurs into
Fri as an area of low pressure is expected to develop in the Deep
South and move north. There will be a general warming trend through
the week with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s Mon, low to mid 60s
Tues, mid to upper 60s Wed, upper 60s to low 70s Thurs, and low 70s
(mid to upper 60s over the Eastern Shore) Fri. Lows will also
continue a warming trend with mid 30s W to the mid 40s E Sun night,
40s Mon and Tues nights, upper 40s to low 50s Wed night, and low 50s
Thurs night.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 715 AM EDT Friday...

CAA will continue through the afternoon behind a cold front
which passed overnight. Meanwhile an upper level low tracks
across the region through the day. A mixture of IFR/MVFR CIGs
(~500-1200 ft) will linger through the morning. Winds are
becoming gusty with NNE winds 15-20 kt and gusts 30-35 kt near
the coast observed. Winds will continue to pick up, especially
near the coast, with sustained winds 20-25 kt with gusts 30-35
kt at ORF/PHF/ECG this morning through the afternoon. RIC and
SBY will be slightly less gusty with 18-20 kt sustained and
gusts to 30 kt. Strongest winds will be in the morning. A round
of rain, transitioning to a rain/snow mix is likely in the
morning before quickly tapering off by early afternoon. Any mix
with snow will be more likely inland and less likely closer to
the coast, but cannot totally rule it out at ORF/ECG for a brief
period. CIGs could drop to IFR with this band of precip. Skies
clear by the afternoon with VFR conditions expected to return.

OUTLOOK...
High pressure builds into the area from the north Fri night into
Sun. Low pressure is progged to linger off the southeast and
Mid Atlc coast early next week.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...

Gale Warnings in effect for all marine zones today, lingering
through tonight/early Sat morning for the coastal waters (did
make some minor adjustments to the end times mainly to end
them bit sooner over the upper Rivers and northern Bay). Winds
are currently NE at 15-25 kt, with the tightening pressure
gradient and CAA that will arrive ~12Z resulting in wind speeds
increasing and remaining strong throughout the day. N/NE winds
25-35 kts with gusts of 35-45 kts expected, with the strongest
winds over the coastal waters. Waves in the bay will build to
4-7 ft and seas build to 9-13 ft N (by the aftn) and to 10-15ft
S (by tonight).

Gale conditions subside by Saturday morning however strong high
pressure to the north and a low developing off the coast of
Florida will keep near SCA winds and elevated seas through at
least the end of the weekend and possibly into early next week
as the low lingers off the SE coast.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...

Have raised a Coastal Flood Warning for the NC Outer Banks for
the next 2 high tides (this aftn and again early Sat morning).
Elsewhere, have opted to raise a Coastal flood Advisory for the
upcoming high tide where water levels should remain in minor
flood levels (late this morning into the aftn).  For the most
part, most locations in the lower Bay/James and adjacent to the
Atlantic coastal waters from Northampton Co VA on south are
expected to reach well into minor flood thresholds with some
potential for moderate flooding remaining with the 2nd high tide
late tonight/Sat morning and therefore have maintained the
Coastal Flood Watch for that period tonight into Sat morning.

There is some potential for the water to get trapped in the Bay
and spread N to the mid/upper Bay by late Sat morning/aftn so
additional Coastal Flood Advisories may be needed farther to the
north of the current headlines. The chance for moderate
flooding appears very limited at this time in these areas so
did not extend the Coastal Flood Watch to the north and will
allow later shifts to add advisories as needed.

In addition, large breaking waves will likely result in beach
erosion from later today through the weekend. Damage to dune
structures is expected across the nrn Outer Banks. High surf
advisory issued for surf zone waves of 8-10 feet into Saturday
morning over the northern Atlantic coast, and late this morning
to Saturday afternoon over Virginia Beach and northern Outer
Banks NC.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ025.
     Wind Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for MDZ024-025.
NC...Wind Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ017-102.
     High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT Saturday for NCZ102.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 6 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ102.
VA...Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Saturday morning
     for VAZ089-090-093-095>098-100-523>525.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for VAZ089-
     090-093-095>098-100-523>525.
     Wind Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ095-098.
     High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT Saturday for VAZ098.
     High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ099-100.
     Wind Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ077-078-
     084>086-099-100-523>525.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ650-652-654.
     Gale Warning until 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ633-656-658.
     Gale Warning until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ635>637.
     Gale Warning until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ632-634.
     Gale Warning until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ630-631-638.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RMM/TMG
NEAR TERM...RMM
SHORT TERM...RMM
LONG TERM...RMM
AVIATION...RMM
MARINE...CMF/LKB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 7:20 AM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

NCZ017-201130-
Western Currituck-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ087-092-201130-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-Greensville-Southampton-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ093-096-097-201130-
Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Chesapeake-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ098-201130-
Virginia Beach-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ095-201130-
Norfolk/Portsmouth-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ089-090-201130-
Surry-James City-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ523>525-201130-
York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ065>067-079>081-088-201130-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-
Sussex-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ102-201130-
Eastern Currituck-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

Hazardous Weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MDZ021>023-VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-075-076-082-083-509>522-201130-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-
Goochland-Caroline-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-
Charles City-New Kent-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central
Virginia, east central Virginia and north central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ077-078-084>086-201130-
Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MDZ025-VAZ099-201130-
Maryland Beaches-Accomack-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ024-201130-
Inland Worcester-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Rain may mix with snow, or change to all snow Friday morning. Any
accumulation is expected to be minor and mainly on the grass, but
could cause some travel disruptions due to reduced visibility in
falling snow.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ100-201130-
Northampton-
720 AM EDT Fri Mar 19 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 19, 5:56 AM EDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
556 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BETHEL CHURCH           36.96N 76.71W
03/18/2021                   ISLE OF WIGHT      VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREES DOWN NEAR RECYCLE CENTER ON FOURSQUARE
            RD.

&&

JO
Local storm report, Mar 19, 6:05 AM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
605 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DREWRYVILLE             36.71N 77.30W
03/18/2021                   SOUTHAMPTON        VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 258.

&&

JO
Local storm report, Mar 19, 6:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
610 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     HAIL             CAPRON                  36.72N 77.20W
03/18/2021  E1.00 INCH       SOUTHAMPTON        VA   PUBLIC

&&

JO
Local storm report, Mar 19, 6:12 AM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
612 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     HAIL             CAPRON                  36.72N 77.20W
03/18/2021  E1.00 INCH       SOUTHAMPTON        VA   PUBLIC

&&

JO
Local storm report, Mar 19, 8:18 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
818 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW NORVIEW           36.88N 76.25W
03/18/2021                   CITY OF NORFOLK    VA   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE CAUSING MULTIPLE
            POWER OUTAGES NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ROUTE
            247 AND ROBIN HOOD ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

EI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, James City, Prince George, Surry, City of Williamsburg42 min
Mar 18, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGreensville, Southampton, Sussex, City of Emporia32 min
Mar 18, 8:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQGloucester40 min
Mar 18, 9:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk45 min
Mar 18, 9:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQNorthampton34 min
Mar 18, 9:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach48 min
Mar 18, 10:05 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ55 min
Mar 18, 10:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach25 min
Mar 18, 10:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton32 min
Mar 18, 10:25 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ65 min
Mar 18, 10:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCharles City, James City, Prince George, City of Hopewell39 min
Mar 18, 11:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQLunenburg47 min
Mar 19, 1:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach55 min
Mar 19, 4:32 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryAKQAccomack, Gloucester, James City, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex and 11 more29 hr
Mar 19, 2:27 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAKQ5 days
Mar 19, 3:06 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQSussex3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.